Bubbler86 Posted Monday at 04:40 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:40 PM Trying to attack PA but confluence is not budging enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Monday at 04:45 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:45 PM Then the vort in the west states ion the previous panel comes calling. A bit north for an all out snow but tracking pants/shorts required. All of this is predicated on help from the North and Atlantic to fed off any warm ups and keep the boundary to our south. Eventually uts and we go to rain after a lot of wintery preip. Will be different in 6 hours but a pbp is a pbp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted Monday at 05:31 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:31 PM My low here this morning was 11.8 and my low yesterday morning was 12.7. I still have about 3" solid snowcover in my north-facing backyard. In my south-facing frontyard patches of bare spots have started to appear, especially after yesterday's balmy high of 44.2. I would estimate that 85-90% of the front yard still has at least one inch of cover. Concerning the earlier post from @Itstrainingtime, regarding the use of the word "breezy" in the nws forecasts, while I don't know the precise value, it is the sustained wind, not the wind gusts that determines the use of "breezy". I believe the threshold is sustained speeds of 20-25 mph. When the sustained wind is forecast to exceed 30 mph the adjective changes to "windy". The gust speeds and the frequencies of reaching these values are what is used to determine wind advisories and high wind warnings. I think that frequent gusts over 40mph qualify for a wind advisory while frequent gusts over 50mph+ qualify for a high wind warning. Please don't hold me to precise values for any of the wind speeds. I'm pretty sure the values I mentioned are at least "close" to the correct figures. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Monday at 05:57 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:57 PM 25 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: My low here this morning was 11.8 and my low yesterday morning was 12.7. I still have about 3" solid snowcover in my north-facing backyard. In my south-facing frontyard patches of bare spots have started to appear, especially after yesterday's balmy high of 44.2. I would estimate that 85-90% of the front yard still has at least one inch of cover. Concerning the earlier post from @Itstrainingtime, regarding the use of the word "breezy" in the nws forecasts, while I don't know the precise value, it is the sustained wind, not the wind gusts that determines the use of "breezy". I believe the threshold is sustained speeds of 20-25 mph. When the sustained wind is forecast to exceed 30 mph the adjective changes to "windy". The gust speeds and the frequencies of reaching these values are what is used to determine wind advisories and high wind warnings. I think that frequent gusts over 40mph qualify for a wind advisory while frequent gusts over 50mph+ qualify for a high wind warning. Please don't hold me to precise values for any of the wind speeds. I'm pretty sure the values I mentioned are at least "close" to the correct figures. Thank you! That's quite helpful. Here is the exact forecast for Wednesday in Maytown which would validate your post: Wednesday A slight chance of rain showers between 1pm and 4pm, then a slight chance of snow showers after 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 45. Breezy, with a west wind 15 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Monday at 06:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:06 PM 3 hours ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: We should end the month ~5 degrees BN. In fact, my pen, notepad, and TI-84 Plus tell me we'll end January with a mean temp of 25.7 degrees. This would tie 1895 and 2003 for 21st coldest January all-time. Book it. I did a little (emphasis on that) research over lunch, it appears as if January 2025 will be the first BN temp month at MU since November 2023 if I'm reading this correctly. https://www.atmos.millersville.edu/~wic/climo/t-anomaly.htm The last month that MU was at least 5 degrees BN was April 2018. Edit: The cold Januarys of 1977 and 1994 really stand out on that graph. We all talk about 1994, for old guys like myself, 1977 will always be the benchmark. Over 11 degrees below normal for the month. The Chesapeake Bay was walkable shore to shore that winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted Monday at 07:05 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:05 PM 2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: First week of Feb shaping up quite chilly on the GFS after one day near or slightly an (talking highs). GFS slowly pushes the boundary further and further south as the week wears on...in a very zonal flow. How Chilly? It is snowing in coastal NC on Thursday the 6th. -5 degrees out in Wyoming this morning. I had 7° for the low this morning. Currently 38 degrees. But the wind makes it seem chilly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Monday at 09:11 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:11 PM https://www.yahoo.com/sports/dave-portnoy-vows-quit-football-143006501.