weatherwiz Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 Just now, ineedsnow said: We need a good line to come through.. hoping for the west trend and stronger low yeah if we see a stronger and deepening low just to our west its game on for some wind wind inland. At least right now though, this could be a huge wind issue towards the coast of Connecticut and eastern New England. IIRC, for coastal areas the strongest winds tend to be just a bit inland away from the water. Though an inversion may not be a huge issue in this one with temps/dews around 60. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 yeah, the ribbon echo squall might have some performance along it. but out ahead, i suspect some sporadic power outages ... perhaps a bit more concentration of that over the coastal plain of se zones, but more like a climate wind scenario. the low is 990 mb up in vt. if that were deeper perhaps. not sure the pgf is really huge enough here. standard ekman reduction/frictional drag may be enough to keep the gust maxes down without a lot of thermal inversion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 14 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: I think we need this to trend a bit further west for big winds here.. but the coast could rock It’s coming for all 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 21 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said: Saw evidence of ice fishing on Paradise Pond in LSF yesterday. Could have been the only chance of the season if the LR is correct. That's crazy. I can't believe ice is particularly thick... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Dewcember Dewly noted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 i actually thought the teleconnector (numeric) mode review looked a little better this morning. if perhaps only by a small increment, better. warm side of the modes were collapsing neutral amid the various sources (regarding their numbers for key geographic domains) resulted even better +pnap - one that fits the general scope of the pacific mode as we approach the holiday. now, this was last night's business. it's a small increment and it could prove noisy fake. i'm not sure i lean 'noise-bad' though. i will add .. i still think the western n/a continent flow structure could build more ridge out west, given the scale of the height falls n-ne of hawaii. having said that ... the eps is trending toward a better fit - appeasing my personal hang up on that.. heh. but here we can see the most improved version of this +pna to date. this proooobably has a few members actually developing events at this point, but ... in deference to reality here, we are talking 276 hours so there's no blame to go around yet - 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 yeah ...i'd watch the 20th along the tv/ma route. it's obviously vague at this range but that fits the canonical timing wrt to mode change induced correction events. h.a. and all that ... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: yeah ...i'd watch the 20th along the tv/ma route. it's obviously vague at this range but that fits the canonical timing wrt to mode change induced correction events. h.a. and all that ... It does have the look of possibly sneaking something in if well timed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 I know the conventional wisdom is to go with the worsening look for the 2nd half of the month. I'm not there yet. The long range has shifted alot the past month or two so a warm snowless pattern is not a lock for the rest of December. And some good looks are still there. And mostly things have trended better at least here, as events come closer. Tonight will be my 4th snow event in less than 2 weeks. Will have near a foot most likely in total in 4 events prior to Dec 10. That's pretty good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 On 11/24/2024 at 6:49 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: 1996. 1997 was the 8"/hr bomb in Ayer on the eve of Xmas eve. Do we have ANYONE on the boards that was in the middle of that famous Squall?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 2 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: Do we have ANYONE on the boards that was in the middle of that famous Squall?? It wasn't a squall...it was incedibly intense banding in a coastal storm. I remeber it like yesterday from my perspective in Wilmington...it was impressive enough coming out of school to that mess, as they didn't even release us early. But I wasn't in Ayer, no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 I wasn’t in Ayer but I was in ORH for it and we got 18”. Not quite the jackpot but close enough. We got 6” per hour at the peak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I wasn’t in Ayer but I was in ORH for it and we got 18”. Not quite the jackpot but close enough. We got 6” per hour at the peak. I had at least 1' in Wilmington...very impressive...probably like 13-15". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I had at least 1' in Wilmington...very impressive...probably like 13-15". 15". Looked it up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 Losing December is what I really want for Xmas…..sets up the season perfectly…..fucking hell 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 8 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Losing December is what I really want for Xmas…..sets up the season perfectly…..fucking hell It's far from lost yet... and usually isn't much of anything in your part of the state anyway, at least until Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 56 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I wasn’t in Ayer but I was in ORH for it and we got 18”. Not quite the jackpot but close enough. We got 6” per hour at the peak. it wasn't an "Ayer" event .. lol. i get the context there but there's enough new users and/or youngins amongst us that it's probably taken literally? i can see the take away being 'who cares about Ayer' or something like that anyway it was a ne ct to nw ri and metrowest of boston and up... so sne regional scaled and included much of the interior. too bad i never saved those write ups i made back in the day. i even received accolades for those efforts but i don't have those just laying around and i'm on lunch break and yadda yadda yadda. not sure there is a positive bust in history, dating back to the emergence of satellite and modeling ( anything before that would understandable ...) that can hold a candle to the shear enormity of forecasting 1-3" of glop in the hills and cat-paws in the valley, only have a uniform 15 to 24" fall in 5 hours at 26F !! that's in 1997, too. wasn't like today's standards, but ... it wasn't exactly piece of shit tech either. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 56 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Losing December is what I really want for Xmas…..sets up the season perfectly…..fucking hell just like the Bay Area teams... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its not another winter of getting stood up by the cold until Brooklyn posts an animation. Pfft.. You call that animation? This one will make you dizzy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 5 minutes ago, kdxken said: Pfft.. You call that animation? This one will make you dizzy. Wouldn’t that cut to our west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 8 minutes ago, kdxken said: Pfft.. You call that animation? This one will make you dizzy. They are the Joe Bastardi, Jr. of twitter now. I’m waiting for them to completely bail on their winter forecast just like they’ve done every year since 2019. It’s coming…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 8 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Wouldn’t that cut to our west? Probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 so close to the rain snow line today.. 18z RAP came in colder and gives me around 2 later on still thinking mostly a cold rain though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 so close to the rain snow line today.. 18z RAP came in colder and gives me around 2 later on still thinking mostly a cold rain thoughGave me 3.5"Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 38 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Wouldn’t that cut to our west? Tip started a thread….so there’s something dedicated to this sort of thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 47 minutes ago, kdxken said: Pfft.. You call that animation? This one will make you dizzy. A couple of more days to solidify something 280 hours out. WTF. This field is getting stupid now. 4 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 temp dropped by 4 degrees in the last 45 minutes down to 38 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 Temp busted low, forecasted high was 44, got lowered to 40, only hit 39.4 Down to 36.1 and dropping Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 36.0°/28.9°, snow has just started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 9 Share Posted December 9 38 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: A couple of more days to solidify something 280 hours out. WTF. This field is getting stupid now. I don’t think it’s just this field. Stupid is all the rage these days. 2 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now