donsutherland1 Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 A wet week lies ahead. Midweek will be very mild before it turns sharply colder. Snowfall prospects will remain limited. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 While it wasn’t cold enough to average below freezing like 2007, this was the coldest start to December since then before the pattern warms up. Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending 12-01 to 12-07 average temperature 2024-12-07 34.7 0 2023-12-07 44.7 0 2022-12-07 45.7 0 2021-12-07 45.1 0 2020-12-07 42.1 0 2019-12-07 36.0 0 2018-12-07 40.0 0 2017-12-07 46.6 0 2016-12-07 44.1 0 2015-12-07 47.8 0 2014-12-07 42.4 0 2013-12-07 45.6 0 2012-12-07 45.1 0 2011-12-07 49.1 0 2010-12-07 36.9 0 2009-12-07 43.6 0 2008-12-07 38.1 0 2007-12-07 31.3 0 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 6 hours ago, RU848789 said: Sorry, can't imagine picking Peddlers Village over NYC, especially around the holidays, when NYC is so vibrant and full of beauty (and yes, crowded, but it's crowded because it's worth visiting - plenty of places off the beaten track to visit). I would pick that over NYC. Way too crowded in NYC I live in NYC and I don't even go to Manhattan unless I have to. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 Rest of December will go AN but not by a lot and they'll be several BN days mixed in. Snow prospects remain limited. Maybe an opportunity around the holidays. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 43 / 20 clouds. warmer to day, back to the 50s first time since 11/27. Wet Mon - Wed with 1.00 - 2.00 inches for most. Colder Thu-Fri before an overall near to above normal into and a bit beyond mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 Cold period first week is a wrap, a bit colder than 2010 opening. Cold period , should get near normal today EWR: Dec 1: 39 / 24 (-10) Dec 2: 42 / 25 (-8) Dec 3: 44 / 32 (-3) Dec 4: 42 / 24 (-8) Dec 5: 41 / 31 (-5) Dec 6: 37 / 30 (-7) Dec 7: 44 / 31 (-2) NYC: DEC 1: 38 / 27 (-10) DEC 2: 39 / 29 (-9) DEC: 3 42 / 32 (-6) Dec 4: 42 / 30 (-6) Dec 5: 40 / 31 (-6) Dec 6: 34 / 30 (-10) Dec 7: 41 / 31 (-5) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 Up to 2.00 rainfall (mainly Mon - Wed) perhaps more north and east. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 Records: Highs: EWR: 66 (1980) NYC: 65 (1927) LGA: 64 (1951) JFK: 61 (2004) Lows: EWR: 14 (1934) NYC: 4 (1900) LGA: 18 (1976) JFK: 16 (1976) Historical: 1892 - A tremendous ice fall occurred at Gay Hill, TX. Ice averaged four to six inches in diameter. (David Ludlum) 1935: From the Monthly Weather Review for December 1935, "The outstanding flood of December 1935 was the record-breaking overflow of Buffalo and White Oak Bayous at Houston, Texas on the 8 and 9th. This destructive flood was caused by excessive rainfall over Harris County, Texas during a 42 hour period on the 6th, 7th, 8th, with amounts ranging from 5.50 inches at Houston" to 16.49 inches at the Humble Oil Company in the northwestern part of Harris County. 1938 - The temperature at La Mesa, CA, soared to 108 degrees to set a U.S. record for the month of December. (The Weather Channel) 1963 - Lightning caused the crash of a jet airliner killing 81 persons at Elkton, MD. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1987 - A cold front crossing the northwestern U.S. continued to produce high winds along the coast, and heavy snow blanketed parts of the western U.S. Snowfall totals in the mountains of western Nevada ranged up to 18 inches at Heavenly Valley, and near the Boreal Ski Resort, and winds at Reno NV gusted to 56 mph. Thunderstorms over southern Florida deluged the Florida Keys with up to five inches of rain. Strong winds, gusting to 48 mph at Gage OK, ushered wintry weather into the Central High Plains. Goodland KS, which one day earlier was 63 degrees, was blanketed with two inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Santa Ana winds buffeted southern California, with gusts to 92 mph reported at Laguna Peak. The high winds unroofed buildings, and downed trees and power lines, igniting five major fires, and numerous smaller ones. Damage was estimated at 15 to 20 million dollars. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - A winter storm spread snow and freezing rain across much of the Atlantic Coast Region, from Georgia to New Jersey. Snowfall totals ranged up to seven inches, at Stanton VA and Tobacco MD. Up to six inches of snow blanketed the mountains of northern Georgia. More than one hundred auto accidents were reported in Gwinnett County GA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 There were still snowbergs- mini boulder-like piles of snow-on Sunken Meadow Parkway yesterday am. Clipper clipped here with a few raindrops 445am today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 Some models seem to be indicating the last part of the month may not be so mild, possibly below normal. To me when you get past 240 hours things can change often on the models. Just a few days ago there was a more mild end of the month. