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December Discobs 2024


George BM
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1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

GFS was way too warm this morning. Euro even was too high, although closer than GFS. NAM from yesterday also too warm surprisingly. GGEM was too cold of course.

18z HRDPS from yesterday was right on the money - it showed single digits in the northern areas with that warm pocket in southern MD. IMBY-wise it was the only model showing 12° and sure enough that was the low.

This is all going in my weenie folder for later when it’s the only model showing us getting snow.

 

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15 hours ago, WEATHER53 said:

Something seems up.

WWA is up

Departing.  Mongolia air masses are different.  This high is not moving off mid Atlantic, more like off Boston . This isn’t a 1994 set up which gave us freezing with no snow at 22F.  Look for a surprise when the precip starts 

 

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2 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

WWA is up

Departing.  Mongolia air masses are different.  This high is not moving off mid Atlantic, more like off Boston . This isn’t a 1994 set up which gave us freezing with no snow at 22F.  Look for a surprise when the precip starts 

 

The biggest “problem” is that there just isn’t much precip with this.  Meso models are in the few hundredths range.  If we were looking at a big shield of precip coming in I’d agree with you.  But it is very likely just some pingers and/or light ZR for a bit.

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5 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

The biggest “problem” is that there just isn’t much precip with this.  Meso models are in the few hundredths range.  If we were looking at a big shield of precip coming in I’d agree with you.  But it is very likely just some pingers and/or light ZR for a bit.

Not much yet and I believe that will be under estimated .  We are already way further into possible wintry than  was thought 48 hours ago 

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