Bubbler86 Posted Tuesday at 01:53 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:53 AM 9 minutes ago, pawatch said: The 18Z Nam How many times have I heard ignore it, it’s only the 18 Z Nam. Been a tough winter Plane crash they figured there was a 48 mph wind gust at the time it happened. Some people who say ignore the nam (which it is wrong a lot) are all over loving it if they like what it shows. 4 major plane crashes in less than 3 weeks now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted Tuesday at 03:48 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:48 AM Rooting for next Monday to be dry. Have to lead a walking tour in nyc and I’d rather not fight umbrellas. I went on a 2 mile walk this evening and it felt like I was in North Dakota with the wind. It just won't quitSent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted Tuesday at 04:01 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:01 AM Still quite windy here, and the temp has fallen back all the way to 15ºF already.. so definitely not pleasant out. My station had a peak wind of 51 mph early today. No real major direct issues from the wind around here fortunately, other than the combo with the snow bands and blowing and drifting last night. A lot of the secondary back roads around here were tough to drive on last night and early this morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted Tuesday at 10:37 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:37 AM It feels as cold this morning as any time I have felt this winter. My two walks below zero were nowhere nearly as brutal. Definitely miserable stuff out here unless you're some nutty guy and a dog. Bundle up. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted Tuesday at 11:04 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:04 AM 13 degrees, 17 mph gust. High is supposed to be 21 degrees today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted Tuesday at 11:46 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:46 AM 14 this morning. Hoping this wind that seems relentless is soon over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted Tuesday at 11:46 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:46 AM 16 when I left the house, which was the low. Stunning sunrise this morning. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Tuesday at 11:47 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:47 AM 11 this AM. Mesos's are picking up on the Thur moisture with the 500 pass. Nam is the highest but other mesos are showing it as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted Tuesday at 11:47 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:47 AM Just now, Mount Joy Snowman said: 16 when I left the house, which was the low. Stunning sunrise this morning. Yes pink and beautiful. I noticed that too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Tuesday at 12:13 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:13 PM 14 for my Marysville low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted Tuesday at 12:13 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:13 PM 16 hours ago, Ruin said: Yeah we need better models to handle storms the current ones just don't cut it I believe @mitchnick is a lawyer. Maybe you can hire him to help you file a suit against the NCEP and NWS for your unnecessary milk, bread, and egg expenditures. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Tuesday at 12:59 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:59 PM 16 was my low. Chili out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted Tuesday at 01:09 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:09 PM If you think this has been an unusually cold winter you would be correct! We are trending toward the top 15 coldest winter in the last 50 years here in Chester County. The pattern continues well below normal temperatures for the rest of this work week. We finally return to near normal temperatures early next week. We look dry for the rest of this week with the exception of a chance of flurries on Thursday. The good news on the drought front is we are running above normal in precipitation so far this month, however it does not look that wet as we close out February and move into the first week of the first month of spring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Tuesday at 01:56 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:56 PM HRRR joins the meso's showing a light accumulating snow Thursday AM for the LSV, especially south side. We are talking 1" or less here though the timing and temps in the teens and low 20's "could" cause rush hour issues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Tuesday at 02:07 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:07 PM 2nd month of BN Temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Tuesday at 02:12 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:12 PM 2 minutes ago, paweather said: 2nd month of BN Temps. Temps are actually AN for Feb at MDT right now....through yesterday. A slim margin though only at only .2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Tuesday at 02:13 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:13 PM Like yesterday, 12Z is the time for the Nam to go norther again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted Tuesday at 02:17 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:17 PM 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Temps are actually AN for Feb at MDT right now....through yesterday. A slim margin though only at only .2. Seriously? That is not right. After this week they will be below and next week will be average temps for the end of Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Tuesday at 02:18 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:18 PM Just now, paweather said: Seriously? That is not right. After this week they will be below and next week will be average temps for the end of Feb. Yep, but I agree they will probably go a little BN this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Tuesday at 02:20 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:20 PM The Nam is going to be plowable for Southern LSV but the 3K not as north so not sure I sharpen the lows yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted Tuesday at 02:24 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:24 PM 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The Nam is going to be plowable for Southern LSV but the 3K not as north so not sure I sharpen the lows yet. NAM aint giving up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Tuesday at 02:26 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:26 PM 3 minutes ago, Superstorm said: NAM aint giving up It is an all day Snow Storm for much of Eastern PA. Accums only impressive south though. Low is closer to the coast than yesterday at 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted Tuesday at 02:28 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:28 PM Jan, 2000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted Tuesday at 02:35 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:35 PM 12z 12km NAM just cannot help itself lol bombs the low into the 960s off NE coast. Oddly the 3km NAM is way weaker and more offshore. Typically the 3km is more bullish versus the 12km. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Tuesday at 02:39 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:39 PM 25 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Like yesterday, 12Z is the time for the Nam to go norther again I haven't looked at anything since yesterday afternoon - IF by chance we do get something, what is the timing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Tuesday at 02:40 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:40 PM Just now, Itstrainingtime said: I haven't looked at anything since yesterday afternoon - IF by chance we do get something, what is the timing? It basically snows all day Thursday in your hood. Starts overnight Wed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Tuesday at 02:44 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:44 PM 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It basically snows all day Thursday in your hood. Starts overnight Wed. Thank you. I was just was reading commentary and saw a met say fairly definitively that we were (are?) literally just hours off in timing from this being a KU storm in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Tuesday at 02:48 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:48 PM 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Thank you. I was just was reading commentary and saw a met say fairly definitively that we were (are?) literally just hours off in timing from this being a KU storm in our area. The fates of the universe keep stringing our hopes. I will say, as alluded to earlier, I would count on a coating to 1" possibilities anywhere in the LSV when the trough/500 swings through and sparks some qpf. Not everyone but think anyone could see it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Tuesday at 02:49 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:49 PM Second question of the day - just for my own curiosity, did we verify the High Wind Warning that was issued? I read that there are 2 pieces of criteria: Sustained winds of 40 mph Any gust that exceeds 58 mph Highest winds gusts were all over the place from @canderson CTP report yesterday, a lot of areas fell below the threshold and some were above. If it verified at MDT does that validate the warning? (And I don't recall what MDT's top gust was) Maytown had a gust last Thursday of 58 mph prior to any wind statement issued. From this event the top gust was "just" 48 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted Tuesday at 02:51 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:51 PM 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Thank you. I was just was reading commentary and saw a met say fairly definitively that we were (are?) literally just hours off in timing from this being a KU storm in our area. The potentially good news, it that we have about 5-6 model runs to keep the drama alive and well. Pace yourself w/ the fingernail chewin. Like some of us have been suggesting, a norther correction (based on base state for me) was a legit possibility, but after the year we've been having, I've little faith/confidence in that, but it has been in the back of my mind since late last week. Just thought itd happen a tad sooner. Dunno how this shakes down, but it'd be nice to see this pull back west a bit. For now, its just one model run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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