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December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!


FXWX
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NAM is def solidly east of other guidance. GFS was furthest west. GFS solution would be warm sector right into Canada. Something like NAM would keep interior CNE/NNE wedged almost the whole event. 

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13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

NAM is def solidly east of other guidance. GFS was furthest west. GFS solution would be warm sector right into Canada. Something like NAM would keep interior CNE/NNE wedged almost the whole event. 

I would definitely not trust the NAM at this point. Far too early for accuracy. I'm leaning more on the side of the GFS as far as what's going to happen but, I secretly hope the NAM is correct as it would be better for more people )

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2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

I would definitely not trust the NAM at this point. Far too early for accuracy. I'm leaning more on the side of the GFS as far as what's going to happen but, I secretly hope the NAM is correct as it would be better for more people )

Still some decent spread on ensembles for 78 hours out

image.thumb.png.33082cfabb7387ecbfc376f2e270f059.png

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4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Nam and now the 18z GFS have zr here tomorrow night... 3k NAM destroys just east of here 

3k cold tucks nearly into BOS. There could be some problems in NE MA and SE NH. I mentioned this yesterday and a little while ago @wx2fish mentioned it. 

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2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Keep the tuck. We’ll take the winds 

I don’t think the tuck will directly affect wind potential. The tuck happens well before any wind event. The winds will be almost totally dependent on the main sfc low track and strength…a weaker low traveling almost overhead will keep winds to a min while a very strong low further west will cause them to rip. 

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28 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

NAM is def solidly east of other guidance. GFS was furthest west. GFS solution would be warm sector right into Canada. Something like NAM would keep interior CNE/NNE wedged almost the whole event. 

Winds don't seems to be an issue with this system, right?  Haven't seen any talk of them.

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37 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Honestly, NAM would be best case scenerio

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

May not work for us this week but you’ll come to learn that Brattleboro to Greenfield corridor knows how to cold air damn with the best of them.   Many a year while the Grinch storms devastate most areas we stay at a pack preserving, 34° rain through much of the event.

I mean, when there is actually pack to preserve.

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7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

18z gfs ticked a tad east. 

Yeah makes a big difference for NW New England. VT never warm sectors and dendrite-land maybe for only 3-5 hours. Diminishes winds too except out in eastern half of SNE they are still ripping. 

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50 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Keep ticking the front further east, Several days back it was well east along the coast, Just minimize the damage in the areas that have snow pack.

That’s all I want.  I don’t want to think about a 4th major flooding event in the last two years. Not sure how our trail system would bounce back. 

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