Dec 5-6th clipper threat

[das]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Does BTV have any snow OTG? I’m heading up tomorrow for an overnight 

Nothing from the storm on Thursday. A dusting from today that survived in shady spots. Maybe 1/2” will fall tomorrow as a shortwave moves thru. It’ll stay since it won’t breach freezing and will be cloudier tomorrow.  Wednesday nite and Thursday will be plenty cold but we’ll be shadowed pretty badly here in the valley so we’ll be lucky to get an inch for our 36 hours of SN wed-thurs. 

[das]

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

I don’t think so, maybe a dusting?  6” OTG here, got lucky from mesoscale snow.  Very localized.

It was pretty cool to see this standing wave sitting over you for a couple of hours this evening. 

[CoastalWx]

Seems like overnight guidance is more progressive and further east. Would help areas more borderline near 495.

[Damage In Tolland]

27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Seems like overnight guidance is more progressive and further east. Would help areas more borderline near 495.

Still ok around these parts?

[Modfan2]

Looks like BOX cut back on their totals in the eastern areas; wasn’t expecting anything but rain here in the valley. 

[Snowcrazed71]

43 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Still ok around these parts?

Still ok. Still calling for 1"-4" for you, me, WW...mix along the shore 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Still ok around these parts?

Yes, Can’t take another bump east though 

[CoastalWx]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Still ok around these parts?

Yeah, I think you’re good for 2 to 3 at least anyways. Maybe four if it works out.

[wdstck]

1 hour ago, Modfan2 said:

Looks like BOX cut back on their totals in the eastern areas; wasn’t expecting anything but rain here in the valley. 

Close call for some of us.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Meh.

[CoastalWx]

Euro really cut back. Friend just texted me an image. Reggie ftw?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro really cut back. Friend just texted me an image. Reggie ftw?

Slightly west better than 00z . Just noise. But ya this is close to being nothing with another bump east and less impressive at 12z. Could use a bump thumpier and west 

[Damage In Tolland]

Is this the rug pulled out at last minute ? Seems like it . Can’t get any kind of break 

[ineedsnow]

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro really cut back. Friend just texted me an image. Reggie ftw?

0z was bad  6z looks a little better again

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Is this the rug pulled out at last minute ? Seems like it . Can’t get any kind of break 

You’re good for now.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

You’re good for now.

Probably going to end up with nothing. I can just sense it 

[ineedsnow]

@CoastalWx  6z looks better but still not great 

[dryslot]

Messanger (aka clinch leatherwood) is laughing right now.

[ineedsnow]

Thinking 2 to 4 here 5 if we get lucky

[ineedsnow]

Not sure it's worth much but he 9z SREFS came in really bullish

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Thinking 2 to 4 here 5 if we get lucky

That's pretty much been a lock for a while

[ineedsnow]

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Those are garbage. You should use the HREF instead.

[OceanStWx]

Good news for the Maine Midcoast moose population. Hi-res stuff is hinting at a little instability injection as this thing starts wrapping up around midnight tomorrow night. Theta-e lapse rates are pretty close to negative for several hours, and the DGZ gets to be like 200 mb deep. That's a great sign for high snowfall rates. If the synoptic lift was a little stronger I would be thinking some extreme snow rates would be possible.

[dryslot]

Clipper climo favored area, Mid Coast to DE Maine, If only this was going under us not overhead, Would be better for many.

[HoarfrostHubb]

06z 12k NAM is ridiculous for CT

toss

[TheMainer]

Hoping we hold steady with this up here, after last years poor snowmobile season businesses are hurting.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Caribou ME
325 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024

MEZ001-002-004>006-010-031-031630-
/O.NEW.KCAR.WS.A.0006.241205T0000Z-241206T0600Z/
Northwest Aroostook-Northeast Aroostook-Northern Piscataquis-
Northern Penobscot-Southeast Aroostook-Central Piscataquis-
Southern Piscataquis-
Including the cities of Guilford, Presque Isle, Fort Kent,
Caribou, Dover-Foxcroft, Madawaska, Medway, Milo, Baxter St Park,
Chamberlain Lake, Van Buren, Greenville, Blanchard, Mount
Katahdin, Patten, Churchill Dam, East Millinocket, Millinocket,
Clayton Lake, Mars Hill, Allagash, Monson, Ashland, Smyrna Mills,
Houlton, Frenchville, Sherman, and Hodgdon
325 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 6 and
  9 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of Central Highlands, Far Eastern, Far Northern,
  and North Woods Maine

* WHEN...From Wednesday evening through late Thursday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions
  could impact the Thursday morning and evening commutes. Strong
  winds could cause extensive damage to trees and power lines and
  possibly reduce visibility due to blowing snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow,
sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to
monitor the latest forecasts.

&&

$$

AStrauser

[Modfan2]

13 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

06z 12k NAM is ridiculous for CT

toss

Rains?

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, Modfan2 said:

Rains?

Big snow on the clown in some parts

[Typhoon Tip]

haha   ... snow on a sw wind?  what could go wrong -