Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 12:44 AM Share Posted Friday at 12:44 AM Buckle up has been uttered in the ma thread. Makes it a good day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted Friday at 12:44 AM Share Posted Friday at 12:44 AM This is after a decent period of sleet. It does warm up post ice so its effects would be limited a bit by that. I kinda miss our frequent ice storms from the 2000sSent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Friday at 01:03 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:03 AM 18 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Buckle up has been uttered in the ma thread. Makes it a good day. I was disappointed by who uttered it though! Sure seems like some wild times in February. We're going to be flirting with really cold and pretty darn warm in close proximity to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 01:10 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:10 AM 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I was disappointed by who uttered it though! Sure seems like some wild times in February. We're going to be flirting with really cold and pretty darn warm in close proximity to us. A recipe for big precip! Yes, I thought of it not be ralph/steve b but a buckle up is a buckle up! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 01:28 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:28 AM 24 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I was disappointed by who uttered it though! Sure seems like some wild times in February. We're going to be flirting with really cold and pretty darn warm in close proximity to us. I like it, usually that means the good precip is nearby. We won’t win them all, but I think we score a couple more decent Wintry events. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted Friday at 01:49 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:49 AM 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: Buckle up has been uttered in the ma thread. Makes it a good day. Chucks back in the MA forum. - pna is in Play lol. He disappeared for about a month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 02:05 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:05 AM 14 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Chucks back in the MA forum. - pna is in Play lol. He disappeared for about a month. His info is as model driven as the progs showing winter precip. Either could be right. I think Chuck admits that. Disco is good though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted Friday at 02:05 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:05 AM -pna Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 02:23 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:23 AM 15 minutes ago, anotherman said: -pna Pretty strong indicators that cold air is going to dump in the east in the next 7 -10 days. Could be wrong and cold could mean no snow but not seeing a torch right now outside short periods of when storm tracks bring warm fronts through early in Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 02:46 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:46 AM Several Chuck references so going to add one more thing...his posts are spot on in acknowledging that indexes are just as readily/likely modeled incorrectly as actual surface weather predicts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted Friday at 03:05 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:05 AM 16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Several Chuck references so going to add one more thing...his posts are spot on in acknowledging that indexes are just as readily/likely modeled incorrectly as actual surface weather predicts. The man knows what he is talking about. I just find it funny that he disappeared during ourbdeep winter run of about a month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 03:11 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:11 AM 6 minutes ago, Chris78 said: The man knows what he is talking about. I just find it funny that he disappeared during ourbdeep winter run of about a month. He is a warminsta. I miss a lot of his posts but I rarely see him leaning cold. He had nothing to tout for weeks. Lol. Now there is a battle of model driven data and and he has place at the table. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 11:12 AM Share Posted Friday at 11:12 AM 0z Euro shows this potential for the 11th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 11:20 AM Share Posted Friday at 11:20 AM Before that, It also has a mixed precip chance early on the 9th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted Friday at 12:15 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:15 PM Icy out this morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 12:26 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:26 PM 40 and a ground wettner so far...hardly measurable. Snow piles survived so far. LSV colder than I thought they would be at this time. Low to mid 30's on Wunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Friday at 12:26 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:26 PM 10 minutes ago, 2001kx said: Icy out this morning. Tell that to the morons flying out past my house. I was planning to use this road as a sled course but I'm thinking somebody is about to open up a new window in my living room. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Friday at 12:41 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:41 PM Here is the 0z EPS look for week 2. Temps are near to slightly below normal during this time. The EPS snow map for just week 2 is ramping up amounts for this period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted Friday at 12:51 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:51 PM Low of 36 with .05" of rain. Some interesting opportunities in the weeks ahead with a tight boundary. In any case, hopefully (likely?) some drought-busting activity in our future. Penn State - Iowa wrestling tonight in Happy Valley, #1 vs #2, let's go! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted Friday at 01:21 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:21 PM Haven't been on here much this week. Wife got flu type A, was trying to take care of her, then I got the same thing she had. So it's been a rough week. That flu really knocks you down. And wife for at least 10 years but possibly more has been getting the annual flu shot and this years was to cover a broard spectrum of flu virus. