Mount Joy Snowman Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 .23” of rain and my temp hasn’t budged an inch since midnight, stuck at 45. Some decent fog through the rurals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 Idk what the Gefs has been smoking, but the 6z run has come in with more snow with a changeover tomorrow night. This is 10:1, so it's definitely overdone, nothing else looks like it. I don't believe it, but sure as heck wish it would score the coup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 8 hours ago, canderson said: They listened! Ha You must have an influence on them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 Just now, mahantango#1 said: You must have an influence on them. With some of their forecasts, they just may be under the influence! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 Just now, mitchnick said: With some of their forecasts, they just may be under the influence! Sounds about right. Sometimes with their choice of wording in their forecasts makes you wonder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 32 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Idk what the Gefs has been smoking, but the 6z run has come in with more snow with a changeover tomorrow night. This is 10:1, so it's definitely overdone, nothing else looks like it. I don't believe it, but sure as heck wish it would score the coup. I would be nice to get lucky with this one. Here is the 24 hour GEFS snow map for this event on Weatherbell. Everyone please note… Weatherbell map shows less snow………… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I would be nice to get lucky with this one. Here is the 24 hour GEFS snow map for this event on Weatherbell. Everyone please note… Weatherbell map shows less snow………… Maybe the one or two members showing big snow on the Pivotal GEFS panel decided to abstain on WB? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 8 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I would be nice to get lucky with this one. Here is the 24 hour GEFS snow map for this event on Weatherbell. Everyone please note… Weatherbell map shows less snow………… Even that is a lot more than anything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 It looks like our wettest couple of days are on tap since the 5.86" of rain that fell between August 6th and 10th. Models show between 1.25" to as much as 2.75" of potential rain. A cold front will sweep through tomorrow night and end the rain....some models hint at a brief change to snow before ending. These type of rain to snow scenarios rarely work out the way the models project. Either way it is much colder to close out the week before we moderate to close to normal over the weekend with the potential of more rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 14 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said: The real crime is a man named Luigi winding up in a town where this medigan crap is called pizza. That is disgusting. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 .33" of rainfall fell yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 47 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Even that is a lot more than anything else. Truth told, its been a while since we've had rain to snow scenario. The good ol days of watching every raindrop and waiting for the rain to turn to white rain, then the flip. I'm rooting for this, but we've done enough of these (especially down here) to know how this typically pans out (post empty pan pics at will). Elevation/norther/westers...many of us are living vicariously through you on this one. Happy to see the post frontal cold shots, to keep things from being totally sh!t, but until we find a way to get troughing back in the east, or at least zonal boundary far enough S to keep us in the mix, I'm keeping chips in pocket for a while. Not much on ENS guidance, as its a rather progressive look, and one of PAC air origin/dominance. Maybe next week we start to see a better look. Hope so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 .28 rain yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 23 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Truth told, its been a while since we've had rain to snow scenario. The good ol days of watching every raindrop and waiting for the rain to turn to white rain, then the flip. I'm rooting for this, but we've done enough of these (especially down here) to know how this typically pans out (post empty pan pics at will). Elevation/norther/westers...many of us are living vicariously through you on this one. Happy to see the post frontal cold shots, to keep things from being totally sh!t, but until we find a way to get troughing back in the east, or at least zonal boundary far enough S to keep us in the mix, I'm keeping chips in pocket for a while. Not much on ENS guidance, as its a rather progressive look, and one of PAC air origin/dominance. Maybe next week we start to see a better look. Hope so. Hey you don’t mock our patented rain to rain winter storms! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 19 minutes ago, canderson said: Hey you don’t mock our patented rain to rain winter storms! Dont mock it till ya try it..... Been there...did that. Its just not in the cards for us down here. As stated, norther westers can score on these, so if I lived up or over there...I'd be fine w/ backend snow and a couple days of white after. I guess I'm just pooh poohin the look in my/our hoods. I'm not trying to pooh pooh any chatter about how we may get snow, as sneaky surprises (like upcoming event) are capable of doing just that, but its a needle in haystack look for the next week. AO looks to be headed back notably neg and PNA + after mid month, and that helps IF other indies arent crap. Need to see what that new look is next week IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 On 12/4/2024 at 11:41 AM, Bubbler86 said: On 12/4/2024 at 11:43 AM, Itstrainingtime said: That's some very beneficial rain to help with our drought situation. 6 days later and it's now on the doorstep...1-3" of rain tonight into tomorrow PM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 Nothing incredible, but the Nam twins are starting to like some accumulations thru the area, with the 3k surprisingly better than Papa Nam. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 44 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 6 days later and it's now on the doorstep...1-3" of rain tonight into tomorrow PM. It is not going to have overly cold pavement either. It is already in the upper 40's to mid 50's around the area with some near or above 60's coming possibly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 56 and increasing cloudiness at noon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 56 and increasing cloudiness at noon. Socked in overcast and 45 here. Edit: Temp has risen 0.7 degrees since 7am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 22 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Socked in overcast and 45 here. Edit: Temp has risen 0.7 degrees since 7am. That was why I added my WU certified map to the post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 12z Gefs increased snowfall from 6z. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 20 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: That was why I added my WU certified map to the post. I certainly believed you without it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: I certainly believed you without it. When you are rocking 58-65 tomorrow Am you can skip the map if you want. :-) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 Where is Bliz with the Euro maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 @Chris78 surprised they are not open yet? Going to get some melt the next 24 hours (Liberty) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 16 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Where is Bliz with the Euro maps? Penn State Special. SM...NO!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 12z Euro back with the coastal weekend before Christmas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 5 minutes ago, AccuChris said: 12z Euro back with the coastal weekend before Christmas . That's the 1 I was referring to. Thanks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 Temps have rocketed to 57ºF here today (58ºF at one point). Had a tad over an inch of rain fall yesterday (1.05”). Some models are coming back around to the rain to snow scenario over a bit larger of an area of C-PA later tomorrow. Best handling ones are likely gonna be the high res stuff like the 3k NAM. I think most of us could see some kind of changeover but this is likely to be yet another elevationally driven event in terms of accumulations. There’s a sharp temp drop progged behind the frontal passage but probably not sharp enough in lower elevations to get meaningful accums. The big story with this event is likely to be the much needed rainfall. SW PA and WV has seen some meaningful improvements on the drought monitor the last couple weeks and it appears that tomorrow’s system is going to really help the more significant drought conditions in eastern PA and the megalopolis (and surrounding) region as a whole. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now