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Central PA Winter 2024/2025


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4 minutes ago, AccuChris said:

Lets see if the GFS starts trending towards the Euro today. ICON and 6z Euro AI were good starts


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If the Gfs doesn't start looking like other modeling on this run, it's going from frustrating to pathetic in my mind.

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If the Gfs doesn't start looking like other modeling on this run, it's going from frustrating to pathetic in my mind.

Its struggle (assuming its wrong with its solutions), is what it always struggles with in phasing systems…string out the energy and hand off the southern stream way out in front via feedback and the whole thing cant bundle. This is the first time in a long while we are actually looking at a potential Miller A full phase system so yes, lots can go wrong and thats why we dont get “the big one” often. This is tricky as it all needs to line up versus just some massive southern branch over-running feature attacking a cold high.

This is “big risk-big reward”. We may not get a true consensus until 12z Monday honestly


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10 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

If the Gfs doesn't start looking like other modeling on this run, it's going from frustrating to pathetic in my mind.

Out to 105 and it doesn't look good north of the PA/MD border.

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