Superstorm Posted Sunday at 01:41 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:41 PM I’d say radar is exploding right now, not a bad look right now. Moderate snow now IMBYlol, I was just about to post that!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted Sunday at 01:42 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:42 PM The kids just alerted me to the fact that scattered snowflakes are indeed falling from the sky. Here we go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Sunday at 01:44 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:44 PM 8 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Latest RAP . I should have clarrified that my Rap comment was about IMBY and near Mitch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted Sunday at 01:49 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 01:49 PM 52 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The Nam 12 has not been able to show qpf properly for this system. Beyond my salary table to understand why. 3k has been fine with qpf depictions. Yeah, I know it's been "holy" all week. Maybe because it's a Sunday storm...lol I know that won't verify as shown, it was more tongue in cheek and a bad attempt at being humorous, just like my quip above. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Sunday at 01:51 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:51 PM Happy snow day to all. May accumulation odds forever be on your favor. My goal is still 4”. Anything under i’ll be disappointed, anything I above elated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted Sunday at 01:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:54 PM Those are some big flakes coming down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted Sunday at 01:55 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:55 PM There is an old saying/rule of thumb about follow the “finger” of initial snow breaking out and it will tip its hand and point to where the best dynamics are and where the best snows may be. So far it looks to be right over many of ours heads in the LSV. The fact steady snow has already broken out ahead of many of the models simulated radars is a good sign. I also have a straight north wind and moisture coming SSW looks like a pretty good FGEN zone establishing overhead. I am cautiously optimistic so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted Sunday at 01:59 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:59 PM Seeing my first snowflakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted Sunday at 01:59 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:59 PM Seeing my first snowflakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted Sunday at 02:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:02 PM Carpet and tile guys are a bummer for me in Upper Dauphin County right next to Northumberland County (that I can throw a stone into that county) in the accumulation dept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Sunday at 02:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:02 PM Non-accumulating Light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Sunday at 02:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:02 PM Light snow has commenced. Temperature has dropped again to 19°F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Sunday at 02:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:02 PM Just now, mahantango#1 said: Carpet and tile guys are a bummer for me in Upper Dauphin County right next to Northumberland County (that I can throw a stone into that county) in the accumulation dept. Looks fine imby. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Sunday at 02:05 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:05 PM 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: That looks great, but the weeklies I follow are at the link below and they aren't great for February after the first week or so. They are run off the 0z Eps from the night before and your run is from 2 nights ago. So it's possible, but I would imagine, very unlikely that 1 day would make a difference especially since the prior run at the link below was warm too. Anyway, here's the link. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202501180000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202501270000 The run I looked at was the latest on WB. Let’s take it a week or 2 at a time. Remember just 2 weeks ago, the good pattern was supposed to break down around the 20th, but now we are starting our coldest week yet with a Warning snow event. Long way to go for the seasonal trend. Also, near normal to slightly above temps can still produce snow through mid February with well timed events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CASH_COOP Posted Sunday at 02:06 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:06 PM 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Non-accumulating Light snow Decent snow growth here currently. Larger flakes and temp dropping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Sunday at 02:06 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:06 PM These flakes are massive. And have been for ~25 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Sunday at 02:07 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:07 PM Heavy band on its way soon. That should get you too Bubbler https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=LWX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Sunday at 02:08 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:08 PM 53 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: This fact is why I do not totally get any fretting about weather in Feb. We have had almost wall-to-wall winter temp wise but it has not been fully conducive to snow as most of us sit BN right now and the oppressively dry cold temps/next week are not helpful for snow as progged. If one wants snow we need to mix up the equation and and hope for some good timing. Great post! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Sunday at 02:08 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:08 PM 1 minute ago, CASH_COOP said: Decent snow growth here currently. Larger flakes and temp dropping Yeah increasing here. Radar looks great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Sunday at 02:09 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:09 PM 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The run I looked at was the latest on WB. Let’s take it a week or 2 at a time. Remember just 2 weeks ago, the good pattern was supposed to break down around the 20th, but now we are starting our coldest week yet with a Warning snow event. Long way to go for the seasonal trend. Also, near normal to slightly above temps can still produce snow through mid February with well timed events. When there's nothing imminent, I like looking ahead. It would be ashame to not score over the next 2 weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CASH_COOP Posted Sunday at 02:10 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:10 PM @Blizzard of 93can you post climate summary for HIA when it comes out. They at least have a T marked in the books Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Sunday at 02:10 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:10 PM 7 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Non-accumulating Light snow Ditto here right now. All rain has mixed out but it is 34 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted Sunday at 02:11 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 02:11 PM Snow started on Tamaqua about a half hour ago. Liking the large flake size so far. Temp 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CASH_COOP Posted Sunday at 02:12 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:12 PM We ended up with 14 entries for the snowfall contest. Amounts range from 3.5 inches up to 8 inches with a fair amount of guesses give or take 5 inches. Thanks to everyone who put a entry in and good luck to everyone. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Sunday at 02:12 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:12 PM I'm going to post this off the 6z AI because Bubbler and Bliz haven't told me "I told you so"" enough. Lol Move it forward from that hour. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ec-aifs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2025011906&fh=282 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Sunday at 02:16 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:16 PM 6 minutes ago, CASH_COOP said: @Blizzard of 93can you post climate summary for HIA when it comes out. They at least have a T marked in the books Lol, I’ll be monitoring it all day! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Sunday at 02:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:17 PM 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: I'm going to post this off the 6z AI because Bubbler and Bliz haven't told me "I told you so"" enough. Lol Move it forward from that hour. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ec-aifs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2025011906&fh=282 What did I "Tell you" LOL. Edit oh the snow storm on the 31st. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted Sunday at 02:18 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:18 PM Light snow for the past half hour in York, but not laying on anything yet. What time does the main part of the storm start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CASH_COOP Posted Sunday at 02:20 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:20 PM Just now, Storm Clouds said: Light snow for the past half hour in York, but not laying on anything yet. What time does the main part of the storm start? Reading CTP disco this morning, they think the peak for lsv falls in the 12p to 6p timeframe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted Sunday at 02:21 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:21 PM Just now, CASH_COOP said: Reading CTP disco this morning, they think the peak for lsv falls in the 12p to 6p timeframe Wow way ahead of schedule! Good to know…thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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