December 2024

[brooklynwx99]

13 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Exactly. I don’t like the trends currently. The ridge is moving to far west on the ensembles. This would be a continuation of the cutter/cold/dry pattern 

what does your ideal pattern look like? there is troughing showing up over the N ATL that will encourage confluence, it's not like there's a WAR or a massive ridge over Nova Scotia

[MJO812]

6 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

I'm inclined to agree

I was just going to post this.

Looking like a fun January ahead. 

[MANDA]

Overnight low here of +2 (1.9 to be exact) and still a solid snow cover with an average depth of 3.5".

Well below zero in the usual NJ cold spots.

 

[Allsnow]

12 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

what does your ideal pattern look like? there is troughing showing up over the N ATL that will encourage confluence, it's not like there's a WAR or a massive ridge over Nova Scotia

One that doesn’t have a ridge by the Aleutians 

[Volcanic Winter]

Back from Iceland guys, was absolutely incredible… had about 36 hours of light - moderate snowfall when we went deeper in away from the coast. Winter wonderland, around 18-28 degrees the whole time. I’ll get some pics up in the banter thread.

Also, 6.3 for a low overnight at my house without snowcover - that’s seriously impressive. That beats the most recent cold wave around the holiday a couple years back by two full degrees here. 
 

Edit: Link to pics

https://imgur.com/a/NcMT77O

[the_other_guy]

On 12/1/2024 at 10:27 AM, snowman19 said:

Exactly and I see absolutely no comparison whatsoever to December, 2010. That was driven by severe AO/NAO blocking and a poleward Aleutian ridge. We are going to see a big moderation mid-month

 

 

 

 

Didnt u go +4 for Dec?

[the_other_guy]

-7F to start the day at Belleayre.

 

 

[MANDA]

NYS minimums.

[EastonSN+]

50 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

what does your ideal pattern look like? there is troughing showing up over the N ATL that will encourage confluence, it's not like there's a WAR or a massive ridge over Nova Scotia

I think the last two Winters where we had a trough to Baja causing the southeast ridge to link up with the negative nao is entrenched in a lot of minds. We can snow with a trough out west as long as it's not as deep or position too far west.

[FPizz]

56 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

what does your ideal pattern look like? there is troughing showing up over the N ATL that will encourage confluence, it's not like there's a WAR or a massive ridge over Nova Scotia

People just want things to look absolutely perfect and stay that way for weeks one end.  Can't win.  

[rcostell]

11 minutes ago, MANDA said:

NYS minimums.

Saranac Lake Airport hit  -22F...

[steve392]

What a freezing ass night!  Dog decided he needed to go out 3 times overnight. 8 degrees at home in little ferry and 2 at work in mahwah.  Coldest temps in years for me. 

[Rjay]

43 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

Didnt u go +4 for Dec?

January looks cold as of now and I think i went at least +5 lol 

[BoulderWX]

Several models showing another half inch tomorrow AM for much of the area, with the HRRR showing up to an inch for some. 

[Monmouth_County_Jacpot]

Anyone seen Snowman19 it’s like since the modeling of a great pattern has been showing he is now where to be found. Weird.

[winterwx21]

Low temp of 5 here this morning. 

[rclab]

6 minutes ago, Monmouth_County_Jacpot said:

Anyone seen Snowman19 it’s like since the modeling of a great pattern has been showing he is now where to be found. Weird.

Good late morning MCJ. S19 posted an hour ago in the Weather forecasting and discussion  section. He’s a well versed contributor and well worth reading to keep a balance. He  is post limited so he will by necessity be selective on when/where. Stay well, as always …

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, Volcanic Winter said:

Back from Iceland guys, was absolutely incredible… had about 36 hours of light - moderate snowfall when we went deeper in away from the coast. Winter wonderland, around 18-28 degrees the whole time. I’ll get some pics up in the banter thread.

Also, 6.3 for a low overnight at my house without snowcover - that’s seriously impressive. That beats the most recent cold wave around the holiday a couple years back by two full degrees here. 
 

Edit: Link to pics

https://imgur.com/a/NcMT77O

so even up there, the coast in Iceland doesn't get much snow?

did you see any northern lights?

the display down here in October was absolutely historic!

[LibertyBell]

27 minutes ago, Monmouth_County_Jacpot said:

Anyone seen Snowman19 it’s like since the modeling of a great pattern has been showing he is now where to be found. Weird.

He's busy canceling winter after January 15th in the main forum.

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said:

I think the last two Winters where we had a trough to Baja causing the southeast ridge to link up with the negative nao is entrenched in a lot of minds. We can snow with a trough out west as long as it's not as deep or position too far west.

south based nao blocks suck

[Volcanic Winter]

4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

so even up there, the coast in Iceland doesn't get much snow?

did you see any northern lights?

the display down here in October was absolutely historic!

Reykjavik sits at the east end of a peninsula that often juts into the warmest air mass in the region, but they do absolutely see snow and they got some once we were out in the deeper parts. It's just the timing of the weather system was such that the snow turned on once we drove inland.

Only saw a brief aurora this trip, frankly we had precipitation for most of the ten days we were there! Not many chances, but we had SO much snow and I've seen incredible auroras now so many times, it was a fair trade to play in crisp Icelandic snow for most of the trip.

[psv88]

Pattern looks good for January. Best in a while. Just get us a coastal please. No more cutters and SWFE. TIA

[NorthShoreWx]

There's some pixie dust in the air here.  Not enough to comfortably say that its snowing, but that's what it is.  22.6⁰

[North and West]

Anyone seen Snowman19 it’s like since the modeling of a great pattern has been showing he is now where to be found. Weird.

Maybe getting in a last minute visit to Santa to ask for 48° and rain


.

[cleetussnow]

39 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Pattern looks good for January. Best in a while. Just get us a coastal please. No more cutters and SWFE. TIA

Miller B and Miller A on the table in those looks

[ForestHillWx]

2 hours ago, MANDA said:

Overnight low here of +2 (1.9 to be exact) and still a solid snow cover with an average depth of 3.5".

Well below zero in the usual NJ cold spots.

 

Has Chester at -1; I saw 1 by me. However that spot does sit at 800’ I think; my homestead at 725’. 

[uofmiami]

1 hour ago, Rjay said:

January looks cold as of now and I think i went at least +5 lol 

haha, forecasting long range in a nutshell.

[forkyfork]

uh oh

[Rjay]

4 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

haha, forecasting long range in a nutshell.

Super long range.  Apparently I went +8 for December 

 

[Rjay]

Halfway to my seasonal total forecast for my location.