December 2024 General Discussion

[bowtie`]

0.69" of plain rain here last night/this morning.

[Stevo6899]

1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

Lol we haven't exactly had any pouring rain. It's gross out tho. Cold light rain at 34°. And at least there's been some light snowcover and bitter cold for the Christmas season. Way better than torch imo, tho I know you disagree.

Maybe not down there but it poured the 15 min drive to the gym this morning. But to stay positive we know things can change quickly and snow can sometimes breed more snow so long ways to go. It would be nice though to get off to a good start once in awhile.

[hawkeye_wx]

I finished with 0.85" of rain.  Locations around Ottumwa got 2+", which is why the ice was twice as thick down there.

[Brian D]

About a 0.1" of snow yesterday, and now temps just hovering around low-mid 30's. Dense fog adv out for TH, but no fog to be seen, even at the airport. DLH has fog, but all good lakeside there. 

[michsnowfreak]

1 hour ago, Stevo6899 said:

Maybe not down there but it poured the 15 min drive to the gym this morning. But to stay positive we know things can change quickly and snow can sometimes breed more snow so long ways to go. It would be nice though to get off to a good start once in awhile.

Yeah I think it was a steady light rain here. Had 0.47". Washed away the snow. I'm still liking January a lot, but first we have some up and down weather on the way.

[cyclone77]

Lack of snow/futility starting to show up in the data now.  Dubuque only at 0.6" for the season, and is now over 7 inches below average to date.  DVN at 0.8", no official average there yet but probably down 5.5-6 inches to date. 

[RogueWaves]

6 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

Lack of snow/futility starting to show up in the data now.  Dubuque only at 0.6" for the season, and is now over 7 inches below average to date.  DVN at 0.8", no official average there yet but probably down 5.5-6 inches to date. 

Losers (and winners) thru 12/11/24

[mnchaserguy]

Looks like a couple of chances for snow here in Minneapolis this week. An inch or two tomorrow night then a bigger clipper system on Thursday. Still a bit of spread in the models for both systems but either way we should pick up some snow this week.


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[OrdIowPitMsp]

4 hours ago, mnchaserguy said:

Looks like a couple of chances for snow here in Minneapolis this week. An inch or two tomorrow night then a bigger clipper system on Thursday. Still a bit of spread in the models for both systems but either way we should pick up some snow this week.


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Tomorrow looks like a nice cosmic coating, but Thursday has my attention. I’m selfishly worried about the metro being a county or two south of the main action but we could easily score 3-6” out of that one. 
 

Since 2000, Minneapolis has 69% odds of a white Christmas. That drops to 60% the last 10 years. Thursdays system will probably determine it this year. 

[cyclone77]

Looks like some flurries or very light snow here tomorrow night, and then another WI to MI special for Friday.  

Hopefully we'll clear the 1" seasonal snowfall threshold by New Years.

[mnchaserguy]

Tomorrow looks like a nice cosmic coating, but Thursday has my attention. I’m selfishly worried about the metro being a county or two south of the main action but we could easily score 3-6” out of that one. 
 
Since 2000, Minneapolis has 69% odds of a white Christmas. That drops to 60% the last 10 years. Thursdays system will probably determine it this year. 

Models have trended a decent ways south for tomorrow. Maybe a half inch for us. Not sure what that means for the track for Thursday if it’ll follow a similar southern trend. The good news is that Thursday’s system looks to have a pretty wide band so even if we don’t end up in the sweet spot we should still get a decent amount.


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[A-L-E-K]

gfs with pretty relentless heat to end the month and would probably erase most if not all temp departures form the cold snaps

[Maxim]

4 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

gfs with pretty relentless heat to end the month and would probably erase most if not all temp departures form the cold snaps

A sweeping cold front that brings us down into the 40s... in early Jan. Pardon my language, but what the fuck?

[michsnowfreak]

7 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

gfs with pretty relentless heat to end the month and would probably erase most if not all temp departures form the cold snaps

idk about that. Itll definitely eat into the departure, but id imagine most will still finish Dec slightly colder than avg.

[mnchaserguy]

Clipper systems are annoyingly finicky. Looks like we’ll miss out on the snow today in Minneapolis. Still on track to get a decent amount from a more potent clipper on Thursday.


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[OrdIowPitMsp]

8 hours ago, mnchaserguy said:

Clipper systems are annoyingly finicky. Looks like we’ll miss out on the snow today in Minneapolis. Still on track to get a decent amount from a more potent clipper on Thursday.


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We got dusted in south Minneapolis. Probably 0.1-0.2, wasn’t expecting it tbh. 

[Chicago Storm]

Solid frontogentic snow band sliding southeastward across Northern Illinois and Eastern Iowa.

2.6” snowfall report northwest of RFD.

[cyclone77]

No snow overnight but did pick up a minor glaze from some light freezing rain.  Seasonal snow total remains at 0.7".

[Cary67]

7 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

Solid frontogentic snow band sliding southeastward across Northern Illinois and Eastern Iowa.

2.6” report northwest of RFD.

Weakened some as it pushed through here. Estimate 0.5"-0.75"

 

[Brian D]

Winter Storm watch for the head of the Lake starting at midnight as the clipper starts to affect my area. Lake will contribute with the colder air over the water setting up some bands mixed with the synoptic snows on an E/NE wind. We are on the N edge, so without the Lake, wouldn't see much. Nice to see the sun today. Been cloudy for a few days. 

[Pascy619]

12z GFS seems like a vast improvement over previous runs for the looming warm up after Christmas. Maybe it's just for one run though. 

[mnchaserguy]

I went from nothing to Winter Storm Warning. Just gotta hope that dry slot doesn’t screw me over tomorrow. 10-20 miles could make a big difference in what I get vs what @Ordlowpitmsp gets tomorrow.


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[Geoboy645]

This is looking to be a pretty significant clipper event for the northern areas of the subforum. Even down here we could get 3-5" of snow from this thing tomorrow into Friday. Our first real significant snow event of the year, and our first significant clipper in a long long time.

 

[TheNiño]

I’d be thrilled to be buried with a 2-4in event at this point.

[OrdIowPitMsp]

3 hours ago, mnchaserguy said:

I went from nothing to Winter Storm Warning. Just gotta hope that dry slot doesn’t screw me over tomorrow. 10-20 miles could make a big difference in what I get vs what @Ordlowpitmsp gets tomorrow.


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Pretty odd. Not sure I’ve ever seen us go from nothing to a winter storm warning before, but I’ll certainly take it. I’d feel a bit better being by you in the north metro. Anoka county should be in a prime spot. I haven’t had a ton of time to look at the high res models today but the city should be good for at least 4”+ 

[mnchaserguy]

Pretty odd. Not sure I’ve ever seen us go from nothing to a winter storm warning before, but I’ll certainly take it. I’d feel a bit better being by you in the north metro. Anoka county should be in a prime spot. I haven’t had a ton of time to look at the high res models today but the city should be good for at least 4”+ 

I don’t think I’ve ever seen it either. Especially not for this large of an area. North side of the cities is definitely in the better spot, but the 18z models say it might not matter. 18z hrrr actually buries the south metro more. I think both of us will enjoy a solid storm out of this. Could have some 1”/hour rates in the morning.


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[cyclone77]

May get a tenth or two tomorrow on the extreme southwest edge.  Will be top 5 event so far.