Central PA Winter 2024/2025

[Bubbler86]

Rgem has a sneak attack lows below zero panel Sat AM for the Eastern part of the state.   Probably the Rgem overdoing it a bit but could be much colder than forecast as of now. 

[Jns2183]

It's been so dry that I actually had a bloody nose for the first time in many many years.

Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

[canderson]

28 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

It's been so dry that I actually had a bloody nose for the first time in many many years.

Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
 

My hands are so, so cracked. No amount of Vaseline can help (insert joke here) 

[CarlislePaWx]

2 hours ago, canderson said:

-5!!!! is my low. I think that’s the lowest ever for me here 

Congrats!  My low this morning was -9.8 F.  This temperature is the coldest reading I have ever recorded in my life on my own weather station(s).  The previous coldest reading I had recorded was -8 F which was at my home in NJ in Jan, 1994.  I also recorded -8 F in Jan of 1985 at the same site.  The coldest temperature that I stood outside in was at a friend's house in Haverhill, New Hampshire, which was -17 F.  I think that was in Jan of 1992.  I've now recorded 2 events (in the past 3 months) that were personally all-time records.  The first was the driest month, which was from October, 2024 with only 0.42".  The second was my low temperature today.  My all-time highest temperature was 102 F, also recorded at my NJ home in July of 1977.  I've recorded 101 degrees multiple times at multiple sites both in NJ and PA.  Last year the highest max temperature here was 100 F.

[Itstrainingtime]

9 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said:

Congrats!  My low this morning was -9.8 F.  This temperature is the coldest reading I have ever recorded in my life on my own weather station(s).  The previous coldest reading I had recorded was -8 F which was at my home in NJ in Jan, 1994.  I also recorded -8 F in Jan of 1985 at the same site.  The coldest temperature that I stood outside in was at a friend's house in Haverhill, New Hampshire, which was -17 F.  I think that was in Jan of 1992.  I've now recorded 2 events (in the past 3 months) that were personally all-time records.  The first was the driest month, which was from October, 2024 with only 0.42".  The second was my low temperature today.  My all-time highest temperature was 102 F, also recorded at my NJ home in July of 1977.  I've recorded 101 degrees multiple times at multiple sites both in NJ and PA.  Last year the highest max temperature here was 100 F.

I think that the Carlisle area was around -23 or so in January 1994. (just as a reference since you weren't living around here at the time) 

[pawatch]

You know it’s not your year when the last storm you got less than an inch.

And Alabama got 11.5”  

Canderson not touching the hand thing…especially with Vaseline on them. 

[Itstrainingtime]

@Bubbler86 - per the SE Obs thread, parts of Florida received between 8-10" of snow yesterday. 

Just jaw-dropping to think that parts of Florida have a deeper snow cover than here as of the moment. I'm sure they'll lose it quicker than we're losing ours. 

[Bubbler86]

6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

@Bubbler86 - per the SE Obs thread, parts of Florida received between 8-10" of snow yesterday. 

Just jaw-dropping to think that parts of Florida have a deeper snow cover than here as of the moment. I'm sure they'll lose it quicker than we're losing ours. 

That would shatter/more than double the record.  

[Itstrainingtime]

Looks like Cape Hatteras, which is out there a ways in the Atlantic picked up 9" of snow last night. Picture is from Hatteras Village. This is much farther south than a lot of tourists go who vacation on OBX. 

[paweather]

Mrytle Beach 5.0" of SNOW! Now that is climate change. 

[anotherman]

1 minute ago, paweather said:

Mrytle Beach 5.0" of SNOW! Now that is climate change. 

Do we really have to have a discussion about weather vs. climate?  Extreme cold and snow does not mean there is no climate change.  Climate focuses on long-term averages and trends.  NOT short-term weather events.

[Bubbler86]

It has only gone up 6 degrees here this AM.  At 3 right now.  MDT has gone up 17 (at 9) and THV has gone up 25 degrees (also at 9.)

[paweather]

7 minutes ago, anotherman said:

Do we really have to have a discussion about weather vs. climate?  Extreme cold and snow does not mean there is no climate change.  Climate focuses on long-term averages and trends.  NOT short-term weather events.

I was joking man, take a joke!

