Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 8:23 PM, paweather said: Me too! The PV burns us! Expand LOL, you will not move on. I know you. LOL. You and Blizz have April snow on your mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 We jumped a bit early to say the Nam totally moved on. Snow map coming soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 8:24 PM, Bubbler86 said: LOL, you will not move on. I know you. LOL. You and Blizz have April snow on your mind. Expand True DAT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 8:31 PM, Bubbler86 said: Still snowing in the Eastern LSV Friday early AM. The Nam still gets the SLP far enough north to energize the 500 pass. The 3K is a coating to less than 1" but also has snow for most of us Thur. Expand Dry air? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 8:38 PM, paweather said: Dry air? Expand The model is supposed to account for that within its algorithms but yes one would think it would take some moisture to moisten things up. I am in NO WAY forecasting any of this just following along with the models. My forecast for Thursday is 30% chance of light snow (or snow showers in Myra) with nothing more than a coating. If you take the Euro AI literally it is forecasting up to 1/2" for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 8:19 PM, mitchnick said: Nice choice. I made my OBX vacation today so I have summer on my mind. I'm really, really ready to move on from consecutive winter failure number 4. Expand Only way I'll go when headed to OBX. I gave up on 95 years ago. I'll take the slow place of Delmarva any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 8:43 PM, Bubbler86 said: The model is supposed to account for that within its algorithms but yes one would think it would take some moisture to moisten things up. I am in NO WAY forecasting any of this just following along with the models. My forecast for Thursday is 30% chance of light snow (or snow showers in Myra) with nothing more than a coating. Expand Yeah I know that was just making the point of it. It's a model discussion all is good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 MU: Some interesting takes in this, including his assertion of the continuation of a dry weather pattern: https://www.millersville.edu/weathercenter/forecasts/weather-discussion.php Oh, and basically his "Winter Cancel" proclamation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 8:49 PM, Itstrainingtime said: MU: Some interesting takes in this, including his assertion of the continuation of a dry weather pattern: https://www.millersville.edu/weathercenter/forecasts/weather-discussion.php Oh, and basically his "Winter Cancel" proclamation. Expand Feb is above average for qpf at MDT right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 8:53 PM, Bubbler86 said: Feb is above average for qpf at MDT right now. Expand Ooops! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 8:54 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Ooops! Expand I just commented because there have been some posts the last few days related to how dry it has been...Jan was dry but Feb has been pretty wet so far. Looks like we get a break for a week or so now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Since I was looking at the stats, Last third of the month starting... Feb Stats MDT's has 1.91" of qpf while the norm is 1.55". MDT's Mean Temp has been 32.3 while 32.1 is normal through yesterday. Of the 17 days in the books, 9 have been AN and and 8 BN. Feb and Met Winter Snow MDT is well BN with snow only having 3.3" while 6.1" is normal. I believe that gives MDT 15.5" of snow for MET WINTER while normal would be 19.6". MDT will probably need that Feb 27th/28th time period to work out to avoid a loss for Met winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 9:11 PM, Bubbler86 said: Since I was looking at the stats, Last third of the month starting... Feb Stats MDT's has 1.91" of qpf while the norm is 1.55". MDT's Mean Temp has been 32.3 while 32.1 is normal through yesterday. Of the 17 days in the books, 9 have been AN and and 8 BN. Feb and Met Winter Snow MDT is well BN with snow only having 3.3" while 6.1" is normal. I believe that gives MDT 15.5" of snow for MET WINTER while normal would be 19.6". MDT will probably need that Feb 27th/28th time period to work out to avoid a loss for Met winter. Expand For the record, I do not think winter is over. I'd be highly surprised if we don't see at least one "plows down" snowfall in the coming weeks. I don't know if that happens or not during met winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 9:41 PM, Itstrainingtime said: For the record, I do not think winter is over. I'd be highly surprised if we don't see at least one "plows down" snowfall in the coming weeks. I don't know if that happens or not during met winter. Expand I concur. In fact I think we get two more plowables. I just did met winter because it was easy to list out. I think there is a window open for a wet time 2/27 or 2/28...if it happens the question will be cold air. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 9:41 PM, Itstrainingtime said: For the record, I do not think winter is over. I'd be highly surprised if we don't see at least one "plows down" snowfall in the coming weeks. I don't know if that happens or not during met winter. Expand PS-it is going to be so cold on Thur that even 1/2-1" of snow could cause havoc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 99 times out of a 100 if I saw this radar presentation, we should be getting ready for a MeCS or even HECS.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 10:02 PM, Superstorm said: 99 times out of a 100 if I saw this radar presentation, we should be getting ready for a MeCS or even HECS. . Expand Don't say that too loud or the 0Z Nam may hear you and oblige. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 And there is 27th system with marginal cold. Quite the wet period to end Feb on today's LR models. Some great agreement with GFS AI, Euro AI, EPS (many members), and now the GFS itself seeing activity at that time frame. LSV hammered. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Who comments first on the 1-2 foot snow map? Blizz or Ruin? Understand the apprehension though, very warranted, though not exactly a shut out pattern the rest of the month. More snow March 3rd though the next PV drip gives us some issues like tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 10:52 PM, Bubbler86 said: Who comments first on the 1-2 foot snow map? Blizz or Ruin? Understand the apprehension though, very warranted, though not exactly a shut out pattern the rest of the month. Expand Me of course, complete with a snow map: Only 9 days away! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 10:58 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Me of course, complete with a snow map: Only 9 days away! Expand Oooh, you want WB. Happy Hour rules I guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 10:58 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Me of course, complete with a snow map: Only 9 days away! Expand Wouldn’t it be funny after the disappointment from this week’s miss to then get hit with something like this to end the month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 9:47 PM, Bubbler86 said: I concur. In fact I think we get two more plowables. I just did met winter because it was easy to list out. I think there is a window open for a wet time 2/27 or 2/28...if it happens the question will be cold air. Expand I concur as well… We have 6 weeks left to score. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 11:09 PM, Bubbler86 said: Expand I just knew you were paying for his snow removal service tips.i see you get the inside scoop and those important start times by being a subscriber. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 11:15 PM, mahantango#1 said: I just knew you were paying for his snow removal service tips.i see you get the inside scoop and those important start times by being a subscriber. Expand Nah, I am too cheap. I just saw on the MA board that he "doubled down" on his forecast so I went to see what that meant. He is forecasting a NAM comeback tonight! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 11:17 PM, Bubbler86 said: Nah, I am too cheap. I just saw on the MA board that he "doubled down" on his forecast so I went to see what that meant. He is forecasting a NAM comeback tonight! Expand Last night abc27 doubled down on the misinformation on the Thursday storm again. One of these time they will be totally wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 On 2/18/2025 at 11:20 PM, mahantango#1 said: Last night abc27 doubled down on the misinformation on the Thursday storm again. One of these time they will be totally wrong. Expand Unless the 0Z Nam.....LOL. He ahs dozens of people on that FB post saying they are waiting and he is late with his map, he is good at getting the clicks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Can the wind die already??? Still blowing 30 mph 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 On 2/18/2025 at 11:47 PM, canderson said: Can the wind die already??? Still blowing 30 mph Expand It seems like forever that we have wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now