AccuChris Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 [mention=20742]AccuChris[/mention] what are you thinking for Lebanon County? My gut since Friday keeps screaming 4” so I will stick to that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 minute ago, AccuChris said: My gut since Friday keeps screaming 4” so I will stick to that . I’ll take that! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
717Weather Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 I'll take the under and say 2-4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Adam’s and Franklin under warnings now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 5 Author Share Posted January 5 Seems like a few of you might be upset with me, but now that I'm doing this new to me run with a new to me truck, and no way to pull the "there's snow on the road, can't legally run" excuse, I'll take as little as possible and hope it stays south. That being said, I'm not wishing anyone's snow away. I just hope the northern edge stays south of me without diminishing amounts for those in the good zones. As for next weekend, I'll believe it when it actually happens, but I hope it does. Weekends are the best times to get a MECS or a HECS. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 38 minutes ago, paweather said: Adam’s and Franklin under warnings now Plows down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 25 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Plows down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 28 and dp of 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 28 and dp of 14 31/8 here. Dry air is gonna be an issue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 11 minutes ago, canderson said: 31/8 here. Dry air is gonna be an issue. Definitely snow might be over us but not falling to the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 HRRR holding serve so far. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: No bowling ball/transfer issues but wagons north on precip shield/northern accums. Bubb will you quit trying to give me snow. I was perfectly fine with you getting all the snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 5 Author Share Posted January 5 1 minute ago, AccuChris said: HRRR holding serve so far . That northern cut-off is so sharp that it almost looks like a digital or graphical error. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Can't post it on mobile but Elliott says: 1" to perhaps 3" for eastern Cumberland, northern Lancaster and all of Dauphin and Lebanon counties with 3" - 6" for everyone else. His 6"-12" is south of Rt. 70 in MD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Can't post it on mobile but Elliott says: 1" to perhaps 3" for eastern Cumberland, northern Lancaster and all of Dauphin and Lebanon counties with 3" - 6" for everyone else. His 6"-12" is south of Rt. 70 in MD. I got you….. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 "Everyone else" = south of the 1-3" areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 HRRR has some exceptionally heavy snow near Richmond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: HRRR has sine exceptionally heavy snow near Richmond. That was bad news when I lived near BWI because it usually meant it wouldn't hit me hard unless, that is, they mixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Might be sick of hearing it, but dual barrel low again on the HRRR. One in WV and one in far south VA. Can also say elongated low but really extends a large dry slot to those folks to our SW. LSV getting a nice snow on this run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Just now, mitchnick said: That was bad news when I lived near BWI because it usually meant it wouldn't hit me hard unless, that is, they mixed. The accums down there are not great as it is 10-1 or less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 If I sneak 3” from this event I’ll be ecstatic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Just checked and NWS forecast for Richmond is 1-3" then it changes to a mix, so that's good to hear. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 4-8 basically the entire LSV except far NE prior to any 500 or coastal snows. Lanco hitting 4 or more. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 10 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Can't post it on mobile but Elliott says: 1" to perhaps 3" for eastern Cumberland, northern Lancaster and all of Dauphin and Lebanon counties with 3" - 6" for everyone else. His 6"-12" is south of Rt. 70 in MD. Someone asked Elliott if he thought there was a chance for things to come north some more and he said no. He said he is more worried about further ticks to the south given mid and upper level dynamics. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Just now, Mount Joy Snowman said: Someone asked Elliott if he thought there was a chance for things to come north some more and he said no. He said he is more worried about further ticks to the south given mid and upper level dynamics. Interesting. I saw that. And intentionally didn't share it here so not to stir things. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Just now, Mount Joy Snowman said: Someone asked Elliott if he thought there was a chance for things to come north some more and he said no. He said he is more worried about further ticks to the south given mid and upper level dynamics. Interesting. That's what I said earlier that if I changed my 3-5" for mby it would be to lower it. But I'd rather be wrong and get more snow,of course! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Not gospel of course but the HRRR would dictate a WSW for basically the entire LSV. Basically a hold from 12Z. Knocked 1-2" off far East and NE locales in the valley., 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 I’m probably too high but I like my 3-5” stance from yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 One thing at the mesoscale level I noticed on the 12z Euro is that despite it remaining on the lighter side with overall snowfall it managed to have a secondary band of enhanced QPF that extended from Pittsburgh to Clearfield to Williamsport, giving our northern folks in those spots approx 2-4”. Stuff like that will be need watched for on the meso models as we get close to start time. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Came in a little lighter than I expected Harrisburg and NE but still close to WSW there. Broad brush 4-10". 5" in Marysville. \\ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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