Central PA Winter 2024/2025

[paweather]

35 minutes ago, Ruin said:

So for those keeping scors models 7 days out are 1 for 9 with what they showed vs what we got 

Thanks 

[Blizzard of 93]

8 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

A Day In the Life Of Central PA Weather: The 2025 Edition

Back by not-so-popular demand - 

February 2025:

12:46AM: @Blizzard of 93 shares that the 0z Euro was a huge hit! He includes 7 maps. From one model run.

12:48AM: @Blizzard of 93 chastises the entire sub by asking out loud "where is everyone after this epic Euro run?" (I see it but choose to do normal things; like you know, sleep)

12:52AM: @Blizzard of 93 asks MAG what he thinks of the potential.

2:17AM: @MAG5035quotes @Blizzard of 93 and acknowledges the potential but isn't super enthused for the LSV. @Blizzard of 93 sees this and curses. Mrs. Blizz asks if he's cussing out @MAG5035 again...no answer

3:53AM: @Yardstickgozinya posts a nice picture from his backyard. There's text to go with it, I just don't understand it

4:09AM: @Voyager reports a current temp of 7.2. Says it's too damn cold and depressing. I agree with the depressing part. I wish it was -7.2

5:01AM: @Ruin says "weather models suck it was supposed to be 14 degrees but i have 13 and no wonder why people don't trust them because they are so inaccurate"

6:53AM: @mahantango#1posts his low overnight was 6.3. (okay, first off...what exactly is a "mahantango", and if since there is another member with the name "mahantango" shouldn't this guy be "mahantango2?"

7:04AM: @Bubbler86 posts that his overnight low was 8 and says that some in the LSV will hit 50 the next afternoon. I quick check my forecast and see a high of 36. 

7:11AM: @anotherman posts his low was 11. I'm wondering who the other men are and how many are there?

7:17AM: @Ruin says "weather models suck it was supposed to be 14 degrees but i have 15 and no wonder why people don't trust them because they are so inaccurate" 

7:22AM: @pasnownut gives a PBP of his car temperature for every little nook and cranny between Akron and Elizabethtown. Never once mentions what his low temp was at home

7:27AM: @sauss06 states that at his age it's too damn cold anymore. Hmmm.

7:42AM: @Superstorm says the pattern looks ripe over the coming week. I utter "congrats, Short Pump"

7:43AM: @canderson starts talking about the next wind event that's coming in 11 days. Before that we have 3 storms to deal with, but he overlooks them

7:52AM: @pawatch shares a beautiful picture from up north. I remind myself that it's time for a trip up Rt. 44 soon.

8:17AM: @Mount Joy Snowman shares the nation's high and low temp for the previous day and includes a comment that no one really cares ha. One, I care, and have said as much on multiple occasions. B, if you don't think anyone cares, why in the hell are you sharing it?

8:22AM: @Bubbler86 changes his avatar picture to reflect the team he follows that won the previous night

8:53AM: @CarlislePaWx gives a lengthy synopsis of his temp, dew point, snow cover, precise rate of snow melt, sun angle, and then I stop reading

9:28AM: @Festus informs us that we've gained 65 minutes of daylight since December. Cool.

9:37AM: @Bubbler86mentions that the NAM is showing 1" of snow today over Lanco. I spit out my coffee

9:45AM: @pasnownut says that while parsing the overnight runs, his tellies suggest some fun in store over the next 2 weeks. And? My wife and I had fun one night last August. Big freaking deal. 

10:27AM: @Bubbler86 reports the ICON has 3" over Lanco today. At this point I realize that IKEA is more accurate in weather forecasting than the ICON.

10:45AM: @paweather quotes @Bubbler86 post about 50 degree temps and says "I guess we'll hear from TCC today" (meanwhile, "TCC" is posting about snow in Pittsburgh)

11:17AM: @Bubbler86 posts a random GFS image showing snow over the entire LSV. I check the time stamp and it's 1252 hours out

11:18AM: @Ruin quotes @Bubbler86 post and says ""weather models suck it was supposed to be 14 degrees but i have 25 and no wonder why people don't trust them because they are so inaccurate"

11:37AM: while perusing the MA forum I notice that @Blizzard of 93 graced our southern neighbors with his presence in their long range thread and hoisted 26 snow maps overnight and received 33 weenies in response

12:24PM: @Mount Joy Snowman has calculated that the month will end 2.548725 degrees below normal. Ballsy call, I say considering it's February 3rd

12:53PM: @WmsptWx says that it's snowing so hard that his road caved. I pause, and begin processing - is this in Clearfield County or Lycoming County...?

