powderfreak Posted Monday at 05:16 AM Share Posted Monday at 05:16 AM We hope some of these aggregates come to fruition. Stake depth is at 13” at the picnic tables, hopefully we can nickel and dime some QPF in the next week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Monday at 05:26 AM Share Posted Monday at 05:26 AM 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: This time of year, with the solar min and strong inversions… any rain is likely to be a cold rain. A couple degrees above normal isn’t making it more enjoyable… but we are in the time of year when even above normal can be snowy for CNE/NNE. Yea that gfs look can be fine up there. It’s just getting repetitive for us down here with west troughs digging into Cabo. Selfishly Id rather it be 55F and dry then 40F rains in December but I understand the latter usually means snows for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Monday at 05:40 AM Share Posted Monday at 05:40 AM Bricked by that ridgeSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted Monday at 09:36 AM Share Posted Monday at 09:36 AM Decent cold temps considering there is no snow pack down here; 14F so far for the low. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 11:08 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:08 AM Looks terrible going forward. Trough retros out west. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted Monday at 11:09 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:09 AM 1 hour ago, Modfan2 said: Decent cold temps considering there is no snow pack down here; 14F so far for the low. Yeah even GON down to 19 while BDR is 27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Monday at 11:12 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:12 AM 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks terrible going forward. Trough retros out west. At least we have cross polar flow so it’s arctic air not too far away. Still doesn’t help us a ton though if we start digging troughs into Baja and SCal. Hopefully guidance is a little too aggressive otherwise we’re prob cooked for at least a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 11:16 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:16 AM 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: At least we have cross polar flow so it’s arctic air not too far away. Still doesn’t help us a ton though if we start digging troughs into Baja and SCal. Hopefully guidance is a little too aggressive otherwise we’re prob cooked for at least a week. It’s not a massive SE ridge, but I’d feel a little better in January seeing that. Just not a fan of that trough axis. Getting really tired of this. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted Monday at 11:21 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:21 AM Lots of cold sandy beaches this morning. 16 even out on fishers island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Monday at 11:22 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:22 AM 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks terrible going forward. Trough retros out west. Another hyped big cold pattern just like last December which also failed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 11:25 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:25 AM Just now, MJO812 said: Another hyped big cold pattern just like last Devemher which also failed. You can’t say there wasn’t some folks mentioning this and urging caution . If you bought into the great , snowy cold pattern that’s on you 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Monday at 11:29 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:29 AM 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You can’t say there wasn’t some folks mentioning this and urging caution . If you bought into the great , snowy cold pattern that’s on you Scooter had his doubts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Monday at 11:31 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:31 AM 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Another hyped big cold pattern just like last December which also failed. Last December never looked that good down there. Models did have a big NAO block but marginal cold so it would’ve been a heavy lift south of NE if it did materialize. This is different type pattern with a huge arctic dump into CONUS but in the west…more akin to Xmas week 2022 though still a few differences from that one too. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 11:31 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:31 AM 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks terrible going forward. Trough retros out west. oooff 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 11:32 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:32 AM 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Scooter had his doubts I was wrong about early December. I think we knew there was progged relaxation at some point mid month. I’m just sick and tired of seeing the same stable look approaching the holidays. Perhaps it improves before that, but I’ll get jack dick from this pattern. Can we ever get a fucking break? 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted Monday at 11:32 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:32 AM Same ole crap, different year. Lock in that ridge And it's not like the current "cold" pattern is producing. Give me mild and dry over this any day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Monday at 11:33 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:33 AM 14.9° Not ready for 4 months of this. Just make it barely cold enough to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 11:36 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:36 AM 14.0°F, Beautiful cold morning, Starting to get the ground frozen. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 11:36 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:36 AM I don’t mean to bring anyone down. I hope I’m violently wrong like I was early December. I’m just frustrated and disgusted. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Monday at 11:40 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:40 AM 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t mean to bring anyone down. I hope I’m violently wrong like I was early December. I’m just frustrated and disgusted. We all are unless you live near the lakes . I wish we can go back to the mid 2000s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 11:41 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:41 AM Thanks Debbie. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Monday at 11:44 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:44 AM Looks terrible going forward. Trough retros out west. At least it looks better than it did on the 0z run last nightSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted Monday at 12:10 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:10 PM 31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t mean to bring anyone down. I hope I’m violently wrong like I was early December. I’m just frustrated and disgusted. Dry weather and woodstove ash fueled brush fires to continue?? I mean we currently have the airmass, just need some storms to break the right way. If there is any silver lining in this is that New England Ski areas can at least build a good man made base heading towards the end of the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted Monday at 12:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:16 PM 53 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Another hyped big cold pattern just like last December which also failed. From what I saw here, the only ones hyping it were the weenies here... and all those absurd, useless forecasters on YouTube... Said it for years, STOP looking out past two weeks! 15 degrees in Westfield this A.M. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Monday at 12:40 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:40 PM 24 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: From what I saw here, the only ones hyping it were the weenies here... and all those absurd, useless forecasters on YouTube... Said it for years, STOP looking out past two weeks! 15 degrees in Westfield this A.M. Euro going out to 360 is not making things any better lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Monday at 12:56 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:56 PM 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Another hyped big cold pattern just like last December which also failed. We tried to warn the premature little boners but ya’ll were too busy playing with each other over. 1 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Monday at 01:01 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:01 PM Low of 12.2 off a forecasted low of 17... FrigidSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Monday at 01:05 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:05 PM 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t mean to bring anyone down. I hope I’m violently wrong like I was early December. I’m just frustrated and disgusted. We may have had generally the right idea, just perhaps a bit more of a protracted cold shot early in the month relative to expectation, due to the extreme WWB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted Monday at 01:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:06 PM 1 hour ago, Prismshine Productions said: At least it looks better than it did on the 0z run last night Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Agreed that was horrifying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Monday at 01:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:06 PM 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Last December never looked that good down there. Models did have a big NAO block but marginal cold so it would’ve been a heavy lift south of NE if it did materialize. This is different type pattern with a huge arctic dump into CONUS but in the west…more akin to Xmas week 2022 though still a few differences from that one too. Yea...Dec 2022 was my favorite analog going in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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