paweather Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yep we can only hope the next couple of runs change but this could be MA winter for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, paweather said: Yep we can only hope the next couple of runs change but this could be MA winter for sure Well that may have spread over us on the next panel and it is way too close to shit the blinds on it. This is one of those situations where models are not going to do well with keying on the right energy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 It is the Nam which IMO has not done all that great this winter, but that run is a decent one for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Well that may have spread over us on the next panel and it is way too close to shit the blinds on it. This is one of those situations where models are not going to do well with keying on the right energy. Absolutely I’m not giving up yet or ruining it for anyone 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CASH_COOP Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Meso out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 18Z 12k now dishing out 0.07" for total qpf from storm #1 in my area. Ewww Meanwhile, here in Carlisle at 4:00pm it is overcast with a light southeasterly breeze. My temp has dropped to 31.5 degrees after hitting a high of 33.3 a few hours ago. My dew point, which was 18 a few hours ago has risen to 21.6. My wet bulb was 26.6 earlier and has risen now to 28.0 degrees. My low this morning was 21.6. I'm trying to decide whether I should proactively put down ice melt or not. It's no big deal to do that. But, I don't want to waste it if I don't have to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 That model sucks (at this range) but look at where it was at at 12Z. Even it has come north.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 7 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: 18Z 12k now dishing out 0.07" for total qpf from storm #1 in my area. Ewww Meanwhile, here in Carlisle at 4:00pm it is overcast with a light southeasterly breeze. My temp has dropped to 31.5 degrees after hitting a high of 33.3 a few hours ago. My dew point, which was 18 a few hours ago has risen to 21.6. My wet bulb was 26.6 earlier and has risen now to 28.0 degrees. My low this morning was 21.6. I'm trying to decide whether I should proactively put down ice melt or not. It's no big deal to do that. But, I don't want to waste it if I don't have to. 18z ICON has .50 of precip from near the turnpike on north for today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I still contend and look forward to a snowy Tuesday. I'll be surprised if it isn't. I like 2-4", heavier amounts south. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The first small wave of precip has arrived here as a pretty decent burst of sleet, already whitening things. 28/25ºF 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 hour ago, Ruin said: Hey I'm just going by what the radar shows vs models I agree that things are not looking that impressive atm, but you can see some expansion and deepening to the west over the last 45 minutes. Don't lose sight of the fact that by the time it's precipitating here, it will instantly accret on any untreated surface . It will only take one step to completely Ruin your day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 13 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I still contend and look forward to a snowy Tuesday. I'll be surprised if it isn't. I like 2-4", heavier amounts south. At this point, I would sign for that on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I was thinking about a post someone wrote last light. @Ruin are you interested in being part of a thought experiment ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 18z ICON had a sizable jump north over its 12z run for the Tues/Wed event. I don’t have good ICON maps on WB, so ignore the snow to our north which is from the event tonight. 18z top 12z bottom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 5 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said: I was thinking about a post someone wrote last light. @Ruin are you interested in being part of a thought experiment ? his answer....... Negative. I'm baackkkk..... Hi gang. Tuesdays coming north. Book it. No f'n idea bout the rest. Just going 1 at a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 17 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: The first small wave of precip has arrived here as a pretty decent burst of sleet, already whitening things. 28/25ºF Sleet with a few big flakes mixed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Patiently waiting on the precipitation to arrive. What ever it will be temp dropped to 29. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Straight to sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Radar is really blossoming in western PA 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Plows down for much of LSV early next week on the rgem and gfs. 1-3" 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Damn snow hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 14 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Radar is really blossoming in western PA Don’t tell Ruin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Plows down for much of LSV early next week on the rgem and gfs. 1-3" I must live in an archaic area. I don't think I've ever once seen a plow on my road for anything under and maybe even including 3". LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Down to 30.6 here - whatever falls is going to wreak havoc me thinks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Plows down for much of LSV early next week on the rgem and gfs. 1-3" 18z RGEM is more like what we were seeing 2 days ago on the globals. This would be a moderate event that is still very much in play. More snow to go at the end of this run for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I must live in an archaic area. I don't think I've ever once seen a plow on my road for anything under and maybe even including 3". LOL They plow here for anything on the road. Even 1". With that said I did not check thermals that closely re: laying on the road. I just looked at the final accums. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I must live in an archaic area. I don't think I've ever once seen a plow on my road for anything under and maybe even including 3". LOL They plowed during the sleet this last week. LOL. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: They plow here for anything on the road. Even 1". With that said I did not check thermals that closely re: laying on the road. I just looked at the final accums. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 We need that Wednesday night into Thursday follow up wave to speed up a bit & minimize the separation so we can capitalize on the remaining cold. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: They plow here for anything on the road. Even 1". With that said I did not check thermals that closely re: laying on the road. I just looked at the final accums. Wow. Interesting. I remember as a kid, Elliott Abrams would be on WSBA York live in the mornings. He would talk about plowable snows and one morning the guy interviewing him asked him exactly what that meant. Elliott said that he and his Accu Weather friends generally defined it as at least 3". That's always stuck with me. I just did a quick search to see what people are saying today. The short answer is it depends on who and where. For every forecaster who says 3" there's another that says 2". I didn't come across anyone saying 1" but they didn't consult the Rouzerville road master. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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