HoarfrostHubb Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 Jacking in Tolland on the HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 Yeah squalls hit Kevin to jack him up another 1"+ plus those squalls are modeled all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yeah squalls hit Kevin to jack him up another 1"+ plus those squalls are modeled all over the place. Those won’t be paste though. That’ll be wind blown fluff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Those won’t be paste though. That’ll be wind blown fluff should get above freezing tomorrow pre FROPA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 42 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You look to hover 32-33 the whole time once you do snow. May take an hour to wetbulb down closer to freezing. What are your thoughts about 650ft in Tolland compared to Kevin at 1k? Currently 35° here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 1 minute ago, joey2002 said: What are your thoughts about 650ft in Tolland compared to Kevin at 1k? Currently 35° here. He will do better, but I'd say 2-3" perhaps? Wondering if he can do better than 4 there. Seems possible. However as many have said...we really need to see where and how the meat of this precip shield blossoms. If it's overhead for a bit, but then moves east..rates will lessen and temps might warm a tad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 Kind of what I've been thinking the last few days. I've always sucked with the topographic aspect when making maps so I decided to use my brain and have a topographic map pulled up to try and more accurately place the higher totals where greatest elevation is and where that cutoff should be. Probably too low in northern Berkshire County where they may get upslope influences. I also do think there could be some 5-7'' totals in the highest elevations northwest of Worcester. That area should have the best combination of a cold enough profile from the sfc up, get into the higher QPF totals with all QPF being snow, and some of the strongest lift into the DGZ and have the best ratios. Berkshires into the northwest hills of Connecticut...usually pretty easy for them, always all snow and as long as the lift is great they'll have great ratios too. Starting to think Boston will end up a bit too much on the warm side for anything outside of some mixing and certainly nothing that is going to stick to anything with the exception of cars sitting in parking lots that haven't been warmed up yet. Could go crazy trying to decipher where that boundary between something around a coating will occur to as much as 2-3''. May bring that 1-3'' a smudge south. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 I’m figuring 2-3” in Greenfield. Should be a nice winter look for the weekend anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 18z NAM increasing again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 I just have to say it feels like snow! 38 degrees here right now and I know we will be lucky with a slush factor down here in the Naugatuck valley! I do have to say the snow squalls were a great shock last night got a quick costing of graupel? Looks like dipping dots hoping for a delay because first event of the season usually means shock and overreaction . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 24 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Jacking in Tolland on the HRRR 8 Inches on Kevins bald head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 In Springfield on way home from VT and there’s flurries flying 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: In Springfield on way home from VT and there’s flurries flying should have stopped by and said hi. I think I have an IPA in the fridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 18z NAM gone wild for ORH hills to Kevin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 3K NAM tries to flip metro BOS even just south, granted it's like 33-34 SN. But would be nice to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 Just now, ORH_wxman said: 18z NAM gone wild for ORH hills to Kevin. 3k really wild. We take! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 Time for an Obs thread? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 Those are some intense squalls too tomorrow on the 3km...quite unstable too, could see some thunder/lightning in those 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: 3k really wild. We take! Never in doubt... not sure we exceed 5-6" but our hood has been in good shape for a while 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Never in doubt... not sure we exceed 5-6" but our hood has been in good shape for a while Looking forward to waking up in the morning and reading a, " 7.5'' in my hood, overperformer for sure" post 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 Just now, weatherwiz said: Looking forward to waking up in the morning and reading a, " 7.5'' in my hood, overperformer for sure" post I might be...surprised If I hit 7-8 I really wouldn't be, but lower end of probability 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: In Springfield on way home from VT and there’s flurries flying Just came from there, they had a decent snow last night, some roads were still snow covered. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 If other.models beef up just a tad I wonder if BOX upgrades to a warning? Some people I was talking to earlier were only expecting a couple inches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 23 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 18z NAM increasing again Looks like a solid hit for the Berks. Could get some bonus upslope after the main precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: If other.models beef up just a tad I wonder if BOX upgrades to a warning? Some people I was talking to earlier were only expecting a couple inches Last Feb 13th Box never updated us when the 2” they forecast became 12.5” lol…so who knows. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: If other.models beef up just a tad I wonder if BOX upgrades to a warning? Some people I was talking to earlier were only expecting a couple inches I don't think they have the confidence to light up a large area for a warning. I'm also skeptical of many areas getting that much. Maybe if everything works out a few areas could. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 I hope you hill folk do well and into interior MA. Would be a nice change from recent Decembers. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 54 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I’m still a bit skeptical but 2”+ would be great. HRRR def colder and RAP has trended colder as well all day…it tries to bring accumulating snow to close-in metrowest Boston like near Jerry’s hood. HRRR too. Odd setup for snow but some cold infusion in the early hours of tomorrow may make it work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 Temp is 32.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 4 Share Posted December 4 38.1 and about 13 miles from you as the crows fly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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