NW_of_GYX Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Might be worth watching the weekend? We’ve seen a weak signal for something but the 06z Euro gets snow over much of the region Sunday morning. Also worth keeping an eye on Tuesday for climo favored areas. A little less confluence and that’s advisory snow for my area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Oh well. Back to cutters. It was a good winter. 4 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 9 hours ago, MJO812 said: The AO is still negative and projected to be negative. I doubt the weather will be warm for a long period. Realistically, I would wait until right around the Christmas/New Years time frame for a meaningful change back to what we've had recently. With any luck climo would favor a more wintry look at that time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like we go back to late October next week. It was a good December. Suits me. We still have a couple exterior lighting projects to wrap up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 That PV lobe vortmax rotating down in Quebec is what would be needed to get a colder solution next week. If you can rotate that down into northern Maine or something then it gets very interesting. But right now most guidance is too far north with it. This is the clown range NAM at 12z 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 16 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: Suits me. We still have a couple exterior lighting projects to wrap up Clark? Is that you? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 3 minutes ago, Layman said: Clark? Is that you? Certainly is! When we get done with some of the exterior accent lighting at a couple of my customers houses, the neighbors are going to be asking "Are we at the airport Clark?" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 29 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Oh well. Back to cutters. It was a good winter. Lolol... Slow your roll ( hopefully you are just kidding ). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Next week (M-Thursday at least) looks pretty ugly. Rain and warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 1 hour ago, mahk_webstah said: maybe this trends generally better, as have the last 2 storms. Better for some...this one trended worse for you and it was all moot for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Can a brotha get a Scooter shit streak out of Quebec when we actually want it? I’m sure we’ll get it later in the season to push a storm south to Philly. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 I'm honestly so exhausted by the past several seasons that I don't even care to engage deeply, or invest until I feel something worthwhile is literally imminent. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm honestly so exhausted by the past several seasons that I don't even care to engage deeply, or invest until I feel something worthwhile is literally imminent. I learned a long time ago that I have no control over the weather, so I just accept what happens. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Looks like Dogsh*t til at least 12/20, but I didn't expect much to start. Maybe things will start to look more like yesterdays 18z runs..but not holding my breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm honestly so exhausted by the past several seasons that I don't even care to engage deeply, or invest until I feel something worthwhile is literally imminent. Yeah, happy for those that got snow, but sigh..we continue to wait. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm honestly so exhausted by the past several seasons that I don't even care to engage deeply, or invest until I feel something worthwhile is literally imminent. Man, I totally get you. I used to let the same s*** happen to me. But I finally stopped and said none of us have control over what Mother nature is going to do. So just go with what happens. It does make things a lot less difficult when they don't go the way we hope. Whatever you do, don't stop your passion. We all have that same passion, and it's not worth tossing it aside just because it's not going the way we hope because of model discrepancies that happen. As far as next week goes, more than likely four for southern areas, it's not going to trend in a way that's good enough to change to a wintry setup. But, there's a possibility that Central and Northern areas could get enough of a change in model runs where it could become more wintry. It's worth keeping an eye on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm honestly so exhausted by the past several seasons that I don't even care to engage deeply, or invest until I feel something worthwhile is literally imminent. What’s worthwhile? A warning level event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: Might be worth watching the weekend? We’ve seen a weak signal for something but the 06z Euro gets snow over much of the region Sunday morning. was just coming to post that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah weak clipper. actually looks like a warm front to me ...that early sunday morning whisk through thing. mostly cne up for any expression of it, and by 18z ... 550+ dm ... thickness' west and south zones and 546 with 'polar barotropic' air mass rapidly ne. the gfs has it too, but it then lifts a theta e conveyor for early next week, which it uses to 52 f rain for two straight days or something but it's likely overdone like everything ever modeled in that range+ seems to be these days.. anyway, no one asked but it looks to me like a warm burst could materialize circa 15th -20th. not a certainty but ... i would suggest folks consider that despite the recent cool snap and today's treat, don't be lulled into thinking it's 1995 again. we still are very much in a larger/longer/planetary circumstance of 'anything that can go warm usually does and exceeds expectation' sort of reality. if -epo does bias west, together with that underpinning -pna during tht time range we will be 70 deg. the key is the ne pac and how it might transmit forcing down stream. nuanced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Probably going to see some type of wintry mess for NNE Monday. Someone will end up getting smoked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Probably going to see some type of wintry mess for NNE Monday. Someone will end up getting smoked Looks to be morphing into a SWFE event up here on the GFS, Cold enough for all snow too verbatim. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Probably going to see some type of wintry mess for NNE Monday. Someone will end up getting smoked GFS is real wedgy on the front end early next week. High is in a better position. Follow up still busts west, but front end could be wintry for NNE 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 5 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Kev is real wedgy on the front end early next week. Like to get him in a better position. Follow up with a swift lick of that camel toe. Tis the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looks to be morphing into a SWFE event up here on the GFS, Cold enough for all snow too verbatim. I like how that one is trending. Let’s see what it looks like inside 72 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Tis the season After walking up to a coating this morning part of me just wants to blast the warm front to Montreal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 1 minute ago, NW_of_GYX said: I like how that one is trending. Let’s see what it looks like inside 72 hours The one thereafter is pretty ugly though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 31 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: was just coming to post that 500 trends have been solid on the Euro and GFS. Need more though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 1 minute ago, dryslot said: The one thereafter is pretty ugly though. Nothing to save us from warm sectoring on that but it’s still out in lala land 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Just now, NW_of_GYX said: Nothing to save us from warm sectoring on that but it’s still out in lala land Thats where a nice 1030+ HP over QUE would work wonders to get this one underneath us, Still time though as you said. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 3 minutes ago, wx2fish said: After walking up to a coating this morning part of me just wants to blast the warm front to Montreal I hear you...I already said as much, though at least I didn't expect any more where I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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