1:01PM: @Blizzard of 93 stops in over lunch to share a post that PSU Hoffman made in the MA thread about snow coming

1:12PM: @AccuChris posts the latest Euro snow map through the end of the run. There's nothing on it in the LSV

1:28PM: PSU Hoffman admits he had the setup wrong and now admits that he's out on upcoming snow chances. For whatever reason, @Blizzard of 93 fails to share this post

1:41PM: @GrandmasterB says the EPS is much better than the Operational run. I begin singing "Love and Marriage" for the next 4 hours

1:43PM: @Ruinsays "weather models suck it was supposed to be 14 degrees but i have 31 and no wonder why people don't trust them because they are so inaccurate"

2:16PM: @canderson says that he feels like winter is done. This comment is to the surprise of no one in our thread. 

2:42PM: @Caveman reports a current show depth of 5.3". Is this guy the "Captain Caveman" from TV and if so, what happened to the Teen Angels?...

3:44PM: @Bubbler86 posts a NAM snow map showing 11" of snow over Lanco for the next day. I'm wondering how that's possible given Bubbler's prediction of 50 degree weather

4:04PM: @DDweatherman reports a current snow depth of 4" in Carroll Valley. I check out the Liberty webcams and see green grass surrounding the slopes. He's got one hell of a microclimate

5:12PM: @Bubbler86 shares the GFS's depiction of a major snowstorm at hour 210 for all of PA

5:13PM: @Ruin says "I'll believe it when I see it weather models suck it was supposed to be 14 degrees but i have 33 and no wonder why people don't trust them because they are so inaccurate"

6:25PM: I get excited when I open our thread after supper and see both the "Hot" tag and that we've advanced 2 pages over the past hour...

6:20PM: @Blizzard of 93begins an onslaught of model runs, snow maps and weeklies and announces that "he'll be using that snow blower a lot over the next 2 weeks" (little does he know at the time, the snow blower never actually moved)

6:28PM: @Blizzard of 93 asks @MAG5035 for his thoughts. Crickets. 

7:07PM: @Storm Clouds says that we can't catch a break, bring on severe storms! Dude...that time will come in a few months...

7:32PM: @canderson reports a wind gust of 33 mph. I go outside and there's not a trace of a breeze blowing

7:52PM: @Jns2183 makes a string of statistics posts. @Mount Joy Snowman is salivating upon seeing this

9:29PM: @Bubbler86 said that the 0z NAM took away all 11" of snow over Lanco. In fact, the nearest snow on the NAM is in Cleveland.

10:08PM: @MAG5035 makes a detailed post with his thoughts on the upcoming pattern. And while he acknowledges that the pattern might be conducive for snow in Ohio, New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia and all of western PA, he's not onboard for snow in central and eastern PA. @Blizzard of 93 says to himself "I'll never ask him for this thoughts again!"

11:11PM: @Blizzard of 93 shares the GFS snow map through the following week. There's a tiny sliver of blue over the Finger Lakes. Blizz says that it's close enough for us to track...

11"47PM: I laugh at @Blizzard of 93 all while appreciating him for who he is - just a rabid snow freak like so many of us in here. What a great place to be surrounded by some really cool people. As @Mount Joy Snowman would say - 

"Onward"

Well done sir!

I’m here giggling & laughing out loud. Mrs. Blizz is not amused with my outburst of laughter.

You absolutely nailed it!

[Blizzard of 93]

0z NAM & HRRR both have a coating to an inch or so of snow for the LSV tomorrow with the upper level low.

[canderson]

2 hours ago, Ruin said:

So for those keeping scors models 7 days out are 1 for 9 with what they showed vs what we got 

It isn’t a hockey game. It isn’t a “winner” and “loser” hobby. Models are for study, not pure truth. You should know this by know. 

[MAG5035]

4 hours ago, Jns2183 said:

Here

Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
 

Did ChatGPT incorporate the 1-2” of powder and a bump commentary from a couple days ago? Haha

[Ruin]

2 hours ago, canderson said:

It isn’t a hockey game. It isn’t a “winner” and “loser” hobby. Models are for study, not pure truth. You should know this by know. 

its a study they are often wrong in. we deserve better then what they give us 

[CarlislePaWx]

@Itstrainingtime, thanks for including me in your post.  I have to tell you that each time @Ruinposted I started laughing more and more until the fourth time I was crying in laughter.  Same goes for the Chat pics.  It was hilarious watching @Blizzard of 93and @Ruin going at it in the pix.  Thanks so much for your humor!  Wonderfully creative.

 

[mahantango#1]

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Low of 12.  Looks like most of us should see some flakes flying through the air today.  Someone could win out to the tune of an inch.  Likely westerners.  We shall see.

[Voyager]

Just spotted a couple of flurries here in Tamaqua...

[mitchnick]

VA Beach got around a foot. Sby and Ric around 4".

[Itstrainingtime]

12 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

VA Beach got around a foot. Sby and Ric around 4".

OBX (north of Hatteras Island) checks in with two separate events of 6"+ for the winter. Remarkable. And I believe this was a top #10 event every recorded at VA Beach? 

