CoastalWx Posted Monday at 11:07 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:07 AM Looks like crap ern areas. Congrats ineedsnow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Monday at 11:13 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:13 AM 10 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Still think Se of 84 is under an 1” or rain; congrats elevations. Gonna be tough to snow SE of 84 and E of 495 in this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 11:14 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:14 AM 10 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Still think Se of 84 is under an 1” or rain; congrats elevations. I think you could see an inch there. 2 if it breaks right. This is the only snow event out of the “ great pattern “ advertised so hopefully everyone catches a break 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Monday at 11:20 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:20 AM 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like crap ern areas. Congrats ineedsnow hopefully it holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Monday at 11:22 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:22 AM Wednesday Night Snow showers, mainly after 8pm. Low around 25. South wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Thursday Snow showers, mainly before noon. High near 37. West wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80% 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 11:40 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:40 AM 06z Euro looks good, 0.40-1.10" qpf from west to east into SNE/CNE and up to Northern Maine 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 11:45 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:45 AM 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: 06z Euro looks good, 0.40-1.10" qpf from west to east into SNE/CNE and up to Northern Maine Whoa! That be a solid 3-6” deal around here. That’s a nice uptick if it’s right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 11:46 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:46 AM Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Whoa! That be a solid 3-6” deal around here. That’s a nice uptick if it’s right Have to see going forward, These tend to ramp up a bit as we get closer, Euro was right with the last one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted Monday at 12:11 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:11 PM 24 minutes ago, dryslot said: Have to see going forward, These tend to ramp up a bit as we get closer, Euro was right with the last one. Hoping any ramp up will help me on the coast, gonna be tough as is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 12:12 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:12 PM Just now, tunafish said: Hoping any ramp up will help me on the coast, gonna be tough as is. Not a good spot there this early in the season, It wasn't a good spot here with the last one as well, Just a bit to warm aloft. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted Monday at 01:29 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:29 PM 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Not a good spot there this early in the season, It wasn't a good spot here with the last one as well, Just a bit to warm aloft. Not really sure it was an aloft thing. The warm layer near the ground was just a little too close to 1500 ft. I like to see it closer to 1000 ft to overcome low level warm air with rates and latent cooling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 01:49 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:49 PM 20 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Not really sure it was an aloft thing. The warm layer near the ground was just a little too close to 1500 ft. I like to see it closer to 1000 ft to overcome low level warm air with rates and latent cooling. We had the rates, But we didn't overcome that warmth until sun down, Didn't have to go that far NW though for that to be a non issue, Just needed some elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted Monday at 01:55 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:55 PM 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: We had the rates, But we didn't overcome that warmth until sun down, Didn't have to go that far NW though for that to be a non issue, Just needed some elevation. I know the day before Bufkit had GYX around 1500 ft of surface warmth but Rumford was more like 900. That's all the difference in the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 01:56 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:56 PM Just now, OceanStWx said: I know the day before Bufkit had GYX around 1500 ft of surface warmth but Rumford was more like 900. That's all the difference in the world. Different world in that corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted Monday at 02:03 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:03 PM At least this will be happening at night... that might help a tad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Monday at 02:13 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:13 PM I’m never wild about snow on southerly flow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Monday at 02:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:15 PM 06z euro was def one of the juicier runs. That might get some advisory snows into ORH hills and maybe even near Kevin. I don’t have 06z but on the 00z run you can see how the 925 temps become problematic inside of 495 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 02:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:19 PM Longitude is key. Once you get east of 84, esp Ginxy to 495 on east, lower 1500' or so are torched. Some signs that it may flip to snow inside 495 before ending on NAM as it cools slightly with winds just above the deck turning more SW and advecting cooler air. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Monday at 02:21 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:21 PM 06z euro was def one of the juicier runs. That might get some advisory snows into ORH hills and maybe even near Kevin. I don’t have 06z but on the 00z run you can see how the 925 temps become problematic inside of 495 Best I can offer Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Monday at 02:43 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:43 PM NAM keeps trending to something bigger, it keep this up we might have a bigger storm...Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted Monday at 02:44 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:44 PM 3 hours ago, dryslot said: 06z Euro looks good, 0.40-1.10" qpf from west to east into SNE/CNE and up to Northern Maine We ended up with a settled 10 inches from the first storm from the groomer barn north, another 6 inches and we'd be able to make a pass Sunday after muzzleloader ends. Heading south towards my house maybe a compacted 3 inches left. Amazing what 400 feet of elevation will do. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Monday at 02:44 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:44 PM NAM has a nice ribbon from near Kevin up through ORH....it even cools further east inside of 495 as we get toward daybreak and they might pick up an inch or two. Might be tough right on the coast, but there's a brief burst of lift when it's cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 02:45 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:45 PM Just now, TheMainer said: We ended up with a settled 10 inches from the first storm from the groomer barn north, another 6 inches and we'd be able to make a pass Sunday after muzzleloader ends. Heading south towards my house maybe a compacted 3 inches left. Amazing what 400 feet of elevation will do. Early season is usually dependent on it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Monday at 02:48 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:48 PM NAM has a nice ribbon from near Kevin up through ORH....it even cools further east inside of 495 as we get toward daybreak and they might pick up an inch or two. Might be tough right on the coast, but there's a brief burst of lift when it's cold enough.NAm is oh-so-close to a really impactful storm that will get us in a good mood through the brief warm upSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Monday at 02:50 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:50 PM Just now, Prismshine Productions said: NAm is oh-so-close to a really impactful storm that will get us in a good mood through the brief warm up Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Compressed flow seems like it's going to limit this upside to advisory levels outside of northern half of Maine perhaps. But yeah, if it can dig just a bit more, then maybe there would be more widespread 3-5" amounts over interior....but as of now, I'd keep expectations more in the 1-3" range and hope you get a higher lolli. This is kind of trying to pop late which always makes me a little nervous....the radar will look ghastly until the 11th hour and stuff tries to almost redevelop over us early Thursday. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 02:56 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:56 PM 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: NAM has a nice ribbon from near Kevin up through ORH....it even cools further east inside of 495 as we get toward daybreak and they might pick up an inch or two. Might be tough right on the coast, but there's a brief burst of lift when it's cold enough. It actually looks a lot like the 6z Euro with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Monday at 03:00 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:00 PM 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It actually looks a lot like the 6z Euro with that This actually feels like one of those events where you “overperform” with like 3”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted Monday at 03:03 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:03 PM Just not enough qpf to get much more than 3", even in favored areas. Someone might get 4" of perfectly stacked stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 03:04 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:04 PM 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: This actually feels like one of those events where you “overperform” with like 3”. As snakebitten as we have been south of Pike i am feeling like a rug pull could happen at last minute. But on the other hand these types of events are the ones that have done well in this area. I am treading softly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted Monday at 03:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:07 PM The trend is not your friend in the marginal zones of SNE, coastal maine and NH. I'm looking for rain showers and maybe ending with white rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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