December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!

[Damage In Tolland]

With over a foot this month , this has been a good winter month. Not great , but good . It’s been cold and several good snow events. I was 100% wrong and I have a sneaking suspicion this winter might well be at or AN for snowfall looking at the progs ahead. This is how Dec is supposed to be. Dark, cold, snowy , low sun angle , holidays. Not the spring Morch stuff that melts before it stops falling and rapidly increasing daylight and temps and high sun angle 

[WxWatcher007]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

With over a foot this month , this has been a good winter month. Not great , but good . It’s been cold and several good snow events. I was 100% wrong and I have a sneaking suspicion this winter might well be at or AN for snowfall looking at the progs ahead. This is how Dec is supposed to be. Dark, cold, snowy , low sun angle , holidays. Not the spring Morch stuff that melts before it stops falling and rapidly increasing daylight and temps and high sun angle 

Wow you’ve done well. What’s your December normal. 

[dryslot]

This month sucks.

[DJln491]

after this Tuesday thing doesn't look like much going on until maybe 12/31-1/1?

[Damage In Tolland]

22 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Wow you’ve done well. What’s your December normal. 

I’m at 13” for the winter. That includes that minor event pre Tgiving. Normal is probably 10-15” I would guess . 

[WinterWolf]

BDL’s average is about 8” I think for December…so being at 6.5” so far I thought I might have a shot if we got something on Tuesday…but maybe I fall short with this trending towards a CNE deal? 

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

BDL’s average is about 8” I think for December…so being at 6.5” so far I thought I might have a shot if we got something on Tuesday…but maybe I fall short with this trending towards a CNE deal? 

It’s always been 1-2” in SNE south of pike . Nothing has changed with that 

[WinterWolf]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s always been 1-2” in SNE south of pike . Nothing has changed with that 

That’d be nice if that’s how it plays out…all these have trended better into go time this month…so maybe the “tenor” keeps going…? 

[ORH_wxman]

14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s always been 1-2” in SNE south of pike . Nothing has changed with that 

Looks worse than it did. Prob just flurries but maybe enough to do a fresh coating. 
 

There’s a little vort up in Canada that phases in with the lakes vort and causes all the best forcing to be up north so we’re left with almost nothing. 
 

Hope for Reggie to be correct again. That model still has 1-2”. Esp from your area northward. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Looks worse than it did. Prob just flurries but maybe enough to do a fresh coating. 
 

There’s a little vort up in Canada that phases in with the lakes vort and causes all the best forcing to be up north so we’re left with almost nothing. 
 

Hope for Reggie to be correct again. That model still has 1-2”. Esp from your area northward. 

Been hitting bombs all month . We’ll see 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Been hitting bombs all month . We’ll see 

Yes reggie is like one of those hitters who goes on a tear and hits bombs and liners every at bat…like Giancarlo in the playoffs. But otherwise he just whiffs 90% of the time, lol. Hopefully it stays on a heater. 

[tamarack]

20 hours ago, dryslot said:

Was on the phone with Ed a while ago, There riding up there, But its rough, He was asking me if there's anything in the pipeline, Told him some snow today and some lt snow 12/24 and plenty of cold next 7 days.

Club trails here had some use before the 2" rain, not much since.  The northerly 500' of the section on our woodlot is a rock garden when there's less than 12-15" on the trails.  Ouch!

[Prismshine Productions]

12z GFS has the storm signal still just after new years

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[dryslot]

21 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Club trails here had some use before the 2" rain, not much since.  The northerly 500' of the section on our woodlot is a rock garden when there's less than 12-15" on the trails.  Ouch!

Yeah, I won't get out there until at least the second week of January.

[Patrick-02540]

27 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

12z GFS has the storm signal still just after new years

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

And another 4 days later (missing to the south, but better than to the NW).  Maybe this is the timeframe.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yes reggie is like one of those hitters who goes on a tear and hits bombs and liners every at bat…like Giancarlo in the playoffs. But otherwise he just whiffs 90% of the time, lol. Hopefully it stays on a heater. 

WIlly Mo Pena is another comp....

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Looks worse than it did. Prob just flurries but maybe enough to do a fresh coating. 
 

There’s a little vort up in Canada that phases in with the lakes vort and causes all the best forcing to be up north so we’re left with almost nothing. 
 

