December 2024

[Stormlover74]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

Buckle up haha

 

 

Whenever he says that it goes to shit in a day or 2

[Allsnow]

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

Whenever he says that it goes to shit in a day or 2

Yup 

[MJO812]

9 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Buckle up haha

 

 

I don't see what's funny. The consensus among forecasters are for a cold and active January.

[MJO812]

7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Whenever he says that it goes to shit in a day or 2

But this time he might be right 

[Stormlover74]

Just now, MJO812 said:

But this time he might be right 

Sure he could be. 

[Dark Star]

Exactly 1 inch in Garwood Nj (central Union County).  Nice touch, thank you Lord.

[MANDA]

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

 

NYC 1966

DEC 24 : 6.7 inches of snow fall on Christmas Eve - an additional half inch would fall on Christmas day to bring the the total over 7 inches,

 

According to some accounts I've read on this storm there was thunder and lightning in the hours around and just after mid-night (12/24-12/25) in the metro area. 

[doncat]

Hi low temps here since Sat... 32/18 , 21/12 ,27/10.

[MANDA]

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

 

Once we move past today's Christmas White, this is all wet >1 inch of rain Dec 25 - Jan 1

 

That's ok.  We had snow to whiten Christmas and a decent cold snap.  We still need the rain so I'll take it.  Drought Monitor has only made little progress with the recent rains.

[lee59]

Just a little more than a dusting here, less than what I thought.

[steve392]

1" of snow little ferry, nj

[MJO812]

Looking good for January

[Rjay]

21 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Buckle up haha

 

 

Shit

[EastonSN+]

11 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I don't see what's funny. The consensus among forecasters are for a cold and active January.

Yeah he's just pointing out what the EPS is showing which is a very good look if it goes away that's more an issue with the modeling.

[Rjay]

11 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

But this time he might be right 

It does looks cold and active for sure but that toughing out west is a problem and if it's accurate you will see why as the period gets closer.  

[Rjay]

20 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Yup 

I wish he would have stuck with the patience pattern. 

[NEG NAO]

4 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Yeah he's just pointing out what the EPS is showing which is a very good look if it goes away that's more an issue with the modeling.

any model output past 5 -7 days is for entertainment purposes only IMO ..........

[Allsnow]

9 minutes ago, Rjay said:

It does looks cold and active for sure but that toughing out west is a problem and if it's accurate you will see why as the period gets closer.  

Perhaps he is talking about the Midwest 

[EastonSN+]

8 minutes ago, Rjay said:

It does looks cold and active for sure but that toughing out west is a problem and if it's accurate you will see why as the period gets closer.  

The EPS does not have the troughing the same way the gefs does as the mjo is weak in phase 8 and the gefs while it is moderate on the eps. We have seen a positive PNA so far this winter so hopefully we get a positive PNA this time or at least a more east-based negative EPO. However I do agree if the gefs is correct then the snowfall opportunities will not be as great as with the EPS is currently showing.

[Rjay]

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

The EPS does not have the troughing the same way the gefs does as the mjo is weak in phase 8 and the gefs while it is moderate on the eps. We have seen a positive PNA so far this winter so hopefully we get a positive PNA this time or at least a more east-based negative EPO. However I do agree if the gefs is correct then the snowfall opportunities will not be as great as with the EPS is currently showing.

Yea the eps looks a lot better.  

[EastonSN+]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

Perhaps he is talking about the Midwest 

He is taking the EPS verbatim which if correct is good for us. 

[bluewave]

1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said:

Thanks for this. Out of curiosity why did 16 17 have a wall to wall winter in a La Nina. We had the thunder snow event in February that year and a major snowstorm in March. This also happened to a much greater extent in 95 96 and 2010 2011 (I know some think winter ended after January however we had two more snow events in February and March that year). Are there any signs to look out for that would indicate a winter like 16 and 17 in advance. Forky did mention earlier a weakening La Nina perhaps that's what happened in 1617 as well.

Finally in the middle of Atlantic forum they are tracking the PDO and has stated that is rapidly rising and perhaps to go positive perhaps that happened in 1617 as well.

The 16-17 La Niña was one of the more unique that we have seen. It was our first La Niña winter around NYC averaging near 40° with many stations going over 30” on the season. We had a great benchmark storm track even when there was record warmth in the 60s within a day or two of some of the best snowstorms. It was also a snowy December for our area here in Southern CT. Many stations finished that December with 6” to 9”.

Monthly Data for December 2016 for Fairfield County, CT
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

DANBURY	COOP	9.2
BROOKFIELD 3.3 SSE	CoCoRaHS	7.8
BETHEL 3.5 NNE	CoCoRaHS	7.8
NEWTOWN 4.3 E	CoCoRaHS	7.8
BETHEL 0.5 E	CoCoRaHS	7.4
SHELTON 1.3 W	CoCoRaHS	6.7
IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT	WBAN	6.0
TRUMBULL	COOP	6.0

 

Monthly Data for December 2016 for New Haven County, CT
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

PROSPECT 1.5 NW	CoCoRaHS	9.9
CHESHIRE VILLAGE 2.2 SE	CoCoRaHS	6.9
PROSPECT 0.5 SW	CoCoRaHS	6.7
SOUTHBURY 2.0 NNE	CoCoRaHS	6.2
MOUNT CARMEL	COOP	6.0
HAMDEN 3.0 WSW	CoCoRaHS	5.9
MILFORD 1.8 E	CoCoRaHS	5.7

 

 

[LibertyBell]

43 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

But this time he might be right 

and this time Lucy might let Charlie Brown kick the football too.

[cleetussnow]

I’m pretty happy with winter this week.  I had some wicked cold that froze my pond tight and I have a good 2 inches + OTG that is hearty enough to get through tomorrow.  I got white on the bushes and trees and looks festive out.  Not complaining one single bit.  Sure we are going to warm.  Happens in the best of the best winters.  If we get into a good pattern in the beginning of the year then this winter might shape up to be somewhat decent at least.  
 

Merry Christmas Everyone!

[[email protected]]

I say 1 in 3 odds that the Park gets to zero at some point in January 

[NEG NAO]

2 minutes ago, [email protected] said:

I say 1 in 3 odds that the Park gets to zero at some point in January 

what makes you think those odds ?

[cleetussnow]

1 minute ago, [email protected] said:

I say 1 in 3 odds that the Park gets to zero at some point in January 

Possible if those EPS progs materialize.  

[LibertyBell]

3 minutes ago, [email protected] said:

I say 1 in 3 odds that the Park gets to zero at some point in January 

1 in 10 at best

[the_other_guy]

The last time we had a white Christmas in Westchester was 2017. I remember because we just moved into the house.

 

When was the last time the city had a white Christmas? It has been a while!

[NEG NAO]

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

NYC 1966

DEC 24 : 6.7 inches of snow fall on Christmas Eve - an additional half inch would fall on Christmas day to bring the the total over 7 inches,

 

remember it well