DavisStraight Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 3 hours ago, ineedsnow said: I lost power for 10 days in 2011 and I would do anything for a event like that again.. trees going down and constant shotgun blast.. neighborhood looked like a bomb went off it was awesome!! I was glad to be in the valley for that storm I lost it for 7 and wouldn't mind as much if it happens again since I have a wood stove and generator, but it wasn't so much fun back then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 14 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Models are starting to get away from the prolonged torch. Holy blocking and ridge out west The warmth happens after this snapshot as the trough lifts out. The SE ridge builds and connects with the N Atlantic ridge while a trough starts to dig into Cabo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The warmth happens after this snapshot as the trough lifts out. The SE ridge builds and connects with the N Atlantic ridge while a trough starts to dig into Cabo. The AO is still negative and projected to be negative. I doubt the weather will be warm for a long period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 8 minutes ago, MJO812 said: The AO is still negative and projected to be negative. I doubt the weather will be warm for a long period. Since you’re using the op, GL. it’s going to get ugly for a stretch. How long is tbd. Hopefully no grinch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Since you’re using the op, GL. it’s going to get ugly for a stretch. How long is tbd. Hopefully no grinch.Might get lucky, pattern looks to be in the process to flip back right around Christmas Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Since you’re using the op, GL. it’s going to get ugly for a stretch. How long is tbd. Hopefully no grinch. I don't even care if there's a foot of snow, as long as its cold Christmas. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 GFS and Euro are vastly different beyond 12/15. They both have a chilly few days after next Wednesday's torch but the Euro insists on a -EPO with modest ridging in AK to help keep the cold air source close enough to prevent an all out torch. The GFS otoh has the dreaded GoA low and a strong SE ridge. It'll be interesting to see which one is closer to verifying. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 10 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: GFS and Euro are vastly different beyond 12/15. They both have a chilly few days after next Wednesday's torch but the Euro insists on a -EPO with modest ridging in AK to help keep the cold air source close enough to prevent an all out torch. The GFS otoh has the dreaded GoA low and a strong SE ridge. It'll be interesting to see which one is closer to verifying. Perhaps somewhat of a compromise, but the GFS probably has more of a grasp. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Perhaps somewhat of a compromise, but the GFS probably has more of a grasp. Yeah, you're probably right. The EPS looks more like the GFS OP. Definitely higher heights than its own OP run. Do you think it's close the shades til after New Year's? That would line up with your outlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Just now, H2Otown_WX said: Yeah, you're probably right. The EPS looks more like the GFS OP. Definitely higher heights than its own OP run. Do you think it's close the shades til after New Year's? That would line up with your outlook. The holiday week may begin the transition, but we probably aren't seeing a significant snow event throughout the majority of SNE until 2025. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Snow or torch next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan63 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Just now, CoastalWx said: Snow or torch next week? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Snow or torch next week? Torch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Snow or torch next week? Torch Models are warm for the wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 I'd lean pessimistic. Snow for the holidays gonna be another huge uphill climb but we are used to that by now. Fingers crossed for a festive miracle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 11 hours ago, ineedsnow said: I lost power for 10 days in 2011 and I would do anything for a event like that again.. trees going down and constant shotgun blast.. neighborhood looked like a bomb went off it was awesome!! I was glad to be in the valley for that storm You would have loved to be in Templeton in 2008 for the ice storm. Massive massive damage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Snow or torch next week? Torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 19 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Torch Agree!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Looks like we go back to late October next week. It was a good December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 maybe this trends generally better, as have the last 2 storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The holiday week may begin the transition, but we probably aren't seeing a significant snow event throughout the majority of SNE until 2025. It's just a repeat of the last decade. I'm not optimistic until a full scale change occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 torch for most, snow for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 When winters were winters and storms were storms 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Torch cancel here next week. Beyond that the modeled pattern at h5 is no bueno but all caveats apply to sensible weather forecasts at that range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Just now, NW_of_GYX said: Torch cancel here next week. Beyond that the modeled pattern at h5 is no bueno but all caveats apply to sensible weather forecasts at that range. Hoping we get away with just some 40's and a couple rain showers at most up here, winter is well on its way currently and would stink to lose that progress Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: When winters were winters and storms were storms Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Just now, TheMainer said: Hoping we get away with just some 40's and a couple rain showers at most up here, winter is well on its way currently and would stink to lose that progress We have a lot more runway than SNE. A well timed scooter high and we SWFE. GEFS pumps a serious ridge but there’s still cold lurking in our source region. Its not an all out Canadian torch 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 Might be worth watching the weekend? We’ve seen a weak signal for something but the 06z Euro gets snow over much of the region Sunday morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5 Share Posted December 5 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Might be worth watching the weekend? We’ve seen a weak signal for something but the 06z Euro gets snow over much of the region Sunday morning. Yeah weak clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now