Allsnow Posted Tuesday at 05:03 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:03 PM We did it everyone!!!! 7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted Tuesday at 05:09 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:09 PM 34 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The subsurface looks mild though, at least last I checked. would not be surprised if thats still the case if it fades fairly quick in the next 4 weeks We are still getting the La Niña temperature progression which usually features below average temperatures in December. But the Pacific Jet was faster than other +PNA La Niña Decembers. So NYC and Newark weren’t able to get the 6-14” totals that we got during those Decembers. My guess is that the December +PNA will finish as the strongest of winter. You can see the PNA going more neutral in early January. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Tuesday at 05:27 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:27 PM Looks like both NYC and EWR have made it to or above freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Tuesday at 05:33 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:33 PM South jersey had it bad with freezing rain. Currently 33 in Manalapan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted Tuesday at 05:51 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:51 PM i was out walking in the snow how much did we get in the park? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Tuesday at 05:54 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:54 PM 3 minutes ago, nycwinter said: i was out walking in the snow how much did we get in the park? 1 inch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted Tuesday at 05:56 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:56 PM The model support for cold in January has continued to increase. At the end of the 12z run of the GFS, the 500 mb pattern lies somewhat between Clusters 1 and 2 for multi-day outbreaks of severe cold during January 1-15. 12z GFS: The point is not to take the operational GFS verbatim, much less at the timeframe involved. The key point is that the operational GFS has taken a step toward the consistent cold being shown on the ECMWF weekly guidance. If the weekly guidance is correct, one should see the operational guidance move toward the weekly guidance. ECMWF Weeklies (12/23): As early as 240 hours, the EPS is evolving toward a colder pattern, though not a severely cold one. Source regions of the air masses will become important as the colder pattern evolves. It remains possible that the EPS is rushing the evolution. Finally, although the pattern shown is not a classic one for 6" or greater snowstorms for the first half of January in the NYC area, it is moving in a direction where the prospect of at least moderate snowfalls (4"+) will be greater than it was during all of December. Short waves and other synoptic details will be critical. 7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted Tuesday at 06:06 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:06 PM This is great Don. Laid it out perfectly. If we can get some base hits in that pattern I’d take it all day long esp. if we can have snow OTG for a couple weeks. That’d be a big change vs recent winters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Tuesday at 06:27 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:27 PM Sun really never came out today to combine with temps creeping above 32. Snowpack should be fine for 12am obs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Tuesday at 06:30 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:30 PM sunny here now and up to 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted Tuesday at 06:31 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:31 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted Tuesday at 06:32 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:32 PM 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Sun really never came out today to combine with temps creeping above 32. Snowpack should be fine for 12am obs Not a cloud In the sky here 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Tuesday at 06:35 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:35 PM 2 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Not a cloud In the sky here Awful. Normally you and @Brian5671 keep the snowpack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Tuesday at 06:40 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:40 PM 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Awful. Normally you and @Brian5671 keep the snowpack Not this time-will be down to shaded spots and north facing areas by sunset-we only had a coating on the 21st too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Tuesday at 06:42 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:42 PM 4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Not this time-will be down to shaded spots and north facing areas by sunset-we only had a coating on the 21st too. Ugh sorry. Small screw zone in that area this week. My street is still snow covered as the town never salted 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Tuesday at 07:13 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:13 PM Was crystal clear skies a little while ago and 40 degrees. Overcast now and 38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Tuesday at 07:15 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:15 PM 1 hour ago, cleetussnow said: This is great Don. Laid it out perfectly. If we can get some base hits in that pattern I’d take it all day long esp. if we can have snow OTG for a couple weeks. That’d be a big change vs recent winters. If January 2009 is a possible analog, I'd expect a few small to moderate sized snowfall events but long duration snowcover because of the cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Tuesday at 07:16 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:16 PM 44 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Not a cloud In the sky here yup bright and sunny since 12:30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Tuesday at 07:17 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:17 PM 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: 1 inch 1.0, sometimes I worry with these *exact* inch amounts, they look like estimates. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Tuesday at 07:18 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:18 PM 2 hours ago, lee59 said: 1 inch of new snow this morning in Central Park. About a 1/4 inch here, if that. I wonder what the airports got? Whatever fell is completely gone since the sun has been out strongly for the past 2 hours now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted Tuesday at 07:22 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:22 PM 3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I wonder what the airports got? Whatever fell is completely gone since the sun has been out strongly for the past 2 hours now. LGA: 0.4"; JFK: 0.5" 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted Tuesday at 07:25 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:25 PM The gefs has moved a little closer to the eps and toward the end of the run looks classic. For what it's worth the geps also looks a little better. Let's see if the EPS old serve. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Tuesday at 07:28 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:28 PM 5 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: LGA: 0.4"; JFK: 0.5" we all made it to 3.0" or above Don, the Park is close enough at 2.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted Tuesday at 07:44 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:44 PM we need this fucking sun to set. a lot of melt going on with the warmer temperatures. I was hoping the clouds would stick around to the middle of the afternoon to take away the worst of it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted Tuesday at 07:53 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:53 PM 8 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: we need this fucking sun to set. a lot of melt going on with the warmer temperatures. I was hoping the clouds would stick around to the middle of the afternoon to take away the worst of it. Yeah it just hit 40 here. It's doing a number on the snow unfortunately. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted Tuesday at 08:15 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:15 PM There is still snow left in Central Park. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Tuesday at 08:38 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:38 PM 45 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah it just hit 40 here. It's doing a number on the snow unfortunately. I still have snow on my driveway and street… damage wasn’t as bad as advertised Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Tuesday at 08:46 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:46 PM 53 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah it just hit 40 here. It's doing a number on the snow unfortunately. close to 40 here too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Tuesday at 08:50 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:50 PM 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: If January 2009 is a possible analog, I'd expect a few small to moderate sized snowfall events but long duration snowcover because of the cold. That was the year of constant cold with lake effect or clippers it seemed like daily. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Tuesday at 08:57 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:57 PM 1 hour ago, the_other_guy said: we need this fucking sun to set. a lot of melt going on with the warmer temperatures. I was hoping the clouds would stick around to the middle of the afternoon to take away the worst of it. well the sun is going down now or at least it's low enough now that it looks pretty dark outside. It hit 40 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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