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Central PA Winter 2024/2025


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12 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said:

Ahhh...I'm back in the blue...lol.  Actually, closer to 2.5".  I'm the next county south for the expanded WWA...IF they expand it!  Pressure holding steady now at 30.81".  I'll just keep saying watch out for unexpected (prolonged) freezing rain in the advisory areas.  I'm down to 26 with a dew point of 17.

18z ICON improved as well for your area.

IMG_7953.png

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21 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

The drones are here.  I saw them/something last week, a set of 2 that looked similar to a set of planes doing crop dusting.  Now lots of reports in the LSV.

IMG-5684.jpg
 

I am the red dot. This plane (CORY81) circled the city a loooooooot tonight. 

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_E-6_Mercury#Specifications_(E-6B)

There were drones over the river as it was flying low and slow (700’ and 155 mph) 

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1 hour ago, canderson said:

IMG-5684.jpg
 

I am the red dot. This plane (CORY81) circled the city a loooooooot tonight. 

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_E-6_Mercury#Specifications_(E-6B)

There were drones over the river as it was flying low and slow (700’ and 155 mph) 

If you go back and look and his track log, he was doing touch and go's at MDT. He also did it in Panama City FL. He did fly a strange path to MDT.

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3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

I wonder if these 0z runs will give CTP enough confidence to add Cumberland, Dauphin & Lebanon to the Advisory?

Wow!  You literally took the words out of my mouth.  Those same 3 counties seem to be headed into the WWA by morning.  I continue to be amazed at the persistence of the high pressure not giving up the ghost.  It's been holding steady all evening hovering around 30.80" after briefly rising to 30.82" an hour ago.  Skies at 11pm are still mostly clear with only a few patches of cirrus floating by.  I'm down to 19 degrees.  I wonder if the overcast will be here by sunrise?  The nearly full moon is directly overhead with what looks like a bright planet close by.  The widespread frost that is already on the grass is reflecting the moonlight in crystalline fashion.

Finally, my high temp today was actually lower than yesterday, which was a bit of a surprise.  32.4 degrees for my high today with yesterday's being 32.9...so basically the same. Both highs occurred between 2:24 - 2:28pm  My low overnight (early) was 16.9.  The first half of this month is definitely running quite a bit below average.

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36 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said:

Wow!  You literally took the words out of my mouth.  Those same 3 counties seem to be headed into the WWA by morning.  I continue to be amazed at the persistence of the high pressure not giving up the ghost.  It's been holding steady all evening hovering around 30.80" after briefly rising to 30.82" an hour ago.  Skies at 11pm are still mostly clear with only a few patches of cirrus floating by.  I'm down to 19 degrees.  I wonder if the overcast will be here by sunrise?  The nearly full moon is directly overhead with what looks like a bright planet close by.  The widespread frost that is already on the grass is reflecting the moonlight in crystalline fashion.

Finally, my high temp today was actually lower than yesterday, which was a bit of a surprise.  32.4 degrees for my high today with yesterday's being 32.9...so basically the same. Both highs occurred between 2:24 - 2:28pm  My low overnight (early) was 16.9.  The first half of this month is definitely running quite a bit below average.

There is already precip in Central OH according to radar, so we should have cloud cover by the am.

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6 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The 6z NAMs are surprisingly not very supportive of snow today for the Harrisburg area.

Most other models actually improved with snow amounts.

 

Thank you for pointing out all angles.  I do think, compared to 2-3 days ago, the LSV has improved in seeing the chance of snow falling. The high is a bit better positioned and Qpf is running ahead to catch the retreating cold air.  Do not see much freezing rain threat IMO.   Nws AFD is a bit poo poo in their reference to the LSV and accums.

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7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Thank you for pointing out all angles.  I do think, compared to 2-3 days ago, the LSV has improved in seeing the chance of snow falling. The high is a bit better position and Qpf is running ahead to catch the retreating cold air.  Do not see much freezing rain threat IMO.   Nws AFD is a bit poo poo in their reference to the LSV and accums.

Good morning, yes, I agree on all points.

It seems like CTP has a rookie at the overnight desk with just references to the NBM, ensemble mean & WPC QPF, with not much detail.

Hopefully CTP’s day shift provides more insight later on for the first widespread event for the vast majority of their territory.

 

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14 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Good morning, yes, I agree on all points.

It seems like CTP has a rookie at the overnight desk with just references to the NBM, ensemble mean & WPC QPF, with not much detail.

Hopefully CTP’s day shift provides more insight later on for the first widespread event for the vast majority of their territory.

 

Seems it's the same old story at CTP. Downplaying every winter event. But they're the meteorologists, so they should know.

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