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Dec 5-6th clipper threat


George001
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47 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Its more the wind...which iroically enough is part of the reason it didn't actually get very cold.

I just mean the airmass in general. Nothing really meaningful. Today will be chilly though. But lasts a day. 

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Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

I’ll stay in the 20’s today . In this day and age, I guess that’s cold 

That’s pretty good for the first week of December. It’s not record breaking or anything but it’s def quite cold. Record low max for ORH today is 18F and tomorrow it’s 21F. They get much lower as you go into mid and late December but early December climo is still relatively mild. Avg high is still 40F at 1,000 foot ORH on Dec 6th. It falls to 33 by late month. 

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Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea...airmass is blase. Its just the we are so confitioned to warmth in December that its noteworthy.

Early December has been a torch lately. But we have one chilly day and then moderates a bit. The stretch of 30s was pretty good I guess for this time of year and especially lately given how warm recent Decembers have started.

But I mean those nasty days with 20s at day and teens at night. It's been a struggle to get below 22-23 or so for non-radiators.

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58 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Early December has been a torch lately. But we have one chilly day and then moderates a bit. The stretch of 30s was pretty good I guess for this time of year and especially lately given how warm recent Decembers have started.

But I mean those nasty days with 20s at day and teens at night. It's been a struggle to get below 22-23 or so for non-radiators.

I hit 14 a few times, but I def radiate....

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3 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

The cold behind that front absolutely underperformed. Only dropped to 27. We’ll see how high I can go today.

I know at the end of the day when it comes to forecasting temperatures this does require a bit of effort if you want to be really accurrate and get within a degree or two. I know when I used to do the wxchallenge I used to spend like 30 minutes for the high/low temp :lol:

Anyways, MOS/NBM have been atrocious the last month...not just here but across a good part of the country. I get they have limitations with specific patterns and such but these products can be downright embarrassing. Forecasting too cold at night when it doesn't get that cold, then when they forecast on the warmer side it ends up much colder. They will underperform on highs plenty of times and then rare times they underperform on highs when it didn't seem like that would be the case. 

It sucks when you have to solely use these products for temperatures because they're awful really. 

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You don't see it too much around here but sometimes its a riot seeing what MOS/NBM has for some of the midwestern cities. You can sometimes see like a 15-20F difference in the forecast high or sometimes even the low. Not of course you would divulge into the details and should be able to develop a sense of what to expect but sometimes that along can't be enough if you don't understand the local climate. 

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What I found remarkable about this event was getting 3" in Townsend, which is at the base of the Worcester hills, despite the SW surface wind and its downsloping/warming effects. I can't remember the last time getting this much snow with this synoptic setup. Looks like another such event upcoming Saturday night, albeit less robust. If this winter turns out unremarkable otherwise, I'll remember this event for the rarity it is.

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