Itstrainingtime Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 6 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: My wife says it's coming down real good at home right now, as a potent little band moves through. Things have mostly stopped up here in Harrisburg as the sky tries to brighten a bit, but still a pretty scene. Seems like Lancaster may make out the best for this little event, which is what much of the hi-res guidance was hinting at. Temp is 29.4 with light snow - what your wife reported came through here a short time ago and bolstered my total to 0.7". "Good snows" lasted about 15 minutes. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Temp is 29.4 with light snow - what your wife reported came through here a short time ago and bolstered my total to 0.7". "Good snows" lasted about 15 minutes. That was a good burst. Everything white now at least. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 At hour 45 18z Nam is slightly deeper and in an almost identical position as 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 NAM doesn't look good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 SLP same location, 1Mb Stronger, precip field further N Thru 63 5 minutes ago, paweather said: NAM doesn't look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Heavy Snow overspreading the southern half of PA at 63 on the Nam. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, anthonyweather said: SLP same, precip field further N Thru 63 It just looks strung out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, paweather said: It just looks strung out. So far I like what I'm seeing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, paweather said: It just looks strung out. Much of LSV Hammer time at 66. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: So far I like what I'm seeing... Sorry paweather let the run play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 SLP a bit south as the snow continues. EDIT-It is a dual area of LP, tricked me. Still hammer time at 72. Better goods just south of the M/D. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 Just light flurries here in Tamaqua. You have to look pretty hard to even see them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Coastal takes over as primary at 78. Moderate CCB like presentation through much of PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 NAM looks rock solid to these eyes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Snow squall is getting close to here. Yay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 So this looks good vs what abc 27 is claiming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Coastal takes over as primary at 78. Moderate CCB like presentation through much of PA. Yep keeps us under the coastal influence well into Monday night. Would be fun verbatim. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Still some snow to go SE PA and LSV and MA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: NAM looks rock solid to these eyes. I approve for sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Nam with a slight wagons North as to the snow map itself. I believe I saw dual LP's in there for a bit as the lowest area of pressure was jumping around. Actually expanded big snows south as well since the slp(s) did go slightly south of 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: THAT cutoff looks realistic to me. Would not be surprised to see it play out like that...but where will it set up??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 5 minutes ago, Voyager said: Just light flurries here in Tamaqua. You have to look pretty hard to even see them. Us on Monday too lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 minutes ago, Ruin said: So this looks good vs what abc 27 is claiming Are you sure that map you shared was what they were forecasting, or was that one model simulation? I saw something similar on a different station but the met stressed that what they showed was NOT their prediction. They were showing different potential scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I approve for sure. 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: THAT cutoff looks realistic to me. Would not be surprised to see it play out like that...but where will it set up??? This is a borderline namming for the jackpot areas. Anyones guess right now IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 Reading the pbp, I kind of got excited. The I looked at the snowfall map, and the evolution of the precipitation shield, and reality set in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, anthonyweather said: Us on Monday too lol Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Not too shabby from the 18z NAM. Still snowing for most eastern PA counties/zones. 50 mile shift north would be lovely though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: This is a borderline namming for the jackpot areas. Anyones guess right now IMO. Going to be a wild ride the next 48 or so hours. I just don't buy the Euro's 150-200 mile wide band of 1-3". I think the gradient ends up much tighter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 If this whole thing could shift 75 N of what the NAM is showing the entire region could get a real nice event. I hope it happens. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Going to be a wild ride the next 48 or so hours. I just don't buy the Euro's 150-200 mile wide band of 1-3". I think the gradient ends up much tighter. I will be stressed checking my phone all weekend as I will not be home much. Hopefully someone picks up the PBP. If you @paweather, let it play out :-). The best PBP's have no opinion in them, just facts or what the poster thinks is fact. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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