dendrite Posted Thursday at 03:07 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:07 PM 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: "Nobody wants a convective model for synoptics.." look, i’m guidance…that can’t guide! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 03:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:08 PM A good laugh with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Thursday at 03:24 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:24 PM That's gotta be pushing some record warmth within portions of the Arctic into eastern Canada in the extended range. Those anomalies are off the charts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted Thursday at 03:31 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:31 PM well at least we still have the major QPF producer in the mid range on the GFS right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted Thursday at 03:40 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:40 PM Looking back to last night, I ended up with about 1.75". The winner in my area was 4" at 1500 feet in Groton NH. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM hopefully the GFS is right with some snow Christmas eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 04:07 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:07 PM 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: hopefully the GFS is right with some snow Christmas eve Looks real weak. Wish it has what it showed prior. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 04:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:08 PM Maybe it’s better it’s weak now…lots of time to trend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Thursday at 04:12 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:12 PM 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Maybe it’s better it’s weak now…lots of time to trend. it did in the wrong direction.. looked good yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 04:13 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:13 PM Just now, ineedsnow said: it did in the wrong direction.. looked good yesterday One day means shit. Especially at a week out. Look at this current one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Thursday at 04:51 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:51 PM Tuesday is nothing more than a weak and weakening frontal system 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 05:21 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:21 PM 30 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Tuesday is nothing more than a weak and weakening frontal system Or until it’s not. I don’t trust anything at the moment. Volatile set up. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Thursday at 05:25 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:25 PM 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Or until it’s not. I don’t trust anything at the moment. Volatile set up. But it is...when you get past the QPF/snow maps there was nothing ever really impressive looking about this system or anything to indicate this is more than a frontal system moving through. There was nothing to indicate or anything suggestive there was or could be room for shortwave amplification. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 05:30 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:30 PM 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: But it is...when you get past the QPF/snow maps there was nothing ever really impressive looking about this system or anything to indicate this is more than a frontal system moving through. There was nothing to indicate or anything suggestive there was or could be room for shortwave amplification. Yesterday it showed 2-3” of qpf…but whatever. Let’s gut up, and move forward. Something will pop. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 05:41 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:41 PM 19 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Or until it’s not. I don’t trust anything at the moment. Volatile set up. I don't trust that January is next...could skip to June. Very volatile set up indeed.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 05:43 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:43 PM Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't trust that January is next...could skip to June. Very volatile set up indeed.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Thursday at 05:43 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:43 PM Euro likes Xmas Eve over SNE. Looks better than last nights run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 05:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:44 PM Just now, ORH_wxman said: Euro likes Xmas Eve over SNE. Looks better than last nights run. Shocker. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 05:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:44 PM Just now, ORH_wxman said: Euro likes Xmas Eve over SNE. Looks better than last nights run. "Likes" is subjective.....like...as a friend, or more? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Thursday at 05:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:44 PM Poor Wiz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Thursday at 05:45 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:45 PM Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: "Likes" is subjective.....like...as a friend, or more? Lol I wouldn’t get too excited but it’s a band of 1-2”….it would at least give a good chunk of the area a White Xmas 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 05:47 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:47 PM 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro likes Xmas Eve over SNE. Looks better than last nights run. And just as some gave up…there it is. Of course we don’t trust it, but it’s back on a model. ASOUT. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted Thursday at 05:47 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:47 PM 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: "Likes" is subjective.....like...as a friend, or more? The bar is set very very low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 05:47 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:47 PM 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol I wouldn’t get too excited but it’s a band of 1-2”….it would at least give a good chunk of the area a White Xmas Looks about right....brown shit-streak Xmas right here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 05:49 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:49 PM 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: And just as some gave up…there it is. Of course we don’t trust it, but it’s back on a model. ASOUT. Congrats on your forecast of a 120hr forecast on a random deterministic model. Now lets see what actually happens in reality- 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted Thursday at 05:50 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:50 PM 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol I wouldn’t get too excited but it’s a band of 1-2”….it would at least give a good chunk of the area a White Xmas Looks like there would be temp issues south of the pike 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 05:51 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:51 PM 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The bar is set very very low. She let you sharpen her pencil at recess... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 05:51 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:51 PM 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Congrats on your forecast of a120hr forecast on a random deterministic model. Now lets see what actually happens in reality- Wasn’t a forecast…just said it would be back, and it is. But thank you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted Thursday at 05:52 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:52 PM 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks about right....brown shit-streak Xmas right here. Kind of sad that 13 days of late December yields this model result over like 3 separate “events” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Thursday at 05:54 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:54 PM 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Wasn’t a forecast…just said it would be bsck, and it is. But thank you. Depends....the big event that the GFS advertised was fiction....but the EURO has actually been pretty consistent on the light event over central and western sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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