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted Friday at 01:42 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:42 PM We picked up 0.06" of rain overnight here in East Nantmeal. Rain today and this evening could bring us between 0.50" to 0.75" of much needed rain across the area. Mild today to close out our colder than normal January with temperatures well into the 40's. Chillier and dry over the weekend before milder for much of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Friday at 01:45 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:45 PM 23 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Haven't been on here much this week. Wife got flu type A, was trying to take care of her, then I got the same thing she had. So it's been a rough week. That flu really knocks you down. And wife for at least 10 years but possibly more has been getting the annual flu shot and this years was to cover a broard spectrum of flu virus. A coworkers wife was in the hospital with that this week. Hope you both are on the upswing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Friday at 01:50 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:50 PM 37 this morning with just .03" of rainfall thus far. Our forecasted amount has been slashed by 50% already. Something to keep in mind over the coming weeks...this was to be a moisture-laden event that's fizzling at the last hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted Friday at 02:05 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 02:05 PM 44 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Haven't been on here much this week. Wife got flu type A, was trying to take care of her, then I got the same thing she had. So it's been a rough week. That flu really knocks you down. And wife for at least 10 years but possibly more has been getting the annual flu shot and this years was to cover a broard spectrum of flu virus. Wow. Similar situation here last week. Wife got sick over the snowy weekend, then gave it to me two days later. Same flu type A that you have. Totally kicked our asses. I'm still not 100% recovered. I'm not contagious, or sick anymore, but lingering fatigue and a raspy voice remain. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted Friday at 02:07 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:07 PM 9 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 37 this morning with just .03" of rainfall thus far. Our forecasted amount has been slashed by 50% already. Something to keep in mind over the coming weeks...this was to be a moisture-laden event that's fizzling at the last hour. I kind of had my doubts about the magnitude of this event because many of the models had been showing things really breaking up over us and being rather sparse. With that said, I still think we end up close to a half inch when it's all said and done, with the better stuff set to move through later this afternoon or this evening. I'll tell you what was really misforecasted (made up word?), and that was the temps for the last couple days of this month. Back when I did my end of month calculation the forecasted NWS temps were MUCH cooler than they've actually turned out to be. The final mean temp for the month is going to end up a few tenths higher than I predicted. I should be fired from my job. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 02:10 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:10 PM 47 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Haven't been on here much this week. Wife got flu type A, was trying to take care of her, then I got the same thing she had. So it's been a rough week. That flu really knocks you down. And wife for at least 10 years but possibly more has been getting the annual flu shot and this years was to cover a broard spectrum of flu virus. Take Care and feel better (both of you.) The flu and Covid are still both spreading around the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 02:12 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:12 PM Mesos have rain well into the evening with still .5-1" to go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Friday at 02:15 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:15 PM 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Mesos have rain well into the evening with still .5-1" to go. That's good to know. I thought everything was to be out of the area by 5pm. 6 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I kind of had my doubts about the magnitude of this event because many of the models had been showing things really breaking up over us and being rather sparse. With that said, I still think we end up close to a half inch when it's all said and done, with the better stuff set to move through later this afternoon or this evening. I'll tell you what was really misforecasted (made up word?), and that was the temps for the last couple days of this month. Back when I did my end of month calculation the forecasted NWS temps were MUCH cooler than they've actually turned out to be. The final mean temp for the month is going to end up a few tenths higher than I predicted. I should be fired from my job. Well that's never happened before! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Friday at 02:21 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:21 PM 8 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: That's good to know. I thought everything was to be out of the area by 5pm. Well that's never happened before! 3K is 10PM and HRRR 11PM in your area. Rgem is 7AM tomorrow morning but am discounting that a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted Friday at 02:32 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:32 PM 13 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: That's good to know. I thought everything was to be out of the area by 5pm. Well that's never happened before! Haha true but you know what's funny, the last few months MDT has consistently been coming in colder than forecasted. Traditionally, when I do my monthly calculation, I nudge things up a bit to account for the MDT warm bias, but it's been the opposite lately (river ice and other factors?), with the obvious exception of these last few days ha. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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