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 this trend is bringing strong southerly winds and convection in play for us 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 7 minutes ago, forkyfork said: this trend is bringing strong southerly winds and convection in play for us Westward shifts like clockwork. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 Canadians are going with 3 to 5" of rain for eastern PA and western nj. Euro is still the driest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 On 12/2/2024 at 1:48 PM, NEG NAO said: GFS and CMC 850 Anomaly completely different at Day 10 - can't trust any solution past Day 5 GFS Model – 850mb Temp Anomaly for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits CMC Model – 850mb Temp Anomaly for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits This is why you can't trust any model past Day 5- 10 Verified -Dec 2 12Z Run Vs. Dec 8th 12Z Run concentrated on Dec 12 12Z GFS Model – 850mb Temp Anomaly for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits CMC Model – 850mb Temp Anomaly for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits Also IMO anybody who knows what the weather will be like Christmas week today is kidding themselves........ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Rest of December will go AN but not by a lot and they'll be several BN days mixed in. Snow prospects remain limited. Maybe an opportunity around the holidays. You can predict snowfall opportunities for the next 23 days? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 Already up to 53 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 75 kts at 925 mb for long island 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 3 hours ago, MJO812 said: I would pick that over NYC. Way too crowded in NYC I live in NYC and I don't even go to Manhattan unless I have to. This time of year I’d say it’s something you do once or twice, or you want to go all out like getting a hotel room near Times Square for New Years Eve. I used to work near Grand Central and seeing it the first couple times was nice but after was just a PITA. It was pathetic seeing the Christmas/New Years setup in Austin when I lived there in comparison-really no one does it up like Midtown this time of year so it’s worth seeing it the once or twice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 2 hours ago, STORMANLI said: There were still snowbergs- mini boulder-like piles of snow-on Sunken Meadow Parkway yesterday am. Clipper clipped here with a few raindrops 445am today. Last of the snow is melting in my backyard today. Was a nice little surprise event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 4 minutes ago, forkyfork said: 75 kts at 925 mb for long island Nice let the trends continue. Finally a good active day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Nice let the trends continue. Finally a good active day every global gives us 2" now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 really nice trend towards a taller AK ridge. went from a +EPO to -EPO in one model cycle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 8 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: really nice trend towards a taller AK ridge. went from a +EPO to -EPO in one model cycle I wonder if the changes are related to the weaker gfs mjo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 up to 59 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 6 minutes ago, SACRUS said: up to 59 here Yeah definite overperformer for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 Well the latest Euro 360 is on the crack pipe. Let's watch this day by day and see where it goes. Verbatim would be very cold and potentially stormy Christmas holiday period. I'll take the under at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 28 minutes ago, bluewave said: The GFS and CMC would be an impressive storm since they go neg tilt further south. The Euro is weaker. Wonder if the Euro is holding back too much energy to the SW like it used to do making it too progressive? GFS would have 50-60+ mph gusts for NJ/LI Wed evening. Good thing the full moon isn't until 12/15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 Strong westerly winds today really made sitting outside unbearable with all the airport exhaust in the air. 53 degrees and it feels warm. Need that frigid air back ASAP! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 2 hours ago, MANDA said: Well the latest Euro 360 is on the crack pipe. Let's watch this day by day and see where it goes. Verbatim would be very cold and potentially stormy Christmas holiday period. I'll take the under at this point. Who knows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted December 8 Share Posted December 8 This is why you can't trust any model past Day 5- 10 Verified -Dec 2 12Z Run Vs. Dec 8th 12Z Run concentrated on Dec 12 12ZGFS Model – 850mb Temp Anomaly for CONUS | Tropical TidbitsCMC Model – 850mb Temp Anomaly for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits Also IMO anybody who knows what the weather will be like Christmas week today is kidding themselves......... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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