Ruin Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, Bubbler86 said: High of 42 today did a number on the pack and it is totally gone minus mounds. Will be nice to refresh tomorrow. had no pack here at all even after the nice little 1 inch snow we got last week. maybe a spot that doesnt get direct sun may have a small snow pile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 A little late here but for MDT I’ll go 6.2” off of .53” liquid. CC: @CASH_COOP @Bubbler86 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Here we go, afraid these may be a tad high but would love for them to bust low. These are too smoothed out but not going to go crazy. I am sure I forgot someone I have conversed with recently but going off the top of my head, no offense. I could have simply said 4-6" and covered most :-).[mention=1156]canderson[/mention] an interested observer just told me it is really 4.8"so changing my number [mention=12693]Blizzard of 93[/mention] 4.5" [mention=1366]Itstrainingtime[/mention] and [mention=18246]Mount Joy Snowman[/mention] and other Lanco posters 5.3" [mention=9275]DDweatherman[/mention] 4.2" [mention=10851]Chris78[/mention] 4.0" [mention=2236]pawatch[/mention] 2.6" [mention=6001]paweather[/mention] 5" [mention=524]Bubbler86[/mention] 4.2" [mention=20742]AccuChris[/mention] 5.1" [mention=821]mitchnick[/mention] 4.2" [mention=317]Voyager[/mention] 5.3" [mention=7391]mahantango#1[/mention] 4.1" [mention=2708]WmsptWx[/mention] 3.7" [mention=1189]anotherman[/mention] 4.4" Hahaha I never made a prediction! I’ll say 5.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, Superstorm said: RGEM shifted significantly SE as we ALL should have expected. . Considering the Canadians had their forecast from probably 3 days ago and will probably be what, 25-35 miles, north of reality is imho a great forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, Mount Joy Snowman said: A little late here but for MDT I’ll go 6.2” off of .53” liquid. CC: @CASH_COOP @Bubbler86 Sorry if there was any confusion, my predict was just ME predicting totals for each person. I do that every year for fun. Not sure what the other thing is but I am not involved in that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 They bumped things up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, Superstorm said: Bob Barker, 4.9” . Rod Roddy, 1.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 16 minutes ago, pawatch said: They bumped things up. Talk about a range! Holy heck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 KC sure knows how to buy refs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Canadian has the MDT area below zero 4 mornings in a row, Wed-Sat, with a peak of -9 on Thursday the 23rd which would be 3 under the current record. GFS and Euro not nearly as cold especially the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 KC sure knows how to buy refs. Don’t get me started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 25 minutes ago, pawatch said: They bumped things up. What an odd map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, 2001kx said: What an odd map 3-11" is a nice buffer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 3-11" is a nice buffer. That’s I’m not going to make a mistake range 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, paweather said: That’s I’m not going to make a mistake range They may have accidentally mixed their percentage of chance/highest end possibility maps with their forecast maps. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 I don't pay for models. What does the 18z Euro show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 That map should get the National Weather Service shut down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 50 minutes ago, pawatch said: They bumped things up. lol these amount ranges are jokes right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 The last RAP was shockingly low. Hope the 0Z's hold ground some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 24 minutes ago, Voyager said: I don't pay for models. What does the 18z Euro show? I think the Euro was a couple of steps backwards, unfortunately. MDT is only .21" of QPF. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Here we go, afraid these may be a tad high but would love for them to bust low. These are too smoothed out but not going to go crazy. I am sure I forgot someone I have conversed with recently but going off the top of my head, no offense. I could have simply said 4-6" and covered most :-).[mention=1156]canderson[/mention] an interested observer just told me it is really 4.8"so changing my number [mention=12693]Blizzard of 93[/mention] 4.5" [mention=1366]Itstrainingtime[/mention] and [mention=18246]Mount Joy Snowman[/mention] and other Lanco posters 5.3" [mention=9275]DDweatherman[/mention] 4.2" [mention=10851]Chris78[/mention] 4.0" [mention=2236]pawatch[/mention] 2.6" [mention=6001]paweather[/mention] 5" [mention=524]Bubbler86[/mention] 4.2" [mention=20742]AccuChris[/mention] 5.1" [mention=821]mitchnick[/mention] 4.2" [mention=317]Voyager[/mention] 5.3" [mention=7391]mahantango#1[/mention] 4.1" [mention=2708]WmsptWx[/mention] 3.7" [mention=1189]anotherman[/mention] 4.4" In for 5.7” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 I won’t change my prediction but it looks like a 3” or so storm for MDT. They have changed the grid to 3-5” - it was 5-8” when we entered dinner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 21z National blend of models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: 21z National blend of models. Continued good news Blizz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Here’s CTP’s latest Expected map as of 7:16 pm….. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Here’s CTP’s latest Expected map as of 7:16 pm….. Honestly I've seen enough plowable events this season, if all I'm to see is one inch, I would rather see none. I don't need the ass-pain that comes with taking my kid to daycare on Monday on shitty roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 30 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Here’s CTP’s latest Expected map as of 7:16 pm….. Definitely more realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 0z HRRR delays the snow a bit vs. 18z. For LSV and near. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 0z HRRR delays the snow a bit vs. 18z. For LSV and near. A ~5 hour event it appears? Will need heavy precip to get up to warning levels 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Long range HRRR is sorta meh for accumulations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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