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December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!


FXWX
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1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Depends....the big event that the GFS advertised was fiction....but the EURO has actually been pretty consistent on the light event over central and western sections.

Yes, I agree with that idea.  Wasn’t expecting, or taking anything that was shown yesterday seriously on the GFS.  A couple inches is fine on Xmas eve.  Perfect actually. 

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3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Depends....the big event that the GFS advertised was fiction....but the EURO has actually been pretty consistent on the light event over central and western sections.

Yeah the euro has been more consistent with light snows. I think it maybe had advisory snows for a run but it’s been mostly in that 1-3” range except last night when it went with flurries. 
 

GFS has been all over the map from warning snows to nothing. 

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2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Sure, But it’s there…again.  Gonna go back and forth over the next 3-4 days. I guess we should be happy it’s a possibility. 

There'll certainly be a system moving through, just a matter of how much QPF will be with it. Only real moisture source will probably be as it moves across the Lakes. Don't think there is much room to ingest some ATL moisture or tap into any Gulf Moisture to enhance QPF. 

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13 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Anything in this general period of failure that produces a white Christmas is an unequivocal win. Full stop. Double win if most of the subforum can get it too. I don’t give a fuk if it’s a sheared out shortwave or weak frontal system. I’ll worry about the rest of the winter on Dec 26.

That’s the take away…For Sure. 

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In terms of snowcover we are trailing behind every year since 2019, except last year. Last year in mid December there were back to back cutters that decimated the snowcover through year end. 

We have a hostile period incoming about 10 days behind last year's...Will be interesting to see where we are around the 1st...

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26 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

In terms of snowcover we are trailing behind every year since 2019, except last year. Last year in mid December there were back to back cutters that decimated the snowcover through year end. 

We have a hostile period incoming about 10 days behind last year's...Will be interesting to see where we are around the 1st...

Not exactly a huge data set...kinda a stretch for a stat to be negative, no?

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3 minutes ago, met_fan said:

I have a feeling people on this forum are more invested in snow on Christmas than most kids are.

I think the kids that see snow on Christmas (a formative experience for some) become the adults that want to relive a snowy Christmas with the people they’ve grown up with or with their own kids. 

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3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I think the kids that see snow on Christmas (a formative experience for some) become the adults that want to relive a snowy Christmas with the people they’ve grown up with or with their own kids. 

I think there is a lot of that type of nostalgia for that.  For me, it was getting a day off of school.  Still today, that liberating and spirited feeling comes rushing back with an impending storm, even though I am beholden today to no one, and certainly not a boring public institution.  As for "snow on the ground," I couldn't really care less.  It's more annoying to me. But...give me an event to track 5 days out, dump it on me, & cause a huge distraction to the normal flow of prosaic life.  Then get the snow the hell outta here a day later, and rinse and repeat. 

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1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

It’s December 25th. It can snow in late December lol. 

Of course it can...but there is a false expectation that snow on Christmas or a "snow covered ground" on Christmas is common or normal. That is probably more true of northern New England but it's an expectation that is way overblown.  

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5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Of course it can...but there is a false expectation that snow on Christmas or a "snow covered ground" on Christmas is common or normal. That is probably more true of northern New England but it's an expectation that is way overblown.  

Ah, yeah totally agree with that. Ironically I think that makes it more “special”. Down here at least. 

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