UnitedWx Posted Wednesday at 05:50 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:50 PM 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Take off the TERISK... and add another S 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted Wednesday at 05:51 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:51 PM 10 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: 43/32F Not that any of you are interested in tonight but it is sure warm today. Even at my elevation this is going to be hard to get snow to stick. Was having the same thought here. 38/28, forecast high was 34 so quite a bit warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 05:54 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:54 PM 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: maybe start with the thermometer and go from there ? lol its currently 41 actually cooler than any model has us right now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted Wednesday at 05:59 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:59 PM 7 minutes ago, alex said: Was having the same thought here. 38/28, forecast high was 34 so quite a bit warmer Unfortunately our primary driver of temps was not advection but latent cooling. Always a risky proposition. Forcing got weaker, precip intensity is lower, less metling/cooling at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 05:59 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:59 PM 10 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Tonight has turned to mostly rain even in the interior of NNE. like I said globals vs mesos but I know you cherry pick everything 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 06:03 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:03 PM @jbenedet Euro is 3 degrees to warm here right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted Wednesday at 06:07 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:07 PM 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: @jbenedet Euro is 3 degrees to warm here right now... I like the way you are fighting this battle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Wednesday at 06:10 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:10 PM 46.2 down here in the valley off a high of 48.6Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Wednesday at 06:12 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:12 PM 12 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: like I said globals vs mesos but I know you cherry pick everything That looks putrid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Wednesday at 06:12 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:12 PM It's pretty warm up around 2000-3000 feet. Have to watch how quickly we can cool the llvls. Not sure sfc temps right now matter too much. Still think there will be a narrow band of heavy snow but farther north than I was thinking yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Wednesday at 06:13 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:13 PM Just now, dendrite said: That looks putrid Yeah that looks mostly like white rain....maybe if you got above 1200 or 1500 feet it would be better, but that's not what you want to see for accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 06:14 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:14 PM 1 minute ago, dendrite said: That looks putrid ya its close but he makes it seem like it will rain to Montreal.. Always warm warm warm but when something good comes along he's nowhere to be found.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted Wednesday at 06:15 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:15 PM I mean, I'm no expert but that evolution on the GFS is something that just doesn't happen...especially without a -NAO. I'd heavily favor the non-event the Euro shows at this juncture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 06:15 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:15 PM Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that looks mostly like white rain....maybe if you got above 1200 or 1500 feet it would be better, but that's not what you want to see for accumulations. I'm over a 1,000 here and a couple miles down the road rises to above 1,200 I'll take my chances on tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Wednesday at 06:17 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:17 PM 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: I'm over a 1,000 here and a couple miles down the road rises to above 1,200 I'll take my chances on tonight Good luck....I'd prob go a C-1" there....leaning toward C at the moment. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 06:18 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:18 PM Just now, ORH_wxman said: Good luck....I'd prob go a C-1" there....leaning toward C at the moment. hoping for a inch or so mainly on the grass but think it will be close.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Wednesday at 06:24 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:24 PM 1 minute ago, H2Otown_WX said: I mean, I'm no expert but that evolution on the GFS is something that just doesn't happen...especially without a -NAO. I'd heavily favor the non-event the Euro shows at this juncture. We develop a defacto west based -NAO though shortly after Xmas, so I wouldn't be shocked to see some blocky/wacky solutions between now and then. Here's today's Euro between D8-11....you can see all those higher heights up in Canada expanding into the NAO domain....its not your classic NAO ridge back building from the Atlantic, but it may still offer some chances for storms provided the colder airmass gets trapped a bit underneath it 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Wednesday at 06:34 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:34 PM yeah discussed that earlier it's an emerging/evolving aspect with the telecons. the sources are differentiating toward more nao, run to run... while pancaking the pna. paraphrasing, it's actually the canonical transition from a -(wpo/epo) +pna hemisphere. when the pna griddles there's a lag correlation to the onset of nao. it really doesn't reduce your storm frequency - it just transitions the storm modes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted Wednesday at 06:40 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:40 PM EURO not too interested in the Christmas threat… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Wednesday at 06:49 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:49 PM 8 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: EURO not too interested in the Christmas threat… It was a bit more east, but I'd say all three models show something on the table. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Wednesday at 06:49 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:49 PM 25 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We develop a defacto west based -NAO though shortly after Xmas, so I wouldn't be shocked to see some blocky/wacky solutions between now and then. Here's today's Euro between D8-11....you can see all those higher heights up in Canada expanding into the NAO domain....its not your classic NAO ridge back building from the Atlantic, but it may still offer some chances for storms provided the colder airmass gets trapped a bit underneath it Reminds me more of a Nino December look with big height anomalies in Canada and near to lower then normal heights south of 39N or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted Wednesday at 06:50 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:50 PM 1 hour ago, wxeyeNH said: 43/32F Not that any of you are interested in tonight but it is sure warm today. Even at my elevation this is going to be hard to get snow to stick. not expecting more than 1" here. high of 47.1F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted Wednesday at 06:51 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:51 PM 1 hour ago, alex said: Was having the same thought here. 38/28, forecast high was 34 so quite a bit warmer looks like you moved your cam. cool spot. you need snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted Wednesday at 06:56 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:56 PM 3 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: looks like you moved your cam. cool spot. you need snow Oh yeah. These warm storms are not kind to us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Wednesday at 07:07 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:07 PM 52 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: ya its close but he makes it seem like it will rain to Montreal.. Always warm warm warm but when something good comes along he's nowhere to be found.. Can you say Troll… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted Wednesday at 07:42 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:42 PM Started as light snow at 1500ft. Wet bulb of 31F currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted Wednesday at 07:52 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:52 PM 5 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Kind of the reverse for 2015 here. 93-94 was a record breaker here, and 2015 was a record breaker there. Well if you just look at Boston and metro west, 1993-94 was a major all timer. Certainly in my top 3 experienced as is 2014-15 and probably 1960-61. 1995-96 goes to #4 due to the spectacular melts-lasting for weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Wednesday at 07:59 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:59 PM 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Well if you just look at Boston and metro west, 1993-94 was a major all timer. Certainly in my top 3 experienced as is 2014-15 and probably 1960-61. 1995-96 goes to #4 due to the spectacular melts-lasting for weeks. Oh I can understand that…was just responding to Rays post about 93-94. 93-94 and 95-96 were historic record breaking here. 14-15 was not record breaking here(it was very good), but not historic by a good margin. That one was eastern SNE- BOSTON’s record breaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted Wednesday at 08:07 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:07 PM 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Well if you just look at Boston and metro west, 1993-94 was a major all timer. Certainly in my top 3 experienced as is 2014-15 and probably 1960-61. 1995-96 goes to #4 due to the spectacular melts-lasting for weeks. 93-94 was my first winter in Boston. Man were my expectations irreversibly distorted. The potential and actual results of this December remind me of a Jerod Mayo pre-season quote I heard on WEEI this morning: "1000% percent... we have a lot of cap space... ready to burn some cash" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Wednesday at 08:15 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:15 PM 92-93 gave me a taste of good winters, but 93-94 was excellent. I did miss out on the 25-30" event by like 7 miles, but that was a fantastic winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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