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Monday at 09:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:28 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 09:52 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:52 PM 23 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Monday at 10:12 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:12 PM Will put this in the "I will believe it when I see it" category. Ground Hog Hammer down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Monday at 10:30 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:30 PM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 11:08 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:08 PM 37 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Chilly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Monday at 11:33 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:33 PM 23 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Chilly Not extreme but about as a cold of a start to Feb one could hope for. Just a model prog though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Monday at 11:52 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:52 PM 12z & 18z GFS were both very active with chances throughout the runs. Some winners & losers, but certainly more opportunities for Winter joy or pain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted Tuesday at 12:18 AM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 12:18 AM 43 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Not extreme but about as a cold of a start to Feb one could hope for. Just a model prog though. One that I hope is wrong. I can't deal with that kind of cold anymore. It sucks that to stay married, I have put up with temperatures I abhor. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted Tuesday at 06:15 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:15 AM Trying to attack PA but confluence is not budging enough. At this rate it won't snow in Boston till April due to confluence Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted Tuesday at 11:29 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:29 AM Low of 35. I imagine these next couple of days will decimate the pack pretty good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted Tuesday at 11:47 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:47 AM 33 degrees and snow flurries. Supposed to pick up maybe an inch this morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Tuesday at 11:56 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:56 AM 31°F with light snow this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Tuesday at 12:05 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:05 PM 31 and about 50% pack coverage left. Will pretty much be gone today. Snow squall day upcoming tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted Tuesday at 12:05 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:05 PM 36 this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Summit Snow Posted Tuesday at 12:53 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:53 PM The National Weather Service in Binghamton has issued a * Snow Squall Warning for... Southwestern Susquehanna County in northeastern Pennsylvania... Northwestern Lackawanna County in northeastern Pennsylvania... Southern Bradford County in northeastern Pennsylvania... Wyoming County in northeastern Pennsylvania... * Until 800 AM EST. * At 718 AM EST, a dangerous snow squall was located along a line extending from Rush to near Ogdensburg, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...Intense bursts of heavy snow. Gusty winds leading to blowing snow and rapidly falling visibility. Wind gusts up to 35 mph. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Travel will become difficult and potentially dangerous within minutes. Locations impacted include... Falls, Vernon, Rush, Tunkhannock, Springville, Glenburn, Dalton, Wilmot, Hollenback, and Factoryville. This includes the following highway exits... Pennsylvania Interstate 81 between 199 and 202. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Tuesday at 01:05 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:05 PM Road... eh you know the rest. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Tuesday at 01:13 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:13 PM What happens when the NWS and NOAA lose all funding in the next few weeks? We just rely on the Euro and Canadian and cross fingers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Tuesday at 01:20 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:20 PM 7 minutes ago, canderson said: What happens when the NWS and NOAA lose all funding in the next few weeks? We just rely on the Euro and Canadian and cross fingers? Joe the Bastard and the Myers clan become your weather, brother. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Tuesday at 01:21 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:21 PM 7 minutes ago, canderson said: What happens when the NWS and NOAA lose all funding in the next few weeks? We just rely on the Euro and Canadian and cross fingers? In der Ikon We Trust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Tuesday at 01:32 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:32 PM 16 minutes ago, canderson said: What happens when the NWS and NOAA lose all funding in the next few weeks? We just rely on the Euro and Canadian and cross fingers? Heggy has a barometer made of empty Jägermeister bottles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted Tuesday at 01:34 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:34 PM Plenty of clouds around today with our temperatures near normal (upper 30's) for late January. Tomorrow looks like the warmest day of the week with highs into the mid-40's. Some much-needed rain moves in by Friday morning which could briefly start as some freezing rain. The sun returns on Saturday with more rain by Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Tuesday at 01:38 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:38 PM Too much going on to look this morning but my low of 35 was the first morning in some time that stayed above freezing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Tuesday at 01:40 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:40 PM 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: 31 and about 50% pack coverage left. Will pretty much be gone today. Snow squall day upcoming tomorrow. (Someone tell CTP) Wednesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 45. Breezy, with a west wind 14 to 19 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 46 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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