David-LI Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 Just now, David-LI said: Congrats @MJO812 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 54 minutes ago, David-LI said: Some mood flakes/a coating is always nice. These IVT are impossible to pin down until they happen so hopefully it verifies. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: Too bad the only time we were able to have any cold air with the Nino driven storms was was early Feb. We did make it count somewhat. While 23-24 and 22-23 were both in the top 3 for warmth, at least the El Niño driven STJ was able to improve the snowfall situation in 23-24. Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2001-2002 41.5 0 2 2022-2023 41.0 0 - 2015-2016 41.0 0 3 2023-2024 40.6 0 4 2011-2012 40.5 0 5 1931-1932 40.1 0 6 1997-1998 39.6 0 7 2016-2017 39.3 0 8 2019-2020 39.2 0 9 1990-1991 39.1 0 10 1998-1999 38.6 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 16 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Some mood flakes/a coating is always nice. These IVT are impossible to pin down until they happen so hopefully it verifies. some areas may have trouble accumulating given temps in the mid to upper 30's at least for some of the event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 https://x.com/yconsor/status/1869457576339136768 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 22 minutes ago, jconsor said: https://x.com/yconsor/status/1869457576339136768 While we won’t have the highest departures here, it will be one of the warmest last weeks of December on record for the North American continent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 21 minutes ago, jconsor said: https://x.com/yconsor/status/1869457576339136768 Looks like perhaps one day in the middle 50’s… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 10 minutes ago, bluewave said: While we won’t have the highest departures here, it will be one of the warmest last weeks of December on record for the North American continent. That warmth is country wide as apposed to the last couple of years where we were dealing with a deep RNA. That being said ending at -2.1 for the month with that look is impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 13 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: That warmth is country wide as apposed to the last couple of years where we were dealing with a deep RNA. That being said ending at -2.1 for the month with that look is impressive. The whole area averaged out will probably be not too far from normal by the end of the month as we are currently at -1.3 for the local station average. 3 cooler departure days coming up with 3 around average. Then the 26st to 31st will be back above average. EWR….-0.9 NYC….-1.9 HPN….-1.1 LGA….-1.9 JFK…..+0.2 ISP…..-1.5 BDR…..-1.8 AVG….-1.3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 7 minutes ago, bluewave said: The whole area averaged out will probably be not too far from normal by the end of the month as we are currently at -1.3 for the local station average. 3 cooler departure days coming up with 3 around average. Then the 26st to 31st will be back above average. EWR….-0.9 NYC….-1.9 HPN….-1.1 LGA….-1.9 JFK…..+0.2 ISP…..-1.5 BDR…..-1.8 AVG….-1.3 Odd to see JFK that far off than the rest of the list. Was December 2018 the last December that NYC averaged -2 for the month? Or the entire region -1.5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 11 minutes ago, bluewave said: The whole area averaged out will probably be not too far from normal by the end of the month as we are currently at -1.3 for the local station average. 3 cooler departure days coming up with 3 around average. Then the 26st to 31st will be back above average. EWR….-0.9 NYC….-1.9 HPN….-1.1 LGA….-1.9 JFK…..+0.2 ISP…..-1.5 BDR…..-1.8 AVG….-1.3 Looks like the month is locked to come in below normal but no snow to show for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Looks like the month is locked to come in below normal but no snow to show for it I would much rather have the same outcome as February 2018 which was far above average temperature wise and we still managed to get a moderate snow storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: I would much rather have the same outcome as February 2018 which was far above average temperature wise and we still managed to get a moderate snow storm. With the new climate I’m not sure that is even possible anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: With the new climate I’m not sure that is even possible anymore. If the precipitation comes in overnight and is heavy enough then it probably could. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 11 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Looks like the month is locked to come in below normal but no snow to show for it The NW corner of the state did well. I'm sitting at 9.1" on the season and NW of me in higher elevations they did even better, especially the NW corner of Sussex County. Certainly once south of Rt. 80 and especially Rt. 78 there is nothing to show for December ending a degree or so below normal, albeit against our warmest set of normals. Certainly elevation played a huge part in who got snow this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 Just now, MANDA said: The NW corner of that state did well. I'm sitting at 9.1" on the season and NW of me in higher elevations they did even better, especially the NW corner of Sussex County. Certainly once south of Rt. 80 and especially Rt. 78 there is nothing to show for December ending a degree or so below normal, albeit against our warmest set of normals. Certainly elevation played a huge part in who got snow this month. Didn’t most of that fall in November? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Didn’t most of that fall in November? Yes, you are correct. I was referencing the season to date and you were speaking about December. Sorry. 6.5" in November and 2.6" so far in December. Not expecting much additional in December, less than 1" I suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 hooray it might be 48 and cloudy instead of 60 and sunny 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 20 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Odd to see JFK that far off than the rest of the list. Was December 2018 the last December that NYC averaged -2 for the month? Or the entire region -1.5? December 2022 was the last time the 7 station average finished below average at -0.5. EWR….+0.3 NYC….-0.6 LGA…..-1.3 JFK…..-0.8 HPN…..-0.1 BDR….-0.9 ISP……-0.3 avg…-0.5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 Very surprised @MJO812hasn’t posted the 15z SREF mean. It’s west and has a large area of 1-3”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: some areas may have trouble accumulating given temps in the mid to upper 30's at least for some of the event I’m a little over 10 miles from the ocean and 200 ft elevation, hopefully that helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 13 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Very surprised @MJO812hasn’t posted the 15z SREF mean. It’s west and has a large area of 1-3”. I'm back Nam is also super close 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I'm back Nam is also super close and you get rain 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 Just now, forkyfork said: and you get rain Because precip is weak. Future runs should be interesting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 57 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Looks like the month is locked to come in below normal but no snow to show for it The only monthly temperatures which matter for snow are on the days that the precipitation falls. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 27 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Very surprised @MJO812hasn’t posted the 15z SREF mean. It’s west and has a large area of 1-3”. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 34 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Think the entire sub forum would be pleased with this so clearly no shot it happens lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 2 minutes ago, BoulderWX said: Think the entire sub forum would be pleased with this so clearly no shot it happens lol That's a short range model. At hour 69 it's not too accurate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted December 18 Share Posted December 18 1 minute ago, David-LI said: That's a short range model. At hour 69 it's not too accurate. I’m well aware, was just stating verbatim it would make most happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now