Hope for Reggie to be correct again. That model still has 1-2”. Esp from your area northward. 

I'd be absolutely elated with 2" on Xmas eve.....been so busy lately, which is why I kind of half-assed yesterday's deal.

[Bryan63]

Pixie dust falling, just got back from a nice walk with our 10 month old to make sure she loves this stuff as much as I do.

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, dryslot said:

This month sucks.

Ditto....now watch the XMAS eve snow be north of me. Like clockwork-

[40/70 Benchmark]

21 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Some will be brown. 

You have no snow at all? I see the grass through it, but there is at least a covering...

[wx2fish]

13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You have no snow at all? I see the grass through it, but there is at least a covering...

Sublimating away in the sun here. Was just up around exit 4 and there was virtually nothing left. Brown Christmas unless Xmas eve can produce 1-2". 

[40/70 Benchmark]

16 minutes ago, wx2fish said:

Sublimating away in the sun here. Was just up around exit 4 and there was virtually nothing left. Brown Christmas unless Xmas eve can produce 1-2". 

I don't seem to be losing it...mentally, maybe...

[Patrick-02540]

Forecast high today is 31 for this area.  I hit 24 about an hour ago, and it's dropped to 22 now.  Winds sustained at 15-18, gusts to 25.  Gonna be a fun two nights.  

[kdxken]

Amazing what a little snow will do for folks mood. Wolfie hasn't bit anyone in days.

[kdxken]

Dendrite's chickens tomorrow.

[Typhoon Tip]

not sure where to put this as it may actually segue around the 30/31st ...   i lean jan 2nd but i'm pretty sure if i put this in that january thread it will be get missed.

from a purely telecon inference, there is a huge signal for the first week of january for actual winter storm.   

i get it that the epo is diving and so forth as others have also noted ...  but i'm not talking about just cold or a cold pattern signal.   i'm saying that there's a potential for something massive over the eastern mid latitude continent between the 31st and ~ jan 5 or 6.  

so obviously the coherency isn't very good so there's not much to comment or speculate after that.  it could be a big ordeal, or perhaps a series that cumulatively exhaust potential, but it's been a long while since a teleconnector convergence projection.  i can see several different correlating modalities, converging on jan 2 - if having to choose

[WinterWolf]

13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

not sure where to put this as it may actually segue around the 30/31st ...   i lean jan 2nd but i'm pretty sure if i put this in that january thread it will be get missed.

from a purely telecon inference, there is a huge signal for the first week of january for actual winter storm.   

i get it that the epo is diving and so forth as others have also noted ...  but i'm not talking about just cold or a cold pattern signal.   i'm saying that there's a potential for something massive over the eastern mid latitude continent between the 31st and ~ jan 5 or 6.  

so obviously the coherency isn't very good so there's not much to comment or speculate after that.  it could be a big ordeal or perhaps a series but it's been a long while since a teleconnector convergence projection.  i can see several different correlating modalities, converging on jan 2 - if having to choose

Potential for something Massive?  What makes you think it could be massive? 

[SouthCoastMA]

20 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Potential for something Massive?  What makes you think it could be massive? 

subsuming polar vortex into an active southern stream during a PNA spike? Jk I don't know but that's what I'd envision

[cleetussnow]

41 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

not sure where to put this as it may actually segue around the 30/31st ...   i lean jan 2nd but i'm pretty sure if i put this in that january thread it will be get missed.

from a purely telecon inference, there is a huge signal for the first week of january for actual winter storm.   

i get it that the epo is diving and so forth as others have also noted ...  but i'm not talking about just cold or a cold pattern signal.   i'm saying that there's a potential for something massive over the eastern mid latitude continent between the 31st and ~ jan 5 or 6.  

so obviously the coherency isn't very good so there's not much to comment or speculate after that.  it could be a big ordeal, or perhaps a series that cumulatively exhaust potential, but it's been a long while since a teleconnector convergence projection.  i can see several different correlating modalities, converging on jan 2 - if having to choose

[Greg]

4 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

I've been watching these models carefully so far, this weak La Nina season. It appears that we do have a few chances at potentially significant snow, but the final track will determine the exact amount for sure. The good thing is we get to see a few decent potential chances here, that's always good to see.