klw Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 Whinge away! 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 I genuinely enjoy winter, but I cannot express how awful it is when we’re failing around here or waiting for things to change. I mean this with all sincerity—it’s by far the dumbest time of the year in wx discussion. It’s low level torture reading these boards and idk how or why I subject myself to it daily. It’s not necessarily that anyone is stirring the pot, it’s that there are irreconcilable differences, unfounded panic, and delusional optimism. Everywhere. All the time. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 14 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I genuinely enjoy winter, but I cannot express how awful it is when we’re failing around here or waiting for things to change. I mean this with all sincerity—it’s by far the dumbest time of the year in wx discussion. It’s low level torture reading these boards and idk how or why I subject myself to it daily. It’s not necessarily that anyone is stirring the pot, it’s that there are irreconcilable differences, unfounded panic, and delusional optimism. Everywhere. All the time. Are you sure it's dumber than the annual install/uninstall talk or the TP sticking vs COC talks we have? 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 14 minutes ago, mreaves said: Are you sure it's dumber than the annual install/uninstall talk or the TP sticking vs COC talks we have? It's much larger in volume... in the warmer months, fewer people are on here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 20 minutes ago, mreaves said: Are you sure it's dumber than the annual install/uninstall talk or the TP sticking vs COC talks we have? It absolutely is. There’s no urgency really underlying the summer discussion. It’s filling time. Low stress. Mostly tongue in cheek. Because everyone (or like 95%) here loves snow and knows it can only happen in a short window, the anxiety is everywhere and helps drive the craziness. And I get it, but it’s crazy. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 Yup…spending less time on American Wx seems like a good idea going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 45 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Yup…spending less time on American Wx seems like a good idea going forward. Here’s the problem—just can’t quit it. Between Tip’s dopamine drips and the real housewives infighting the drama is too much to look away. Hoping we get a classic Richmond to Portland crusher this winter. The ones where 95% of us get something good are so rare these days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted November 27 Share Posted November 27 8 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: I genuinely enjoy winter, but I cannot express how awful it is when we’re failing around here or waiting for things to change. I mean this with all sincerity—it’s by far the dumbest time of the year in wx discussion. It’s low level torture reading these boards and idk how or why I subject myself to it daily. It’s not necessarily that anyone is stirring the pot, it’s that there are irreconcilable differences, unfounded panic, and delusional optimism. Everywhere. All the time. This isn’t a a criticism by any means, though it come off as one in written form, but just an observation: It seems like a lot of the discussion posts had stricter moderation in the past, and a lot of what stays now used to be moved into the banter forums. It also doesn’t help that we have had a number of shitty winters since the jackpot of 2014-2015. It’s hard to get good moderators these days that have the time to keep the threads organized. There’s a lot of good content here. Just ignore or block the trolling. Don’t think I could give up this place either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27 Share Posted November 27 When there is a storm imminent, the crap in the discussion threads is cracked down. But when nothing is happening...I think some BSing is fine. We all know each other and many are friends (despite some times wanting to strangle each other). 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 27 Share Posted November 27 I’d gouge my eyes out if I didn’t have some humor mixed in to read…especially during slower times. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27 Share Posted November 27 1 hour ago, dendrite said: I’d gouge my eyes out if I didn’t have some humor mixed in to read…especially during slower times. Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 27 Share Posted November 27 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: When there is a storm imminent, the crap in the discussion threads is cracked down. But when nothing is happening...I think some BSing is fine. We all know each other and many are friends (despite some times wanting to strangle each other). Wolf has taken many of our jugular’s on numerous occasions. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 27 Share Posted November 27 Humor during the lean times was the rationale for The Panic Room. We should at least be able to have fun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28 Share Posted November 28 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wolf has taken many of our jugular’s on numerous occasions. He’s still on mine. Won’t let go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted November 28 Author Share Posted November 28 39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He’s still on mine. Won’t let go. Sometimes you just have to let it go 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 28 Share Posted November 28 It’s all good…. Happy Thanksgiving gentlemen(ladies too of course). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 28 Share Posted November 28 that 12z gfs was somewhat ugly. Good for NNE winter activities but shyt for wx hobbyists 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 28 Share Posted November 28 Definitely getting a sinking feeling looking at the 12z runs today. Looks like we could squander the first half of the month with cold and dry followed by rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted November 28 Share Posted November 28 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 29 Share Posted November 29 This is the Lake Effect storm of the year if you can make it up to Lake Ontario near Watertown to chase. Pretty accessible area around the town with highways connecting the city to I81. @WxWatcher007has chased many times up there and can give you some details. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 29 Share Posted November 29 36 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: This is the Lake Effect storm of the year if you can make it up to Lake Ontario near Watertown to chase. Pretty accessible area around the town with highways connecting the city to I81. @WxWatcher007has chased many times up there and can give you some details. cool but fake effect 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 29 Share Posted November 29 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: This is the Lake Effect storm of the year if you can make it up to Lake Ontario near Watertown to chase. Pretty accessible area around the town with highways connecting the city to I81. @WxWatcher007has chased many times up there and can give you some details. Absolute heartbreakah that it’s happening during a holiday weekend. Otherwise, I’d be in Watertown right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 29 Share Posted November 29 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: cool but fake effect Fake cold and fake snow...welcome to the 2020s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 29 Share Posted November 29 any takers? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 30 Share Posted November 30 Not sure if this is also just a normal banter thread but figured it would do. I’m currently north of the border. The holiday vibes in Quebec City are great. Even some light snow falling. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 30 Share Posted November 30 She’s coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 30 Share Posted November 30 10 hours ago, mreaves said: Not sure if this is also just a normal banter thread but figured it would do. I’m currently north of the border. The holiday vibes in Quebec City are great. Even some light snow falling. That looks great. I can’t believe I’ve never been to Quebec City, we are hopefully going next summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 30 Share Posted November 30 58 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: She’s coming. Lock it. 57 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: That looks great. I can’t believe I’ve never been to Quebec City, we are hopefully going next summer QC is an awesome city. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 30 Share Posted November 30 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: That looks great. I can’t believe I’ve never been to Quebec City, we are hopefully going next summer I've always wanted to go too, especially when they have the winter carnival. Cold and snow, what more could you ask for. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 30 Share Posted November 30 Since technically winter starts tomorrow, I'm running through my fall training on a quiet day. We're actually getting better at providing shorter, hyper-focused training modules rather than the longer, more comprehensive ones of the past. Some good NBM stuff in GYX's assigned training this year. It's a good reminder to myself that any deterministic NBM product is expert weighted (i.e. based on verification). Any probabilistic product is equally weighted, and therefore model biases can affect the forecast. For instance, Kuchera is one of the prominent snow ratios used (as much as 50% in some cases), usually in combination with Cobb and thickness. So certain events with a cold snow, the higher percentiles of the NBM may be biases high thanks to the incorporation of Kuchera ratios. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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