Snowlover11 Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 Lightly snowing here in Nanuet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 Light snow 32/27 currently. A coating on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 30 with light snow, dusting. Forecast for 1-2 overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 Tomorrow's 00Z GFS is faster and further out to sea with the weekend system/non-system than last run. WX/PT https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2024121600/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_22.png 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 1 minute ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: Tomorrow's 00Z GFS is faster and further out to sea with the weekend system/non-system than last run. WX/PT https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2024121600/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_22.png I'd just add that it is kind of a pathetic situation. We have strong gusty northeasterly winds, high pressure is cold and in almost a perfect spot, there's even a bit of an inverted trough. You'd think somehow we'd be able to squeeze some flakes out of this. There is enough room for a system to develop further west but it doesn't. And I don't think it will. Sad. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 33 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: Tomorrow's 00Z GFS is faster and further out to sea with the weekend system/non-system than last run. WX/PT https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2024121600/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_22.png The weekend has not surprisingly trended into a nothing burger. We were trying to depend on a perfect +PNA spike in a perfect location with perfect downstream wave spacing and amping. A completely thread the needle setup…No -NAO and no 50/50 low and very fast northern stream flow, no southern stream involvement/phasing. It’s been doomed for awhile IMO 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 56 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: Tomorrow's 00Z GFS is faster and further out to sea with the weekend system/non-system than last run. WX/PT https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2024121600/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_22.png Gefs is further west. We should still watch this system. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 34 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The weekend has not surprisingly trended into a nothing burger. We were trying to depend on a perfect +PNA spike in a perfect location with perfect downstream wave spacing and amping. A completely thread the needle setup…No -NAO and no 50/50 low and very fast northern stream flow, no southern stream involvement/phasing. It’s been doomed for awhile IMO No it hasn't but it's not looking likely now. Still bares watching. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 6 hours ago, bluewave said: We’ll have a shot at 50s to around 60 at some point during the last week of December. Many outside this forum don’t consider milder weather this time of year doom and gloom since it helps lower their winter heating bills. But it isn’t the greatest if you are running a ski resort during the holiday period. Taking into account sky conditions and or if its raining ? Difficult to get to 60 in Late December with lack of daylight hours also and trying to predict over 10 days in advance - the whole setup could change by then........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 Snow mixing in with the rain, 37 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 25 minutes ago, psv88 said: Snow mixing in with the rain, 37 now Mix here too. 36⁰ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yaz Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 Rockaway NJ 2:50 am Morris County 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 Wantage NJ 8 s of high Point... 2.6" at 4A. 31.1F no wind 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 I expected to wake up to some freezing rain but got 4" of snow instead. Seems a fair trade 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 Snow showers. Measured 2.75" org 32° 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 I’m shocked just about 3 inches of snow (butler nj Morris county ) 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 Wantage NJ 8s High Point about 0.8" snow in 1 hr ending 5A. 3.4" so far though settling snow depth 3.2. 31F. still snowing a bit at 5A. Frankford Township DPW 3.5" at 4A, also Sussex County NJ. GEFS was TERRIBLE for this current event. CMCE and EPS much better. Regarding Fri-Sat of this coming weekend... am pretty sure of a light snowfall and maybe stick for first measurable NYC. Can't quite yet start a thread. I want to get to 96 Hours with same scenario but probabilistic has been showing the potential for several cycles. See attached graphics from 09z this morning. Will go with CMCE and EPS for the coming weekend. I foresee a bit of snow with entire I84 corridor Fri-Saturday followed by possible wind chill advisories either Sat night or Sunday night for much of I84 northward with as previously mentioned, the coldest air of the season so far. WSSI-P graphics attached. Pocket of light blue near NYC is risk of a moderate event. The more extensive graphic is the still low probability for a widespread minor impact event, with the lighter blue hues in MA-NYS higher probability. Lets see what evolves but I am not dismissive. No further comment from me on this til tomorrow morning. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 Not expecting this much rain this morning, this was not a weak storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 Almost 3.5" when I left at 5:30. Rt.23 is terrible. They dropped the ball regarding clearing the highway on this one. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 On 12/8/2024 at 7:49 AM, donsutherland1 said: A wet week lies ahead. Midweek will be very mild before it turns sharply colder. Snowfall prospects will remain limited. Final weekly outcome: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 6 hours ago, MJO812 said: Gefs is further west. We should still watch this system. Still watching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 5 hours ago, NEG NAO said: Taking into account sky conditions and or if its raining ? Difficult to get to 60 in Late December with lack of daylight hours also and trying to predict over 10 days in advance - the whole setup could change by then........ Taking into climatology into account, the the average maximum temperature during the last week of December has been 50 to 62 since 2011. Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending max temperature 12-26 to 12-31 2023-12-31 55 0 2022-12-31 62 0 2021-12-31 55 0 2020-12-31 50 0 2019-12-31 54 0 2018-12-31 60 0 2017-12-31 28 0 2016-12-31 60 0 2015-12-31 61 0 2014-12-31 55 0 2013-12-31 55 0 2012-12-31 39 0 2011-12-31 57 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 3.7” to perfect snowball snow, bringing my season to 8.9”, 31/30. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 Wantage NJ (this part 3.4" final but I've seen northern Wantage 4.1. My season total 7.5. I'll take it. This is actually a halfway decent start to winter out here. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 5 minutes ago, wdrag said: Wantage NJ (this part 3.4" final but I've seen northern Wantage 4.1. My season total 7.5. I'll take it. This is actually a halfway decent start to winter out here. Elevation has been a big help with these marginal set ups since late November. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 6 minutes ago, wdrag said: Wantage NJ (this part 3.4" final but I've seen northern Wantage 4.1. My season total 7.5. I'll take it. This is actually a halfway decent start to winter out here. Agreed on the decent start to winter. Gave my grandson new snow pants, jacket, and boots yesterday as an early gift, it's coming in handy today at least. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: Elevation has been a big help with these marginal set ups since late November. It sure has. I'd imagine most of, if not all, of the higher elevations up here are easily into double digit season totals. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 37 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Still watching We know. You will be tracking it till Saturday night, maybe Sunday lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 .58 inch of rain here, did not expect that much. Looks like inland got more snow than expected also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 16 Share Posted December 16 53 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Still watching Flow is way too fast. We just saw this with last week's system. And anyone comparing the setup to 2010 is insane. That had a massive -NAO block 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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