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Central PA Winter 2024/2025


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Some light snow this afternoon and evening with a clipper system could leave between 0.3" to as much as 1" of snow in spots. We should see our temperatures briefly rise above freezing on both Friday and Saturday afternoon. Snow may arrive on Saturday but will quickly turn to rain. An arctic cold front will cross the area on Sunday morning. A storm will form along this boundary. Now where this storm forms will determine if this is a plowable snow event or not. Either way the coldest weather since December 2022 will follow. Temperatures will fall to around 10 degrees on Monday morning and if we have a solid snowpack we could see low temperatures for both Tuesday and Wednesday morning next week below zero.

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12Z is off and running.
 
1-Does the Canadian suite clown everything else except Eurochatgpt?
2-Does our namming come at this hour?
3-Are Eagles fan going to be anxious again about snow on Sunday? 
 

Without any scientific reasoning behind it, I am going to hedge my bets that modeling continues to move towards more action for Sunday. The 6z Euro AI model was more juiced up compared to its 0z run and even the “non-event” models made small moves towards more amplification. The Canadian products have been rock solid consistent so we will see. I think DraftKings should start doing spreads and money lines on weather model outputs run to run lol


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3 minutes ago, AccuChris said:


Without any scientific reasoning behind it, I am going to hedge my bets that modeling continues to move towards more action for Sunday. The 6z Euro AI model was more juiced up compared to its 0z run and even the “non-event” models made small moves towards more amplification. The Canadian products have been rock solid consistent so we will see. I think DraftKings should start doing spreads and money lines on weather model outputs run to run lol


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To be serious I always thought of this. LOL. With the amount of sports betting why not have a weather/model betting option. 

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3 minutes ago, AccuChris said:


Without any scientific reasoning behind it, I am going to hedge my bets that modeling continues to move towards more action for Sunday. The 6z Euro AI model was more juiced up compared to its 0z run and even the “non-event” models made small moves towards more amplification. The Canadian products have been rock solid consistent so we will see. I think DraftKings should start doing spreads and money lines on weather model outputs run to run lol


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Props to JB yesterday.  He pointed out something I/some were not noticing.   The Canadian was having the wave start to intensify off the artic front not the initial cold front.   

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1 minute ago, paweather said:

To be serious I always thought of this. LOL. With the amount of sports betting why not have a weather/model betting option. 

One reason is that this place (Site wide) would be incorrigible.   There are already enough bad hot takes on model skill, if $$$ is involved it would be ugly.  LOL

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10 minutes ago, Superstorm said:

I actually think there is a site for weather betting.

Soft commodities (wheat, corn, soybeans, etc.) are one place very weather dependent where markets are very liquid.  Energy markets are another but they are pretty schizophrenic.

I actually did pretty good at coffee futures using weather in Brazil like 15 years ago.  It's gotten much more sophisticated nowadays but the principle stands.

 

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