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December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!


FXWX
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5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Even I got excited when Scoots woofed. And then I realized he didn’t get what woof meant and I was in a bad mood rest of afternoon 

I don’t say woof when something looks good like some child. I’ll use some mature comment like pants tent or something like that. 

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1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I don’t say woof when something looks good like some child. I’ll use some mature comment like pants tent or something like that. 

Lol..ok, but most everyone thinks when somebody says woof…it means something good.  But we’ll look for “popping a tent” or some “hard on” analogy from you from now on :lol:

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8 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Kinda baffled by this sounding... Can someone more knowledgeable than me explain how Sleet can be present with no layers above freezing to induce that partial melt required for sleet to be present? This looks like an all snow soundingf9b1b9d911817d1e562ca345838474e6.jpg

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

Good eye/question!

The most recent version of the GFS has 127 hybrid sigma-pressure (terrain following at the surface and pressure aloft) vertical profile layers. In the plot you attached, the vendor is/appears to be plotting vertical profile data that has been interpolated to mandatory isobaric surfaces (1000, 925, 850, 700, 500, 400, 300, 250, 200, 150, and 100 mb). I'm assuming the same vendor uses a diagnostic categorical precipitation type/intensity field to plot precipitation type/intensity, which considers all 127 native vertical profile layers.

So the Skew-T is only showing you a select few isobaric surfaces although the native model output possesses plenty more.

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12 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs and cmc look awful now going forward.  Most likely a brief moderation but the long lasting cold that the models once showed  is now gone.

Looking like a cutter for next weekend 

Reverse psychology? I think you need to change your username back to Metfan or whatever. The MJO one is bad juju.

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49 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Better to torch warmth then cool rains. 

This time of year, with the solar min and strong inversions… any rain is likely to be a cold rain.  A couple degrees above normal isn’t making it more enjoyable… but we are in the time of year when even above normal can be snowy for CNE/NNE.

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