December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!

[NorEastermass128]

42 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Long range guidance looks hideous right into early 2025. Brutal 

I haven’t looked at any model output in two seasons. This will likely be the third. I used to check the NCEP site every six hours back in the day when it actually snowed. 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said:

I haven’t looked at any model output in two seasons. This will likely be the third. I used to check the NCEP site every six hours back in the day when it actually snowed. 

It used to be exciting and gave you something to look forward to. Now when you look , you already know what to expect and are already in a bad mood prior to looking. And then when you look , you start smashing things. 

[MJO812]

44 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Long range guidance looks hideous right into early 2025. Brutal 

Yep

I guess the pattern change will happen next year ( if it does )

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

25.7°

Finished with 3.2”

Finished with .37" of rain.

[NorEastermass128]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It used to be exciting and gave you something to look forward to. Now when you look , you already know what to expect and are already in a bad mood prior to looking. And then when you look , you start smashing things. 

Sounds like you’re in the anger phase. I was there too a few years ago. I have now worked my way all the way to the acceptance phase. A couple more ratters and you’ll accept it too. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

23 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Guidance is going to rush that...I wouldn't hold your breath until after the New Year.

 

22 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, perhaps some obfuscation there on my part.....was just an anecdotal comment. But I do think we are going to see some overzealous holiday week model runs along the way, which is really my point.

 

53 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

No sign of a pattern change through Christmas on the models on the overnight models. Still no snow yet down here.

 

53 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Long range guidance looks hideous right into early 2025. Brutal 

 

[CoastalWx]

.65” here. 

[CoastalWx]

Don’t worry 2030 will rock.

[NorEastermass128]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Don’t worry 2030 will rock.

If we all make it to 2030. I am mentally prepared for another ratter. I recall it didn’t look good for this season at the end of last season. I’ll take whatever we can muster, but I’m not expecting much. Last winter was a week of “winter” during MLK week and then it was over. 

[mahk_webstah]

We should go one week at a time these days.   Chills down at the weekend maybe a bit of snow Sunday night, and then the 20-21 thing.  Don’t look any further ahead

[40/70 Benchmark]

14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Don’t worry 2030 will rock.

It should, but then again, we are going to be coming due for the next super El Nino by then ....1982-1997-2015- 2030-2033. I think it probably gets set in motion by another great stretch near the turn of the decade and into the very early portion of next decade, like 14-15 into 15-16, so probably more like 2032-2033...especially considering last year's event was pretty strong. 1982 came ten years after the 1972-1973 "El Nina"....another reason 2032-2033 makes perfect sense for a super warm ENSO.

[40/70 Benchmark]

25 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Sounds like you’re in the anger phase. I was there too a few years ago. I have now worked my way all the way to the acceptance phase. A couple more ratters and you’ll accept it too. 

I'm at acceptance...but then when the next KU-to-be devolves into a cutter at day 3, then the cycle starts a new.

[CoastalWx]

All kidding aside it’s not abysmal, just not thrilled with it. We could get lucky and sneak something in I suppose.

[40/70 Benchmark]

At least SE Canada looks to be building up a pack....that will pay dividends next month.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

At least SE Canada look to be building up a pack.

 

Man that makes me feel better. 

[CoastalWx]

Then again looking at temp anomalies, it’s puke worthy. Santa comes in and brings the torch. 

[CoastalWx]

Best December pattern continues. 
 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Man that makes me feel better. 

Well, what is your December climo, 5"?? Normally its all you can ask for this month.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Man, anger is already propagating in scooter.....he's ready to split.

 

[Great Snow 1717]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Best December pattern continues. 
 

 

I will not be the least bit surprised if the coast to coast torch takes place...

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Well, what is your December climo, 5"?? Normally its all you can ask for this month.

It’s not 5”

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Well, what is your December climo, 5"?? Normally it’s all you can ask for this month.

Enjoy the .6” you get this month I guess.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

It’s not 5”

Congrats.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Enjoy the .6” you get this month I guess.

Not my point...its going to suck for me, too....difference is I was mentally prepared for it.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Not my point...its going to suck for me, too....difference is I was mentally prepared for it.

Go through my stretch and see how prepared you’ll be. 

[CoastalWx]

This is why Sandbar Scooter has formed since 2022. Not a care in the world when the southern wind sings again an island lullaby. 
 

Fortunately the warm season continues to lengthen.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Not my point...it’s going to suck for me, too....difference is I was mentally prepared for it.

What happens when January shits itself in phase 5?

[Damage In Tolland]

What an assy pattern 

[Lava Rock]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Yep

I guess the pattern change will happen next year ( if it does )

always another model run away then all of the sudden it's mid jan and people are saying it's still early, then Feb will be rockin', lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Go through my stretch and see how prepared you’ll be. 

Go a decade without a normal snowfall season.....I guess I am king of the ratters, yay.