December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Let’s get a 10” QPF December with most of the month below normal temp wise and less than 1” of snow to show for it.

Unreal....I challenge anyone not named Will to find a winter month that featured this combination of cold with excessive QPF, yet managed to avoid snow so skillfully....probably something close in the 1980s, maybe.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Unreal....I challenge anyone not named Will to find a winter month that featured this combination of cold with excessive QPF, yet managed to avoid snow so skillfully....probably something close in the 1980s, maybe.

“  no complaints here. We are near normal.”

[CoastalWx]

Some of those systems on the gfs could be interior specials I guess. May need to watch that. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

I knew there was a catch when I saw some of these posts....like, "COLD" and "EXCESSIVE QPF" in bright, neon lettering, then at the bottom I peer trhough the magnifying glass to digest the fine print....(very rapid aubible) "cold and excessive QPF may not lead to snow"....

There's always a catch...just like the Red Sox' "interest" in prominent FAs....

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I knew there was a catch when I saw some of these posts....like, "COLD" and "EXCESSIVE QPF" in bright, neon lettering, then at the bottom I peer trhough the magnifying glass to digest the fine print....(very rapid aubible) "cold and excessive QPF may not lead to snow"....

I wasn’t kidding about the CJ. Might want to watch that. 

[ORH_wxman]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Some of those systems on the gfs could be interior specials I guess. May need to watch that. 

We kind of have a perpetual high nosing down in the low levels despite parakeets at 500mb. 

[dendrite]

12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I knew there was a catch when I saw some of these posts....like, "COLD" and "EXCESSIVE QPF" in bright, neon lettering, then at the bottom I peer trhough the magnifying glass to digest the fine print....(very rapid aubible) "cold and excessive QPF may not lead to snow"....

There's always a catch...just like the Red Sox' "interest" in prominent FAs....

This would be pretty cold for early October 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

We kind of have a perpetual high nosing down in the low levels despite parakeets at 500mb. 

Great, 32.000000000000000000000000001 rain, while ORH CO loses power and @HoarfrostHubb "unexpectedly" laments in the dark.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Great, 32.000000000000000000000000001 rain, while ORH loses power and @HoarfrostHubb "unexpectedly" laments in the dark.

Don’t forget these emojis from Ineedsnow     

[jbenedet]

Without in situ cold, timing becomes critical.  With split flow, timing is especially difficult…odds are great that we miss the big ones. (Jury is out on the 21st for extreme southeast sections)
 

Now the weak open wave storms like tomorrow or the clippers that were rainers for most—that’s the biggest shift that is hardest to anticipate. If these were producing advisory snows in broad areas of SNE we’d be largely normal for the month…So if you’re not factoring a +2-4F in background climate you got screwed. 
 

Worse still is you could double down on the lost snow in December and call for a mean reversion in Jan-March which isn’t coming because your snow fell as white rain or just plain rain.

 

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Still could happen. 

Lol

[dendrite]

28 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Unreal....I challenge anyone not named Will to find a winter month that featured this combination of cold with excessive QPF, yet managed to avoid snow so skillfully....probably something close in the 1980s, maybe.

Again this month would be close to or AN right now in the 1990s. 
 

A BN drenchfest would be more impressive in the 80s. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Here we go . This is probably a combo of what falls Friday and possibly Xmas Eve overnight 

https://x.com/bennollweather/status/1869374237796110763?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

 

[weatherwiz]

Friday night isn't really far off from becoming something more meaningful. Probably won't happen at this stage but damn it wouldn't take much...

[Ginx snewx]

Basically a Ray  Scooter whinefest thread.  It's not going to be 50s rain and wind torchmas. Ray keeps saying this month has been exceptionally cold and wet. Meh pretty much normal across all major climo sites with about 33% above normal rain. Snow is normal as well. I don't see the angst 

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Lol

See the above posts from others. Won’t be 60s,  but could be 40s and rains too. Hopefully you can dig out the driveway before your company comes.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Basically a Ray  Scooter whinefest thread.  It's not going to be 50s rain and wind torchmas. Ray keeps saying this month has been exceptionally cold and wet. Meh pretty much normal across all major climo sites with about 33% above normal rain. Snow is normal as well. I don't see the angst 

Been an epic month. Another great call. First last December and now this month.

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

See the above posts from others. Won’t be 60s,  but could be 40s and rains too. Hopefully you can dig out the driveway before your company comes.

Others seem to be on the cold side . Certainly will have the Christmas feel  this weekend. 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Been an epic month. Another great call. First last December and now this month.

Wait wut the fuck are you spewing now? 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

46 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Well, clearly the air that it was thrown into was not that "cold" at certain levels of the amtosphere, including where we live. Hey, maybe take a 12hr flight for the holiday and prance around the plane nude like Bing Fuc*ing Crosby...

Enough to throw widespread accumulation of snow and ice rt 2 north like I said.  You will proahbly rain regardless on the shore though you are right. 

[CoastalWx]

Here comes the normal snowfall posts from a 20 sq  mile area of CT.

[ORH_wxman]

Dec 1968 was pretty brutal. Check out Boston’s F6 data for that month. Very cold month with over 6” of QPF and 5 inches of snow. 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Here comes the normal snowfall posts from a 20 sq  mile area of CT.

Can we get some cheese with your whine. Grow a set

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Here comes the normal snowfall posts from a 20 sq  mile area of CT.

A bit more than 20 probably within 75% of climo but yes EMASS and the entire south coast have been porked. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Basically a Ray  Scooter whinefest thread.  It's not going to be 50s rain and wind torchmas. Ray keeps saying this month has been exceptionally cold and wet. Meh pretty much normal across all major climo sites with about 33% above normal rain. Snow is normal as well. I don't see the angst 

I never said exceptional...place ne on ignore, Sally. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

A bit more than 20 probably within 75% of climo but yes EMASS and the entire south coast have been porked. 

That will change by end of month. You have a large area south of the lakes region of NH, Maine and even VT well BN. 

[CoastalWx]

Hell look at Backedgeapproaching about to mow his lawn again. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That will change by end of month. You have a large area south of the lakes region of NH, Maine and even VT well BN. 

Ya true but they might get more snow up there the next 2 weeks.. Trying to find a snow anomaly map, no luck on a good one

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Enough to throw widespread accumulation of snow and ice rt 2 north like I said.  You will proahbly rain regardless on the shore though you are right. 

Its going to rain far off of the shore, dude.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

That will change by end of month. You have a large area south of the lakes region of NH, Maine and even VT well BN. 

SE NH is def the pork zone so far relative to climo. Areas like ASH to Derry over to DAW have been screwed pretty bad. They average double digits in December and while there’s still a couple weeks to go, they’ll keep falling behind unless a miracle happens on Friday or that Xmas system delivers.