December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!

[Typhoon Tip]

probably false/machinery but there was a tor warn tripped in a squall passage associated with the arctic front out in se minnesota

[iceman1]

2 hours ago, dryslot said:

That's a lot of ice on the GFS next thursday.

lots of rain for ct

[iceman1]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Be nice if we could get that to work out for us.  At least there’s a shot. 

next week in ct 50s no snow for us

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, iceman1 said:

next week in ct 50s no snow for us

Well Not if those latest Euro/EPS runs are any indication….long way off to say either at the moment. 

[Torch Tiger]

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

I’m a Trammell Starks guy

 

 There was/still is? so much great music on TWC.  Mostly jazz but they occasionally had other stuff.  this is my personal fav,  never knew until I got old that was Zappa graduate Patrick O"Hearn's song or about downhill racing, but the music conveyed it. 

 

[bwt3650]

Beginning of thread:
”bring the cold first, the snow will follow”
Current:
”we have precip, now we just need the cold”
Can’t make this stuff up lol.

Perspective…it’s 4 days into meteorological winter…the first 10 or so of Dec are BN..clipper might get some 2-4…mountains are cleaning up…everyone said mid month would warm..last 10 are unknown to everyone…

Let’s move on from the passive aggressive shit.


.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Dear God, this thread is like the “get a hold of yourself” seen in Airplane. 
 

[weathafella]

Not perfect but definitely an improvement on 12Z guidance today.

[Torch Tiger]

  that ridge must be close to record-breaking? 585 dm up through CNE.   wow wow wow

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said:

  that ridge must be close to record-breaking? 585 dm up through CNE.   wow wow wow

Can you post the gefs for the same hour considering it’s day 13?

[weathafella]

4 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

  that ridge must be close to record-breaking? 585 dm up through CNE.   wow wow wow

585 on gefs is about 1500 miles further south.  

 

 

[NW_of_GYX]

next week screams CAD. I'll be rotting at 40 with drizzle while its sunny and 60 on the tarmac at Bradley

[CoastalWx]

End of the EPS had some improvements. But we know how that can go being 2+weeks out.

[NW_of_GYX]

source region looks to stay cold, wouldn't take much to SWFE

[SJonesWX]

9 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

  that ridge must be close to record-breaking? 585 dm up through CNE.   wow wow wow

Wow wow wow that 312 hour Op GFS is sure to verify

wowowowowowowowowwwwwww

[Go Kart Mozart]

5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Strongly agree with all of this. 

https://youtu.be/OdBnQZCFcQM?si=o9E18FO-SuFdihKq

Either he videoed that in a mirror or he had his shirt on inside out, but good presentation.

[Torch Tiger]

16 minutes ago, weathafella said:

585 on gefs is about 1500 miles further south.  

 

 

oh yeah I don't expect that type of ridging but given the past couple winters, wouldn't rule out something extreme too.  GGEM looks to be heading gfs direction by D10 so there's that

[weathafella]

24 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

oh yeah I don't expect that type of ridging but given the past couple winters, wouldn't rule out something extreme too.  GGEM looks to be heading gfs direction by D10 so there's that

It seems we’re in a period of high volatility in both directions.  At the very least wx will be interesting.

[Damage In Tolland]

So were today’s trends colder / snowier for next week, or is it rain and 50’s? It is absolutely impossible to tell by reading the posts this afternoon 

[ORH_wxman]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So were today’s trends colder / snowier for next week, or is it rain and 50’s? It is absolutely impossible to tell by reading the posts this afternoon 

Two different scenarios offer a chance at something more wintry next week but we’re def going to be warmer at least for a few days prior to that. The magnitude is still in doubt. It could be 55-60 and rain but there’s a chance it never gets close to that warm either. I’d think it might benefit to torch for a day or two if we can press the boundary down behind it sort of like the Euro had. 
 

I’d say we wait and see what guidance does over the next 2-3 days on that front. 

[MJO812]

Weeklies?

[MJO812]

Colder than 12z

[CoastalWx]

Looking violent

[weathafella]

Icy.  But trend over the next 5-6 days should help sort it out.

[MJO812]

Not bad 

[weatherwiz]

It’s out there but definitely intrigued by next week. That’s been another potential period for a while. There is going to be some sort of storm…whatever that means some system that just moves across the Southeast while we kiss high pressure or something comes up the coast…we’ll worry about those details later on. 

[Typhoon Tip]

yeah that's an interesting look, that 18z long duration mixer.  lasting some 30 hours.  

the wpo is neutralizing ... finally.  it had been correcting neg as it was emerging but that has ceased.  however, the epo is trending down.  i don't believe these two make for a very stable hemisphere and something is likely correct. but how.   in the mean time, the pna slips neg.    the weighting of the 'tippy' flow tendency with vestigial -epo vs these other warming signals is unclear, but i'd be prepared for more model noise than usual ... least through the 10th

[CarverWX]

First coating of the season!

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, CarverWX said:

First coating of the season!

Just had flurries here too. 

[Snowcrazed71]

Well as of right now... Our local Mets are calling for temperatures in the upper 50s for next Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday with rain. So right now that's what I'm going to go with in my head. If anything changes from that, all the better. I'd rather be surprised than disappointed.