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The next 10 days looks to favor New England, and Maine in particular if ensembles are to be believed. Positive 500mb anomalies make it as far east as MN, which creates a steep NW flow angle that doesn't usually deliver us much precipitation. Maybe something changes moving forward. It wouldn't take too much to get some snow showers at least. Web cams from ALB to Glens Falls look nice today. But it always seems like it's snowing somewhere else.

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27 minutes ago, eduggs said:

The next 10 days looks to favor New England, and Maine in particular if ensembles are to be believed. Positive 500mb anomalies make it as far east as MN, which creates a steep NW flow angle that doesn't usually deliver us much precipitation. Maybe something changes moving forward. It wouldn't take too much to get some snow showers at least. Web cams from ALB to Glens Falls look nice today. But it always seems like it's snowing somewhere else.

Clippers and then maybe a coastal before it gets warmer 

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The GEFS keeps thinking we are in a La Nina or that the MJO is running the show.  Its been attempting to break the pattern or retrograde that ridge west but keeps kicking the can.  It also has now moved towards the the GEPS/EPS from the 5th-9th whereas 3-5 days ago it was quite mild because it had the ridge too far east.

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1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Clippers and then maybe a coastal before it gets warmer 

I wouldn't count on a clipper giving anything measurable in this area. When was the last time a clipper dumped an inch or 2 in NYC Metro. I honestly can't remember. Looks to me the next 10 days is going to be cold but with little precip. 

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3 hours ago, SnowGoose69 said:

The GEFS keeps thinking we are in a La Nina or that the MJO is running the show.  Its been attempting to break the pattern or retrograde that ridge west but keeps kicking the can.  It also has now moved towards the the GEPS/EPS from the 5th-9th whereas 3-5 days ago it was quite mild because it had the ridge too far east.

According to Bluewave the +AAM is waning so allowing Mjo to influence the pattern as it enters into Maritime continent. It shows a temporary transient mild up on the 12th of december but gets cold again afterwards on the GEFS. 

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Sort of to wrap up the rainfall Nov 20-28...  attached, click for clarity.  Sort of hard to believe the Drought Monitor didnt improve a bit in its Nov 27 posting. Maybe in the Thu Dec 5 (corrected date) post?

I can't quibble with thoughts expressed this page regarding upcoming snow threats for the NYC subforum.  I kind of think the LaNina pattern - storm track roughly OH Valley-New England is on course with the two storms between the 21st-28th of November giving us an idea. 

Screen Shot 2024-11-29 at 10.32.12 AM.png

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13 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Sort of to wrap up the rainfall Nov 20-28...  attached, click for clarity.  Sort of hard to believe the Drought Monitor didnt improve a bit in its Nov 27 posting. Maybe in the Thu Dec 4 post?

I can't quibble with thoughts expressed this page regarding upcoming snow threats for the NYC subforum.  I kind of think the LaNina pattern - storm track roughly OH Valley-New England is on course with the two storms between the 21st-28th of November giving us an idea. 

Screen Shot 2024-11-29 at 10.32.12 AM.png

I also found the Drought Monitor odd this week as it was essentially the same as last week. I wondered if the holiday had anything to do with it. 

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14 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Nothing on the horizon on gfs or cmc

give it time.........once the trough axis starts moving further west ( mid month) from right along the coast storms will develop further west rather then east of us......BUT timing and storm track is key and need that strong high up in southeast Canada...

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