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December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!


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59 minutes ago, mreaves said:

@weathafella I know you don’t trust the squirrels any more but maybe this guy from Quebec City is predicting a decent winter. 

IMG_4975.jpeg

We were just there over Columbus day - hope you got to chat with the art vendors down the alley there

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5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Ugly 

How so?  Warm on the North Pole isn’t 50…lol.  Kind of a nice wintry look temperature wise but I’d rather see H5 and 850.  Canada and the northern tier of the USA stays cold.  2M tends to have poor reliability in the long range.

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4 minutes ago, weathafella said:

How so?  Warm on the North Pole isn’t 50…lol.  Kind of a nice wintry look temperature wise but I’d rather see H5 and 850.  Canada and the northern tier of the USA stays cold.  2M tends to have poor reliability in the long range.

N Canada is furnaced . Never good 

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13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Ugly 

So we don't know if this will happen for sure, but, did you fall and hit your head hard? If this comes to fruition this is a good thing ( And I believe seeing the above normal temperatures in the Arctic is what displaces the cold air South.... Remember, the Arctics temperature averages at this time of the year are extremely cold, so if they're going to be warmer than normal, they're still cold. It just displaces some of their cold air southward, no? ). But, humor me. What's your thinking?

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55 minutes ago, weathafella said:

How so?  Warm on the North Pole isn’t 50…lol.  Kind of a nice wintry look temperature wise but I’d rather see H5 and 850.  Canada and the northern tier of the USA stays cold.  2M tends to have poor reliability in the long range.

Here you go Jerry. Updated maps on TT.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips&region=us&pkg=z500a&runtime=2024120100&fh=0

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33 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

Bruh - its cuz the cold is displaced - here.  

Yeah far N Canada above average is fine. It’s when southern Canada gets furnaced is when we have issues. That’s our source region which is why we’re frequently torched when they are. 

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4 minutes ago, cardinalland said:

i've had plenty of beer too but i can still recognize a -EPO -AO setup when i see one

If there’s a type of pattern where modeled warm spells could actually underachieve here for a change, it’s that type of look in the N PAC. I still expect some mild days but perhaps it won’t be these week-long 45-55F type patterns we’ve seen a lot of in the past two winters. If you’re keeping legit cold nearby, you hopefully tap back into fairly quickly when you get a mild spell. 

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