mahantango#1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 0z NAMs both bring a good amount of sleet tomorrow. So we talking a sleet fest tomorrow? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Down to 22 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 10 minutes ago, Ruin said: actually tomorrow event og was suppose to be mostly snow up until recently saw models calling for 5 inchs maybe mixed with a little sleet I have little confidence in the storm being anything on tuesday ive even seen recently some models showing ending as rain washing a good bit of the snow away. while yes I always say models suck but if the last few years showed us anything lol This is 100% false. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Why is Ruin not red tagged? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 its true its darn true 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 31 minutes ago, Ruin said: its true its darn true Ruin you are ruin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 4 hours ago, WmsptWx said: I'll take that but the largest singular snowfall I've had this year is I believe 5 inches. This area has been the definition of nickel and dimed. Thats how it is here (just enough to have shitty roads to drive on all the time :)) Every 5-10 yrs we get a double digit snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 hour ago, Ruin said: its true its darn true Kurt Angle? That you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Well guys...it's rather obvious by there being zero posts when the GFS is out past 192 hours. I hope the second set of 192 hours comes back to life. I"ll save you all the trouble of looking (this is on referring to the 0Z GFS)...MDT receives 1" during the entire first 192 hours. For tomorrow it gives MDT a total of 0.25" qpf for the whole storm. What an incredible reversal of emotions between last night and tonight. Bipolar describes it best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 0z Canadian had a nice front end thump with the Wednesday night wave before we mix in Thursday this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The last few days have taught the observer in Schrödinger's cat is very analogous to the NAM. Being able to see so many model runs that go outside the NAM range is like being able to look into the box and see cat both alive and dead for all possible future conditionsSent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 3 hours ago, WmsptWx said: Kurt Angle? That you? Yes it is good catch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 6 hours ago, Ruin said: actually tomorrow event og was suppose to be mostly snow up until recently saw models calling for 5 inchs maybe mixed with a little sleet I have little confidence in the storm being anything on tuesday ive even seen recently some models showing ending as rain washing a good bit of the snow away. while yes I always say models suck but if the last few years showed us anything lol If you can show us the model that had 5" of sn/ip for HBG for this weekends event, I'd love to see it. And I'm not talking perty colored snow maps. You've done this plenty long enough to know they are usually bunk with mix events. Blizz is correct, this one has been modelled as a mix down in the LSV for many days. You just take your sloppy inch and like it. Tues #2 is and has been our first legit chance for appreciable snow in the LSV, and then you can start adding up a few inches, if were lucky...or you can drive to VA an shovel some into your trunk and throw it into your yard so the that #3 can wash it away. (thats a joke....for now). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 6 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: This is 100% false. Just saw this after I posted. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 6 hours ago, GrandmasterB said: Why is Ruin not red tagged? No offense to him, but I'm not sure I want to read his forecasts.... I'd quit the sport..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 8 Author Share Posted February 8 I don't feel like screenshotting it, but is the HRRR on crack? I just looked at the 9z run and it has me at 6 inches of snow on the Kuchera scale for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 26 this AM. Finding that I lost 5" of snow today, per previous posts, depresses me. Also, the de-amplification of storm #2 continues on the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 26 this AM. Finding that I lost 5" of snow today, per previous posts, depresses me. Early morning NAM extrapolated should pick many up for #2 Tuesday event. qpf notably north of GFS counterpart. and just looking at 6z GFS, it also comes a bit north for Tuesday. #rightwherewewantit 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, pasnownut said: Early morning NAM extrapolated should pick many up for #2 Tuesday event. qpf notably north of GFS counterpart. and just looking at 6z GFS, it also comes a bit north for Tuesday. #rightwherewewantit We are all looking forward to our namming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: We are all looking forward to our namming. arent we always? Funeral today, so give me something to look forward to for HH.....K? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 0z Euro AI had a very slight tick North with the overall extent of precip over its last run for the 24 hour period for the Tuesday into Wednesday am chance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: arent we always? Funeral today, so give me something to look forward to for HH.....K? Sorry to hear that man! Hopefully we have a good trend for Tuesday to try to brighten your day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Sorry to hear that man! Hopefully we have a good trend for Tuesday to try to brighten your day. thx Life (and death) happens....this one just ended too soon. I'll give you the honors of sharing Calvert Cnty MD winner winner chicken dinner w/ 49" on 6z GFS perty snow map (hr 378) for some eye candy. If you spit coffee on screen.....I warned you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 9 minutes ago, pasnownut said: arent we always? Funeral today, so give me something to look forward to for HH.....K? Sorry to hear. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 25 minutes ago, Voyager said: I don't feel like screenshotting it, but is the HRRR on crack? I just looked at the 9z run and it has me at 6 inches of snow on the Kuchera scale for today. You’re right…the last several runs of the HRRR even show a couple of inches down to the PA turnpike. Maybe we get a little surprise… or it’s on something as you said, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 16 minutes ago, pasnownut said: thx Life (and death) happens....this one just ended too soon. I'll give you the honors of sharing Calvert Cnty MD winner winner chicken dinner w/ 49" on 6z GFS perty snow map (hr 378) for some eye candy. If you spit coffee on screen.....I warned you. Ok, just for you… The upcoming blocking pattern could support a strong coastal…fun times are possibly ahead the rest of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 454 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2025 PAZ025>028-034>036-056-057-059-063>066-090300- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0013.250208T1800Z-250209T0800Z/ Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Perry- Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Mount Union, Lebanon, Huntingdon, Gettysburg, Altoona, Lewistown, Carlisle, Harrisburg, Lancaster, Mifflintown, York, Chambersburg, Bedford, McConnellsburg, Hershey, and Newport 454 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to two inches and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 3 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Any untreated roads or sidewalks will be treacherous. CTP revised the WWA for the LSV & South central PA this am for up to 2 inches of snow/sleet followed by freezing rain later today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 454 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2025 PAZ004-010>012-017>019-045-046-049>053-058-090300- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0013.250208T2000Z-250209T0800Z/ Warren-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre- Southern Centre-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder- Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill- Including the cities of Renovo, Pottsville, Clearfield, Warren, Selinsgrove, Philipsburg, St. Marys, State College, Sunbury, Lock Haven, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Danville, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Emporium, Ridgway, Berwick, and DuBois 454 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...A few hour period of moderate to heavy snow possible late this afternoon and early this evening, then sleet followed by light freezing rain late. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 2 and 3 inches and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 454 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2025 PAZ004-010>012-017>019-045-046-049>053-058-090300- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0013.250208T2000Z-250209T0800Z/ Warren-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre- Southern Centre-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder- Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill- Including the cities of Renovo, Pottsville, Clearfield, Warren, Selinsgrove, Philipsburg, St. Marys, State College, Sunbury, Lock Haven, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Danville, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Emporium, Ridgway, Berwick, and DuBois 454 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...A few hour period of moderate to heavy snow possible late this afternoon and early this evening, then sleet followed by light freezing rain late. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 2 and 3 inches and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. @Voyager this is your revised WWA today. Now says up to 3 inches for you. Maybe the HRRR “sniffed” it out, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I don’t think anyone should write off the Tuesday system just yet. North trends are notorious for a reason. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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