Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 05:48 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:48 PM Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: As I check in over lunch, It appears that the 12z Euro ticked north a bit over its 0z & 6z runs. Thanks @MAG5035 , I was posting as your shared the comparison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 05:49 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:49 PM 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: As I check in over lunch, It appears that the 12z Euro ticked north a bit over its 0z & 6z runs. A Tolleris Fooking Throwdown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Friday at 05:54 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:54 PM Snow 34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Friday at 05:56 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:56 PM Flurries and 33 in Maytown. Most important thing I saw from the Euro is it didn't move further south. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Friday at 05:57 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:57 PM 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Flurries and 33 in Maytown. Most important thing I saw from the Euro is it didn't move further south. 3-6" lollipops of 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 06:01 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:01 PM Steady light snow just north of Harrisburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Friday at 06:02 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:02 PM Light snow and 26°F. Temperature keeps falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Friday at 06:02 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:02 PM Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Steady light snow just north of Harrisburg. snowing here Blizz the appetizer for Sunday night / Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted Friday at 06:03 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:03 PM Snowing pretty hard now in Lebanon. Temp now down to 31. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 06:03 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:03 PM 7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Flurries and 33 in Maytown. Most important thing I saw from the Euro is it didn't move further south. I keep watching for the relaxation next weekend and it keeps showing on all suites with temps getting to or above freezing multiple days. If we end up in the high end wwa/low end wsw area, temps of 32-33 with sun will wipe us out quickly. Another cold shot coming post next weekend but would prefer we bridge it with temps staying in the 20's to try and keep the pack AND potentially freeze some lakes for skating. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Friday at 06:04 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:04 PM Mod snow, grass caving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 06:05 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:05 PM 17 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: @mitchnick off the ledge! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 06:07 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:07 PM We at least stopped the bleeding with the 12z runs. Light snow that couldn't accumulate if it was 0 outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted Friday at 06:11 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:11 PM 12z Euro ensemble 10:1 snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 06:11 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:11 PM Eps look like operational but at this range, I guess that's what you'd expect most of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 06:12 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:12 PM 1 minute ago, AccuChris said: 12z Euro ensemble 10:1 snow . I feel cheated. Who can I sue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 06:16 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:16 PM 6 minutes ago, AccuChris said: 12z Euro ensemble 10:1 snow . @ 10-1 this is a Kuch low end WSW/very high end wwa jack for much of the southern counties...plowable up your way. But again this is a mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 06:17 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:17 PM The 12z Euro & GFS both have more snow chances with different timing late next week & early the following week. Fun times ahead. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 06:19 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:19 PM 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: @ 10-1 this is a Kuch low end WSW/very high end wwa Jack for much of the southern counties...plowable up your way. I'm hoping. Eps, like the operational, did increase qpf from the 6z, so that "seems" to be the bottom...hopefully. If we can can at least add .1", preferably more, over the next 2 and half days, my hope of at least 6" should be distinctly possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Friday at 06:21 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:21 PM On the contrary to my somewhat optimistic post above - The concerning thing to me with regard to the Euro is that the warning level snows are about 50 miles south of the M/D line and that puts a lot of the LSV at 100 miles or so away. That's a pretty significant distance at this time frame. And also, I'm not sure that I buy how big of an area is in the blues. I think in the past when storms encountered confluence of this magnitude there was a razor sharp edge to the snowfall that the Euro simply isn't portraying today. Feb 2010 saw a 75 mile difference between 0" and 24"+. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Friday at 06:25 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:25 PM So what does everyone think 0-12? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted Friday at 06:26 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:26 PM 0-12 inchs and no matter what happens local mets will say they got it right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 06:27 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:27 PM Plenty of time for ticks back to the north to get at least the LSV back into the better amounts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 06:28 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:28 PM Just now, Itstrainingtime said: On the contrary to my somewhat optimistic post above - The concerning thing to me with regard to the Euro is that the warning level snows are about 50 miles south of the M/D line and that puts a lot of the LSV at 100 miles or so away. That's a pretty significant distance at this time frame. And also, I'm not sure that I buy how big of an area is in the blues. I think in the past when storms encountered confluence of this magnitude their was a razor sharp edge to the snowfall that the Euro simply isn't portraying today. Feb 2010 saw a 75 mile difference between 0" and 24"+. Not that I disagree, but would add that it is common for there to be pretty sharp cutoffs due to confluence. None sharper to what I witnessed on the 1/3/22 storm that missed all of PA. I think ur familiar with 795 off the Baltimore beltway. When I went to work in Glen Burnie the day after, there was a thin coating at the end of 795 where it hits Rt. 140. By the time I got to the Beltway, there was 3", and then 7" in Glen Burnie. That was a brutal cutoff that had the storm been bigger, may have rivaled 2010...I say may. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Friday at 06:30 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:30 PM Just now, mitchnick said: Not that I disagree, but would add that it is common for there to be pretty sharp cutoffs due to confluence. None sharper to what I witnessed on the 1/3/22 storm that missed all of PA. I think ur familiar with 795 off the Baltimore beltway. When I went to work in Glen Burnie the day after, there was a thin coating at the end of 795 where it hits Rt. 140. By the time I got to the Beltway, there was 3", and then 7" in Glen Burnie. That was a brutal cutoff that had the storm been bigger, may have rivaled 2010...I say may. We worded things differently but what you said is exactly what I was trying to say. This isn't the storm that you want to be in the blues going in. That sounds weird but I totally believe that it's true. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 06:30 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:30 PM Trees & mulch caved. Car tops showing initial signs of caving. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Friday at 06:33 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:33 PM Sizzling off the presses: (you want to be south of the turnpike) https://www.millersville.edu/weathercenter/forecasts/weather-discussion.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 06:34 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:34 PM 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: We worded things differently but what you said is exactly what I was trying to say. This isn't the storm that you want to be in the blues going in. That sounds weird but I totally believe that it's true. I am not even sure we are even remotely close the evolution yet either. A Southern MA slider is now on the table along with the still more prevalent transfer suites. It does seem unlikely at this point that this is going to make the entire CPA and MA forum happy. Those amped up transfer scenarios are bring the warm goods to a lot of those folks down there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 06:38 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:38 PM 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Sizzling off the presses: (you want to be south of the turnpike) https://www.millersville.edu/weathercenter/forecasts/weather-discussion.php He goes with Miller A "ish" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Friday at 06:40 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:40 PM 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Sizzling off the presses: (you want to be south of the turnpike) https://www.millersville.edu/weathercenter/forecasts/weather-discussion.php This dude predicted a light to moderate snowstorm during the 10 days surrounding New Year's 63 days ago. And while climo says that probabilities are high during that time, this is still a pretty good take in what was forecast by many to be a dud winter. Of course, it hasn't happened yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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