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December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!


FXWX
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39 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

it's too bad folks don't channel a mental space where they see realistically plausible corrections.

some can rely upon that visualization space, one that is constructed out of what can happen and what needs to happen to get it done ...  it's like an "effective imagination,"  not just imagining and waiting.    

it seems like people have to actually see the object on the daily modeling cinema.   it's not always the case ... some of the times there's stuff going on that is - I guess ... - just outside of capacitance to sense or detect it for those. and so this mood thing gets entirely controlled by the unknowable. 

man, that's a weird hell. 

It will be a warm month, but we've seen worse...some opportunity. 

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14 hours ago, klw said:

Wasn't there a report of 36" from White Horse in the 96 storm or are we just talking official reporting stations?

I'm sure it's official co-ops, and a big report like that would be subject to QC.  The early Feb storm in 2021 included a 35" report from Mt. Arlington but the checking dropped that to upper 20s.  (That site still had more snow in Feb than I had for the entire season.  Not a good look.)

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5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Maybe winter will suck but lol at losing your mind over lack of snow in SNE on 12/13. Imagine canceling summer in early June because we haven’t had dews yet. 

I think this is a product of literally being controlled by the models. It's all good and fun looking in the fantasy range for storms but some take it way too seriously and close to heart...so naturally when these don't verify the panic button is pressed because it seems like, "we're losing opportunities". Or on the other end, when the OP looks "dry" in the long-range the panic button is pushed. 

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1 hour ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Kids will be asking why are there so many songs about snow on Christmas?  What is a white Christmas?  

Hey, that movie's theme was a winter resort about to go bankrupt due to lack of snow - 70+ years ago (until the sappy happy ending).

Still 9" of ironclad at the stake, probably 3" or more SWE.  If that gets Grinched to brown ground, there would be some flood headlines.

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32 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

Boy do I remember this one. I was in my early thirties... I worked in West Hartford, but lived in Somers, Connecticut. I was one of those people stuck in the traffic, but the roads were horrific. We were bumping each other on 91 North heading into Windsor. My heart was racing, and I basically had a anxiety attack on my ride home. It took me 6 and 1/2 hours to get home. I'll never forget that storm.

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3 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Boy do I remember this one. I was in my early thirties... I worked in West Hartford, but lived in Somers, Connecticut. I was one of those people stuck in the traffic, but the roads were horrific. We were bumping each other on 91 North heading into Windsor. My heart was racing, and I basically had a anxiety attack on my ride home. It took me 6 and 1/2 hours to get home. I'll never forget that storm.

I remember it too but I was lucky and didn't have to go out on appts that day, so I watched it from the comfort of my warm office with a wood stove cranking.

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1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

might end up being something good for everyone   we watch

I actually agree with this statement. 

One key to watch I think is with the front Tuesday. It's a weak front but that could set the baroclinic zone which could come in play for the Thursday ordeal. There has been some signals for cyclogenesis to actually occur closer to the coast versus inland over the mid-Atlantic. 

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Too add on to that statement as well, I feel like if we're going to get a region-wide solid storm, it isn't something that is going to be well modeled several days in advance. It will be a product of subtle trends leading up to the day or two before. Perhaps this will such a scenario. 

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