Brian5671 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Coating on the grass here-roads just wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 26 minutes ago, MJO812 said: It sucks seeing places around us getting snow and nothing here. Not even a coating yet in the city. Awful . Were you really expecting anything? Upton had rain for the city. South winds tough to get anything especially urban areas facing the water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 I would say about 3/4 inch here around 3AM. About 1/2 of it has melted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Round #3 is on its way. Heavy snow showers/squalls are just west of Allentown. This activity looks to be low topped as it is just coming into view on the Mt. Holly radar. Visibility out in that area has really dropped in association with this activity as seen on I78 traffic cams. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Snowing harder than it has all morning. Was hoping it would turn to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 New Rochelle, NY this morning. #nywx 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 funny…up by the school, the ground is covered in white. It needed a little bit more elevation for this to work if you had slower rates of precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 This is what it looks like on the west side of Allentown right now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 1.5” here 5.5” for the season so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 24 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Were you really expecting anything? Upton had rain for the city. South winds tough to get anything especially urban areas facing the water Models seemed to have a better area of precip where I am/better lift which may have overcome the lousy wind direction and brought cold enough air down. Also urban heating tacks a few degrees on. I think the first few miles from any shore had little accumulation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said: Hopefully that GOA trough is transient. Yes. I hope so, too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Small accumulation on the mulch here haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Just recorded a wind gust to 35 mph as this squall arrives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pequest Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Just pushed through Warren County with not much fanfare. https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NJZ007&warncounty=NJC041&firewxzone=NJZ007&local_place1=2 Miles NNE Port Murray NJ&product1=Snow+Squall+Warning&lat=40.8257&lon=-74.9036 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Looks like an 1.5” here as well; light snow starting. More than I had expected. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 39 / 32 coating on the ground with another band or squall to come through. Some gusts pushing 25 so far and increasing again later. Colder Thu - Sat. Warmer Sun - Fri next week, wetter with rain chances Mon - Wed with 0.50 - 1.00 widespread possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Cold period (so far) EWR: Dec 1: 39 / 24 (-10) Dec 2: 42 / 25 (-8) Dec 3: 44 / 32 (-3) Dec 4: 42 / 24 (-8) NYC: DEC 1: 38 / 27 (-10) DEC 2: 39 / 29 (-9) DEC: 3 42 / 32 (-6) Dec 4: 42 / 30 (-6) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Waiting on the wind and flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Impressive to see lightning this far from the lakes with snow squalls. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Moderate snow in Morristown area. Really hope we get one decent storm this year, but this is festive in the meantime 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 1 hour ago, NittanyWx said: They aren't the same. I have access to the Graphcast platform and people are already downloading the package and attempting to bias correct it in real time. Graphcast has, in the open source format, so far failed to beat regular ensemble EC forecasts far more often than not. If there's a skill impovement, I really haven't seen it so far. Interesting, given the hype about the AI forecasting from Google, which they just published in Nature yesterday. The performance looks impressive, but I'm certainly not using it to make forecasts and you obviously have evaluated it directly. I wonder what the difference is between what they've published and the "real world" performance. https://arstechnica.com/science/2024/12/googles-deepmind-tackles-weather-forecasting-with-great-performance/ https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08252-9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Like many times in spring and summer you have Mt holly going with a warning and Upton a special weather statement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NittanyWx Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 11 minutes ago, RU848789 said: Interesting, given the hype about the AI forecasting from Google, which they just published in Nature yesterday. The performance looks impressive, but I'm certainly not using it to make forecasts and you obviously have evaluated it directly. I wonder what the difference is between what they've published and the "real world" performance. https://arstechnica.com/science/2024/12/googles-deepmind-tackles-weather-forecasting-with-great-performance/ https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08252-9 If I had a dollar for every vendor, statistical forecast system or weather model that has had selective verification I'd have retired 5 years ago. They initialized their data of 6z and 18z for a reason. They couldn't beat it when full observational parameters were assimilated. The bigger issue I've had, and I've seen it first hand, is the ML models are way more prone to having a narrower field of outcomes which skews to underforecasting extremes, often. I mean this really tells the story, the blue line is their model: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RockawayRowdies Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Beautiful squall currently here in Rockaway Borough.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Crazy snow overnight. Even the LIE and Northern state were snow covered in eastern Nassau and western Suffolk. Very unexpected and heavy rates with huge flakes. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Sky is dark to my west like a thunderstorm is coming during the summer 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Nice squall 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Ground starting to get covered 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Nice snow squall in NJ. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 1 minute ago, bluewave said: Nice snow squall in NJ. Moderate snow here with wind picking up. Wish this would last a few more hours lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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