[anotherman]

I can take a joke, but I think I’ve seen the same joke repeatedly lately and just wanted to clarify.

[paweather]

1 minute ago, anotherman said:

I can take a joke, but I think I’ve seen the same joke repeatedly lately and just wanted to clarify.

Thanks maybe some don't believe in climate change and others do. It is everyone's own opinion. I'll move on. 

[Bubbler86]

12Z Icon has a different 500H pattern than the GFS next week and a substantial "setback" in driving lows below 0 again for about 1/3 of the state next Wed AM with highs Wed near 20-25 for the LSV. 

[Itstrainingtime]

7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

12Z Icon has a different 500H pattern than the GFS next week and a substantial "setback" in driving lows below 0 again for about 1/3 of the state next Wed AM with highs Wed near 20 for the LSV. 

Just saw that.

And yeah...that would definitely qualify as a setback. LOL 

[Bubbler86]

9 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Just saw that.

And yeah...that would definitely qualify as a setback. LOL 

Haha.  GFS still much more zonal so just a blip for now.  

[Itstrainingtime]

18 degree rise in temp at home so far, up to 13 from -5. Now running a little ahead (warmer) than yesterday. 

[pasnownut]

19 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Just saw that.

And yeah...that would definitely qualify as a setback. LOL 

hoping for many other "setbacks".....lol

[Bubbler86]

That Voyager Pig trough in the SW finally moves out days 8-10 on the GFS which leads to a cutter that snows and ices here as Cad holds on to our thermals (just barely).   As discussed on the MA board, the Euro AI has an even better evolution of this a day or two earlier that is mostly snow here.    Gem is warmer with all rain. 

[Bubbler86]

Nooners.  8 and almost 100% sunny skies.  

[WmsptWx]

33 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Gem is warmer with all rain. 

I am listening...

[mitchnick]

Still snowing at Hatteras.  Bunch more cams down below at this link.

https://www.surfchex.com/cams/hatteras-web-cam/

[mitchnick]

Nice cam here of snow on the beach and the sky.

https://www.surfchex.com/cams/surf-city-pier-north/

[pasnownut]

1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said:

That Voyager Pig trough in the SW finally moves out days 8-10 on the GFS which leads to a cutter that snows and ices here as Cad holds on to our thermals (just barely).   As discussed on the MA board, the Euro AI has an even better evolution of this a day or two earlier that is mostly snow here.    Gem is warmer with all rain. 

rolling forward, I think we'd want smaller events, as we lose blocking, and big ones likely will cut.  Fortunaly neutral PNA keeps flow flat and hopefully keeps NS influence close enough that we dont scorch, and have a chance at snow pack retention (some likely to lose, but likely not all of the state).  Seeing the MJO in low amp maritime makes me think WAR may not come roaring back....yet.  

[mahantango#1]

My NWS forecast says it will be a little warmer overnight then last 2 nights. But I'm skeptical about. that living where I do. I just hope it doesn't get below zero. But as long as I lived here something tells me it will get way below zero again.

[Bubbler86]

14 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

rolling forward, I think we'd want smaller events, as we lose blocking, and big ones likely will cut.  Fortunaly neutral PNA keeps flow flat and hopefully keeps NS influence close enough that we dont scorch, and have a chance at snow pack retention (some likely to lose, but likely not all of the state).  Seeing the MJO in low amp maritime makes me think WAR may not come roaring back....yet.  

Yea, I just think the issue is that SW menace.  Were it not for help from the NE blocking, we would be torching with that thing raising heights and the WAR.  I would like to roll it out of there even if it is a cut. 

I do think we lose quite a bit if it gets near 40 this weekend (snow)

[Bubbler86]

8 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

My NWS forecast says it will be a little warmer overnight then last 2 nights. But I'm skeptical about. that living where I do. I just hope it doesn't get below zero. But as long as I lived here something tells me it will get way below zero again.

The potential Sat AM lows are going to be a surprise to some as the highs will be moderating by that point but we have a 1035 High sitting over us ready to radiate.  It would not surprise me if you see 0 to -5 Sat AM.   Better ask DT to check on that! 

[Bubbler86]

Op Euro and GFS not far off on that potential cutter next week into the weekend.  High position is better on GFS though which leads to LSV changeover.