mitchnick Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6 minutes ago, AccuChris said: Long range HRRR says “meh” with tomorrow nights wave . 18z Nam is noticeably drier to our west than 12z thru 21hrs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 17 minutes ago, Ruin said: Figures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Bur am I wrong nope p Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, Ruin said: Bur am I wrong nope p Not sure "figures" is a right or wrong proposition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 28 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 18z Nam is noticeably drier to our west than 12z thru 21hrs. Drier for us as well. More like 6Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Advisories up for the southern tier counties for 2-3". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 9 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Advisories up for the southern tier counties for 2-3". That sounds reasonable. I'm 7 miles north as the crow flies from the MD border and was hoping for at least 3" so I lose site of my grass before it all gets all washed away on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 The latest long range runs of the RAP and HRRR have us at basically an inch or less. Really hoping this doesn't fizzle into a non-event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 18 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Advisories up for the southern tier counties for 2-3". They are going with ITT"s 2-4 vs. My still standing 3-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 54 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Not sure "figures" is a right or wrong proposition. Models are wrong mote then they are right esp with winter wtorks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: They are going with ITT"s 2-4 vs. My still standing 3-6 I think we're both going down at this point. We shall see. You have bigger concerns right now. Please take care of yourself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 11 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: The latest long range runs of the RAP and HRRR have us at basically an inch or less. Really hoping this doesn't fizzle into a non-event. Every mile in latitude is hurting us here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 17 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Every mile in latitude is hurting us here... Every last inch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 LWX downgraded the Maryland border counties to a WWA. 2-4". Not a great sign for any last minute northern creep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, Festus said: LWX downgraded the Maryland border counties to a WWA. 2-4". Not a great sign for any last minute northern creep. I've got brisk NW winds still. I'll be shocked if we get a jump north of consequence with this one. BUT, it will mean the boundary is further south. My hope is part 2 overperforms while it rains cats and dogs in MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 GFS looks like ITT got his crayons out. 2-4 LSV wide except maybe up by Pillow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 9 minutes ago, mitchnick said: I've got brisk NW winds still. I'll be shocked if we get a jump north of consequence with this one. BUT, it will mean the boundary is further south. My hope is part 2 overperforms while it rains cats and dogs in MD. Lol Gfs still give N MD more snow on part 2 than me. Lol I give up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 I just hope my garden mulch gets recovered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: Lol Gfs still give N MD more snow on part 2 than me. Lol I give up. WGAL just lite you up for 2-4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: WGAL just lite you up for 2-4. 18z Euro just gave you and me 3-4". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: WGAL just lite you up for 2-4. What about Lebanon county -1 to -3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 18z Euro & GFS say the CTP Advisory might need expanded north 1 more layer in the LSV for Tues pm/Wed am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 MU: 2-4" south of Rt. 30 Coating to 2" from Rt. 30 north to Harrisburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: MU: 2-4" south of Rt. 30 Coating to 2" from Rt. 30 north to Harrisburg He must not have looked at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 18z GFS is still the most interested model for potential round 2 Wednesday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: He must not have looked at 18z. Yep and that’s what ABC 27 said I’m in a C-2” line screw them I guess could be true we will do better on round 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Blizz just lick us up for next week! Hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: He must not have looked at 18z. Elliott > a model run I predict a coating to .5” through Wednesday evening. We might get 1-2” overnight into Thursday though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, paweather said: Yep and that’s what ABC 27 said I’m in a C-2” line screw them I guess could be true we will do better on round 2 These little waves approaching from the southwest notoriously juice up a bit towards game time. Still time for some adjustments. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, canderson said: Elliott > a model run I predict a coating to .5” through Wednesday evening. We might get 1-2” overnight into Thursday though Of course he knows his stuff, but he hates cold & snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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