Blizzard of 93 Posted Thursday at 02:39 AM Share Posted Thursday at 02:39 AM 0z HRRR is on board for the little Friday appetizer event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Thursday at 03:24 AM Share Posted Thursday at 03:24 AM 0z ICON looks a lot like the 18z Euro. Hopefully the rest of 0z runs continue to improve for our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted Thursday at 03:31 AM Share Posted Thursday at 03:31 AM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted Thursday at 04:17 AM Share Posted Thursday at 04:17 AM GFS definitely coming in more amped and north than 18z, which brought a more significant snow swath further north. At the same time really tightens the gradient of the snow swath. 0z left, 18z right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Thursday at 04:23 AM Share Posted Thursday at 04:23 AM Good to see the GFS improving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Thursday at 04:25 AM Share Posted Thursday at 04:25 AM 0z Canadian made a nice jump north. Southern PA jackpots this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted Thursday at 05:10 AM Share Posted Thursday at 05:10 AM GEFS probs of 24 hr snowfall greater than 3”, 0z vs 18z. Big difference vs 18z although the 12z GEFS had similar swath placement to the current 0z run (but lesser probs). Stuff starting to dial in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted Thursday at 06:06 AM Share Posted Thursday at 06:06 AM Anyone along and just north of the M/D and across places along and west of Rt15 should be keeping close tabs on this one. Looks like a nice event starting to spruce up on guidance. Plenty cold and just need the moisture push. I’m think a warning level event is creeping up in probability. Not going to sound the alarms yet, but probably a good chance one of the better banding setups will be over northern MD into southern PA. I’ll check in over the next several days leading in! Hope everyone here is doing well and had a great set of holidays. Let’s reel this in for the Mid Atlantic. 8 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted Thursday at 11:48 AM Share Posted Thursday at 11:48 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 12:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 12:00 PM @Chris78 if the models hold or trend north at 12Z today we may have to bump up our hopes down here a bit but still seeing some suites showing precip dying off as the transfer happens so not sold on going to 4-6 yet. First things first, do we get 1-3" Friday? That would be a surprise bonus. Check out the HRRR strafing a lot of this forum as that piece of energy starts to form a bit making what appears to be a mini CCB. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 12:17 PM Share Posted Thursday at 12:17 PM 6Z Euro, Icon and GFS snow maps. Euro was a grab from MA(WB) and is 10:1... and includes tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted Thursday at 12:21 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 12:21 PM Ugh...Voyager rant here, but I'm so tired of being too far north, south, or west in these snow events. If we (I) can't get a good, solid high end advisory event, than I'd just as soon smoke cirrus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Thursday at 12:34 PM Share Posted Thursday at 12:34 PM 12 minutes ago, Voyager said: Ugh...Voyager rant here, but I'm so tired of being too far north, south, or west in these snow events. If we (I) can't get a good, solid high end advisory event, than I'd just as soon smoke cirrus. Still a few days to go for even up in Tamaqua… You are not far away from getting into the better snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted Thursday at 12:36 PM Share Posted Thursday at 12:36 PM 6z GFS & 6z Euro look fairly similar. Solid Advisory for the LSV at this time & borderline Warning for the southern tier. Let’s see where 12z takes us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Thursday at 01:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:00 PM 59 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: @Chris78 if the models hold or trend north at 12Z today we may have to bump up our hopes down here a bit but still seeing some suites showing precip dying off as the transfer happens so not sold on going to 4-6 yet. First things first, do we get 1-3" Friday? That would be a surprise bonus. Check out the HRRR strafing a lot of this forum as that piece of energy starts to form a bit making what appears to be a mini CCB. The problem with the HRRR, is that it's the HRRR. I hope to God it's right though. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted Thursday at 01:01 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:01 PM Low of 32. I look forward to diving into things a bit more today but I know this: 4+ days out from a storm put me on the northern edge rather than the southern edge. I'll take my chances from there any day of the week. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 01:03 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:03 PM Just now, mitchnick said: The problem with the HRRR, is that it's the HRRR. I hope to God it's right though. Lol Most suites show at least an 1" in some southern PA locales. I like the HRRR panel because you could see the piece of energy trying to form. Temps are not going to be super cold though so possibly just accums on grass and mulch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Thursday at 01:09 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:09 PM It's fn freezing already. I am not looking forward to the next several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Thursday at 01:09 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:09 PM 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Most suites show at least an 1" in some southern PA locales. I like the HRRR panel because you could see the piece of energy trying to form. Temps are not going to be super cold though so possibly just accums on grass and mulch. Don't get me wrong, it's a dream depiction for just the reason you stated. I've just found, at least when I lived near BWI, it often over forecasted snow to my despair. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 01:35 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:35 PM 25 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Don't get me wrong, it's a dream depiction for just the reason you stated. I've just found, at least when I lived near BWI, it often over forecasted snow to my despair. Lol Latest HRRR focuses the over 1" area near you and to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted Thursday at 01:36 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:36 PM 93 storm I was on duty at fire department. Got held over. Back then we run the ambulance and they sent a highway truck with a big plow down to headquarters to run with the ambulance on all calls. This morning 35 and very windy with a few stray flurries. At least we have something to watch good or bad. Always a little wiggle wiggle, wiggle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Thursday at 01:39 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:39 PM 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Latest HRRR focuses the over 1" area near you and to the east. It should be a nice squally patch with decent rates where it falls. Favored zone about our BY and ESE. I don’t mind getting a little south mountain enhancement? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted Thursday at 01:43 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:43 PM 12z HRRR still giving a little snow appetizer tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted Thursday at 01:49 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:49 PM Today, while still below normal temperatures will be our warmest day for quite a while. Tomorrow we will be a bit chillier than today, and we will likely see our last above freezing temperatures for about 10 days. Some light snow is possible by tomorrow evening with a coating to an inch in spots. Cold and dry for the weekend before our snow chances increase on Sunday evening into Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 02:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:06 PM Microsoft has put out their forecast. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Thursday at 02:10 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:10 PM Final 2024 Climatology numbers from Lancaster (Millersville): MU Weather Center #December2024 ended with 3.12” of liquid equivalent precip at@millersvilleu, bringing the annual total to 36.50” (about 5” below normal). Due in large part to an unusually mild ending, temps were nearly 2 degrees above average, in aggregate. (Temp departure was for December, 2024 as a whole was nearly 5" below normal for QPF) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 02:12 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:12 PM Starting off the New Year in the hole. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted Thursday at 02:18 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:18 PM 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Starting off the New Year in the hole. Can't be right. I ended up just .0003" BN for the year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Thursday at 02:24 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:24 PM Well blowing in the 30s. Saturday is looking just as if not more windy than yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted Thursday at 02:27 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:27 PM 15 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Can't be right. I ended up just .0003" BN for the year. Speaking of right and wrong, I am taking partial credit for getting very close on the score/points for winning and losing teams for game 3. :-) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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