[ChescoWx]

Some scattered snow showers are possible this afternoon into the evening with our 14th Winter "Event" of the 2024-25 Season. Any accumulation will be less than 0.5" in most spots. Today will be our 30th below freezing high temperature of the season - for reference last season we only saw 19 such days. We should rise to near freezing tomorrow and moderate to near normal temperatures this weekend. The last week of February should see slightly above normal temperatures before we fall back below normal by the last day of February and start March a little chillier than average. There are almost no precipitation chances after today for the next week. We could use some rain or snow!

[mahantango#1]

Low was 11 here. NWS said I should expect around an inch today. Can't wait for those winds again...NOT!

[pawatch]

17 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

Low was 11 here. NWS said I should expect around an inch today. Can't wait for those winds again...NOT!

Currently 19 degrees and snow flurries. 
14 mph wind with gusts as high as 30mph this afternoon.

Another cold wintery day. We’re getting the cold and the south is getting the snow this winter. Minus 10” of snow this winter.

Just got 2 more ton of coal delivered Monday. That’s what I went through all last winter.

[mitchnick]

28 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

OBX (north of Hatteras Island) checks in with two separate events of 6"+ for the winter. Remarkable. And I believe this was a top #10 event every recorded at VA Beach? 

Cool pics out of Obx. Pics from up north in Duck and Kitty Hawk show decent accumulations while right down the road in Nags Head next to nothing. Nasty cutoff. 

https://www.outerbanksvoice.com/live-traffic-cams/

[mahantango#1]

4 minutes ago, pawatch said:

Currently 19 degrees and snow flurries. 
14 mph wind with gusts as high as 30mph this afternoon.

Another cold wintery day. We’re getting the cold and the south is getting the snow this winter. Minus 10” of snow this winter.

Just got 2 more ton of coal delivered Monday. That’s what I went through all last winter.

Since November 18, 2024 I have burned 5920lbs of coal.

[mitchnick]

Pity flakes a flyin'.

[mitchnick]

28 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

Since November 18, 2024 I have burned 5920lbs of coal.

That should set TCC off. Lol

[canderson]

1 hour ago, Voyager said:

Just spotted a couple of flurries here in Tamaqua...

I read this as furries and got confused. 

[Jns2183]

I read this as furries and got confused. 

Off topic but I've heard the hotel bartenders that work during their events make just absolutely dirty amounts of cash due to the fact that most people in the scene make a ton of money and have no families to support

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[Itstrainingtime]

Few flurries flyin' here at work now. 

[Jns2183]

Few flurries flyin' here at work now. 

Thank you for providing perfectly timed humor relief for a day much of the board was sad

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[Itstrainingtime]

Just now, Jns2183 said:

Thank you for providing perfectly timed humor relief for a day much of the board was sad

Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
 

Interesting that you say that about the group being sad - I don't know why but today feels different. While there are still weeks of opportunity left to enjoy wintry weather, the realization really hit me this morning that we're turning a corner towards spring. (also interesting that I felt this at a time it was in the teens) The posts are far fewer today which sort of matches the transition we often see as winter starts to slowly fade away. 

This is not me punting. Just sharing that today feels different. 

[Voyager]

45 minutes ago, canderson said:

I read this as furries and got confused. 

OMG...lol

I actually worked with one when I was out in Arizona. He didn't work or drive the truck in any "outfits", but he did do conventions and stuff 

As for our snow, it's so light that it would take an entire winter to get an inch 

[Jns2183]

Interesting that you say that about the group being sad - I don't know why but today feels different. While there are still weeks of opportunity left to enjoy wintry weather, the realization really hit me this morning that we're turning a corner towards spring. (also interesting that I felt this at a time it was in the teens) The posts are far fewer today which sort of matches the transition we often see as winter starts to slowly fade away. 
This is not me punting. Just sharing that today feels different. 

I was referring to yesterday being the start of the storm that hit us on models for awhile before whimpers away to VA Beach. In truth this winter I always had pegged march as our best shot. It may be just a day of crazy heavy snow that melts the next, but March was when I saw it happening. We shall see

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[Superstorm]

17 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Interesting that you say that about the group being sad - I don't know why but today feels different. While there are still weeks of opportunity left to enjoy wintry weather, the realization really hit me this morning that we're turning a corner towards spring. (also interesting that I felt this at a time it was in the teens) The posts are far fewer today which sort of matches the transition we often see as winter starts to slowly fade away. 

This is not me punting. Just sharing that today feels different. 

Doesnt help that the models arent showing any opportunities.

[Itstrainingtime]

2 minutes ago, Superstorm said:

Doesnt help that the models arent showing any opportunities.

Yeah, I think that's part of the equation. Recent model runs weren't kind to us. 

[Itstrainingtime]

Graduated from flurries to a bona fide snow shower here in Conestoga. 

[Mount Joy Snowman]

It's a flizzard here and I'll say it again, for the 97th time this season, yet another day that looks and feels like winter.