Blizzard of 93 Posted December 14, 2024 Share Posted December 14, 2024 On 12/14/2024 at 10:37 PM, Voyager said: I posted that I expected them to soon be hoisted. Does that count? lol Expand Yes indeed, from one Advised poster to another, Lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 14, 2024 Share Posted December 14, 2024 On 12/14/2024 at 10:34 PM, CarlislePaWx said: Ahhh...I'm back in the blue...lol. Actually, closer to 2.5". I'm the next county south for the expanded WWA...IF they expand it! Pressure holding steady now at 30.81". I'll just keep saying watch out for unexpected (prolonged) freezing rain in the advisory areas. I'm down to 26 with a dew point of 17. Expand 18z ICON improved as well for your area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 14, 2024 Share Posted December 14, 2024 18z RGEM still is looking good for the Harrisburg area on to the north & west. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 The drones are here. I saw them/something last week, a set of 2 that looked similar to a set of planes doing crop dusting. Now lots of reports in the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 On 12/15/2024 at 2:29 AM, Bubbler86 said: The drones are here. I saw them/something last week, a set of 2 that looked similar to a set of planes doing crop dusting. Now lots of reports in the LSV. Expand Time to take em out. Put them out of commission! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 On 12/15/2024 at 2:39 AM, mahantango#1 said: Time to take em out. Put them out of commission! Expand Scramble MUI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 On 12/15/2024 at 2:29 AM, Bubbler86 said: The drones are here. I saw them/something last week, a set of 2 that looked similar to a set of planes doing crop dusting. Now lots of reports in the LSV. Expand I am the red dot. This plane (CORY81) circled the city a loooooooot tonight. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_E-6_Mercury#Specifications_(E-6B) There were drones over the river as it was flying low and slow (700’ and 155 mph) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 On 12/15/2024 at 2:50 AM, canderson said: I am the red dot. This plane (CORY81) circled the city a loooooooot tonight. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_E-6_Mercury#Specifications_(E-6B) There were drones over the river as it was flying low and slow (700’ and 155 mph) Expand It's time for answers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 On 12/15/2024 at 3:11 AM, mahantango#1 said: It's time for answers. Expand Seems like a national military training game is being undertaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 The 0z RGEM is steady as she goes for tomorrow’s event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 0z ICON had its best run yet for the Harrisburg area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 The 0z GFS had its best run yet for tomorrow. First GFS run to get Harrisburg in the “blue” on the snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
philliesmd Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 On 12/15/2024 at 2:50 AM, canderson said: I am the red dot. This plane (CORY81) circled the city a loooooooot tonight. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_E-6_Mercury#Specifications_(E-6B) There were drones over the river as it was flying low and slow (700’ and 155 mph) Expand If you go back and look and his track log, he was doing touch and go's at MDT. He also did it in Panama City FL. He did fly a strange path to MDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 0z Canadian looks similar to the GFS for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 I wonder if these 0z runs will give CTP enough confidence to add Cumberland, Dauphin & Lebanon to the Advisory? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 On 12/15/2024 at 4:10 AM, Blizzard of 93 said: I wonder if these 0z runs will give CTP enough confidence to add Cumberland, Dauphin & Lebanon to the Advisory? Expand I guess we'll know tomorrow morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 On 12/15/2024 at 4:10 AM, Blizzard of 93 said: I wonder if these 0z runs will give CTP enough confidence to add Cumberland, Dauphin & Lebanon to the Advisory? Expand Wow! You literally took the words out of my mouth. Those same 3 counties seem to be headed into the WWA by morning. I continue to be amazed at the persistence of the high pressure not giving up the ghost. It's been holding steady all evening hovering around 30.80" after briefly rising to 30.82" an hour ago. Skies at 11pm are still mostly clear with only a few patches of cirrus floating by. I'm down to 19 degrees. I wonder if the overcast will be here by sunrise? The nearly full moon is directly overhead with what looks like a bright planet close by. The widespread frost that is already on the grass is reflecting the moonlight in crystalline fashion. Finally, my high temp today was actually lower than yesterday, which was a bit of a surprise. 32.4 degrees for my high today with yesterday's being 32.9...so basically the same. Both highs occurred between 2:24 - 2:28pm My low overnight (early) was 16.9. The first half of this month is definitely running quite a bit below average. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 Already down to 23 at 11:40. Maybe from the nuclear fallout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 On 12/15/2024 at 4:27 AM, CarlislePaWx said: Wow! You literally took the words out of my mouth. Those same 3 counties seem to be headed into the WWA by morning. I continue to be amazed at the persistence of the high pressure not giving up the ghost. It's been holding steady all evening hovering around 30.80" after briefly rising to 30.82" an hour ago. Skies at 11pm are still mostly clear with only a few patches of cirrus floating by. I'm down to 19 degrees. I wonder if the overcast will be here by sunrise? The nearly full moon is directly overhead with what looks like a bright planet close by. The widespread frost that is already on the grass is reflecting the moonlight in crystalline fashion. Finally, my high temp today was actually lower than yesterday, which was a bit of a surprise. 32.4 degrees for my high today with yesterday's being 32.9...so basically the same. Both highs occurred between 2:24 - 2:28pm My low overnight (early) was 16.9. The first half of this month is definitely running quite a bit below average. Expand There is already precip in Central OH according to radar, so we should have cloud cover by the am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 31/24 this am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 15, 2024 Author Share Posted December 15, 2024 If that's the case, I'm gonna be decorating the spare tire on my Jeep this morning... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 The 6z NAMs are surprisingly not very supportive of snow today for the Harrisburg area. Most other models actually improved with snow amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 The 6z Euro & 6z ICON are 2 models that improved with snow amounts near Harrisburg & I-81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 The southern tier crew should root on the short range high Canadian herpaderp, which went wild at 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 On 12/15/2024 at 11:51 AM, Blizzard of 93 said: The 6z NAMs are surprisingly not very supportive of snow today for the Harrisburg area. Most other models actually improved with snow amounts. Expand Thank you for pointing out all angles. I do think, compared to 2-3 days ago, the LSV has improved in seeing the chance of snow falling. The high is a bit better positioned and Qpf is running ahead to catch the retreating cold air. Do not see much freezing rain threat IMO. Nws AFD is a bit poo poo in their reference to the LSV and accums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 On 12/15/2024 at 11:57 AM, Bubbler86 said: Thank you for pointing out all angles. I do think, compared to 2-3 days ago, the LSV has improved in seeing the chance of snow falling. The high is a bit better position and Qpf is running ahead to catch the retreating cold air. Do not see much freezing rain threat IMO. Nws AFD is a bit poo poo in their reference to the LSV and accums. Expand Good morning, yes, I agree on all points. It seems like CTP has a rookie at the overnight desk with just references to the NBM, ensemble mean & WPC QPF, with not much detail. Hopefully CTP’s day shift provides more insight later on for the first widespread event for the vast majority of their territory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 On 12/15/2024 at 11:59 AM, Blizzard of 93 said: Good morning, yes, I agree on all points. It seems like CTP has a rookie at the overnight desk with just references to the NBM, ensemble mean & WPC QPF, with not much detail. Hopefully CTP’s day shift provides more insight later on for the first widespread event for the vast majority of their territory. Expand Seems it's the same old story at CTP. Downplaying every winter event. But they're the meteorologists, so they should know. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 The last couple of runs of the HRRR have been a little more generous with I-81 snow later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 I like seeing the radar lit up nicely in most of WV that should make its way here later today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 15, 2024 Share Posted December 15, 2024 Radar looks pretty decent. Short range guidance has beefed up my neck of the woods overnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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